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zetazzed · 5 years ago
I think people are mis-conceiving L3 as "the car might yell 'grab the wheel at any moment.'" At least for L3 systems I've worked on, the model was - there will be exception cases we don't know how to navigate, but we have a plan to safely transfer control to the driver in them. Examples would include: * a human construction worker or police officer is directing traffic, so safely slow to a halt or near halt and ask the driver to follow directions * the route takes the driver from a supported road (large, well-mapped) to an unsupported road - tell the driver they have to take the exit, and if they don't then you'll miss the exit and stay on the larger, supported road * broken traffic light - tell the user and prepare to treat as red light unless they override

These are not sudden dangerous handoffs, but they do mean that a driver can't be drunk or asleep when behind the wheel.

bryanlarsen · 5 years ago
Thanks for the inside scoop! Not surprisingly the line between Level 3 and Level 4 is fuzzier than I had in my mental model. I view your first example as a Level 4 capability -- AFAICT, stopping to let a human take over is acceptable for Level 4 vehicles. The other two are interesting.

Perhaps we would call the system you worked on "high level 3", and Tesla type systems where you have to be able to take over in milliseconds as "low level 3". Marketing departments would be tempted to call your system level 4.

yokaze · 5 years ago
If you have to be alert to take over at short notice, is level 2. Tesla "Autopilot" falls into that category, as far as I know.

The categories are well defined (SAE J3016) and have legal implications. If the marketing department is tempted it'll have to go through the legal department.

qznc · 5 years ago
I find the commercial use case a reasonable distinction: A level 3 car, you buy for personal use. A level 4 car, you rent like a Taxi.
ashleyn · 5 years ago
What also might go unsaid here is: the practical effect of Level 3's requirements vs. its capabilities is that it probably will not be able to engage often. If the car can't safely do it, it's not going to do it. So you'll invest all this money in a Level 3 car, only to find out that it only engages maybe once or twice a year, when the planets line up and it has all the info and environment it actually needs to work.
horsawlarway · 5 years ago
I'm not saying you're wrong, but I don't think any major manufacturer would release it if that's the case.

I can't imagine the customer response to a self-driving system they can only turn on once a year would be good.

Seems like an obvious PR/Marketing nightmare.

mediaman · 5 years ago
This is an unlikely outcome.

Already, Toyota has released their third version of driving assistance, TSS2.5, which has reasonably decent ability to stay in lanes on highways. For anyone who does any highway driving, it's a competent system that a driver can use a good portion of highway driving. And it's likely less capable than Honda's system.

OpenPilot is another example - pretty good at most roads on highways or large boulevards. Like others, not for use in city streets.

At least for the American road system, you may be underestimating how much time people spend on large, well-defined highways that could use this system. Some other countries rely less on big highways and this could affect the portion of time available to use it.

jessriedel · 5 years ago
Is this formally quantified, e.g., in an amount of time the human must be able to take control within? If that amount of time is like 5 seconds or longer, and the system is empirically demonstrated to maintain safety so long as the human is always ready take over in 5 seconds, that would be very compelling.
chrisseaton · 5 years ago
> there will be exception cases we don't know how to navigate, but we have a plan to safely transfer control to the driver in them

I don't know how anyone can claim this.

If someone steps out in front of the car with no notice and no stopping distance or room to drive around, how will you safely transfer control to the driver?

WJW · 5 years ago
In that case, why hand over control at all? It's not like the driver is going to be able to stop the car more efficiently than the control system or anything.

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angelbar · 5 years ago
> These are not sudden dangerous handoffs, but they do mean that a driver can't be drunk or asleep when behind the wheel.

Or that the driver dont know how to drive...

falcolas · 5 years ago
There's an ACM article which always comes to mind whenever I see discussions about self-driving cars. The title is "Automation should be like Iron Man, not Ultron". The idea is "augment the human, don't try and replace the human," since the combination of the human and computer will always be better than either one alone (at least with our current level of programming/AI/hardware capabilities).

To apply this to self-driving cars, we need more driver support. Visually identify cars and obstacles which could be an issue to supplant the driver's identification. Help the driver keep in a lane. Help the driver keep a speed relative to traffic around them. Help drivers see in the dark, and past bright headlights. Help drivers see lane lines through snow packed roads.

Help the driver see and hear things, but don't override their decisions.

Some of these technologies are available today in luxury cars - let's make it available to everyone on the road.

conscion · 5 years ago
Except most accidents are cause by drivers not paying attention (distracted / fatigued / alcohol) or from speeding[0], not from being unable to identify the traffic around them. So giving them more information wouldn't help them reduce accidents, reducing the requirement of driver attention would (i.e. self-driving cars)

[0] https://www.natlawreview.com/article/most-common-causes-coll...

falcolas · 5 years ago
Adding information - warnings - would help:

- Distracted drivers, bringing their attention back to the hazards on the road.

- Fatigued drivers, by alerting them to a hazard they missed.

- Drunk... yeah, probably won't help much here. Hopefully we can get to the point where you can't start such cars while impaired by alcohol.

- Speeding - again, improving knowledge of hazards, such as corners they can't navigate at the current speed, or vehicles which are at drastically slower/faster speeds.

Don't be quick to dismiss how technology can augment humans. Anything a car can learn to eventually handle on its own, it can notify a human about on a much faster time scale (as in it won't be the perpetual 3 years away, it could be now, since we don't have to perfect the reaction, just the detection).

And, perhaps most importantly for you, this doesn't preclude the development and deployment of fully automatic driving systems when they're actually at level 4/5. In the mean time, we can make a meaningful and broad drop in the vehicle accident statistics.

EDIT: Since this may not be clear - I expect this information and these warnings to be coming 4-5 seconds before an incident would occur, giving the driver classes you've pointed out sufficient time to react.

SahAssar · 5 years ago
Or putting all that money into making cars that can't speed and that can track if the driver isn't paying attention.

If the goal really is just to reduce how many people die in traffic there are far easier ways than self-driving cars. The goal of self-driving cars seems to be far more than just reducing traffic deaths, that's just the part that sounds good in public.

falcor84 · 5 years ago
I'll just put this here: "The factory of the future will have only two employees, a man and a dog. The man will be there to feed the dog. The dog will be there to keep the man from touching the equipment" – Warren Bennis
kiplkipl · 5 years ago
Marvel Studios writing it as a baddie is not a very compelling reason to avoid automation. As of today, the vast majority of autonomous devices and robots are factory devices that have minimal input from humans.
falcolas · 5 years ago
It might be worth reading beyond the title and into the article itself.

It's a good article with coherent arguments.

josefresco · 5 years ago
Honda has spent decades building consumer trust based on safety and quality. This has me suspecting that many consumers will trust them, over Tesla or another newly established brand when it comes to autonomous driving. Personally I'll take "works ok but is bulletproof" over "cutting edge but buggy" any day.
imeron · 5 years ago
Bulletproof on Japanese roads where immaculate paint is given or also on rural third world country roads?
grecy · 5 years ago
> or also on rural third world country roads?

I drove 40,000 miles from Alaska to Argentina and 54,000 miles around Africa [1].

From experience, I can tell you the vast majority of vehicles sold in the developed world wouldn't last a couple of months on 'rural third world country roads'. The potholes, corrugations, mud, dust and everything else are intense.

For eg, this is how I crossed the Democratic Republic of Congo - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OV8V3GdOcPU

[1] youtube.com/theroadchoseme

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mrtnmcc · 5 years ago
That's a key distinction, "the road" is an ambiguity that these car companies love to deploy.
josefresco · 5 years ago
Personally I trust that before Honda rolls this tech out in the United States, it will be in fact bulletproof. Or at least that's my perception as a US consumer who has owned multiple Honda products.

Given what I read about Tesla, they'd most likely blame the roads, the driver or simply lie about the capabilities and push forward because "it's safer than humans!".

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abeppu · 5 years ago
I guess, to re-hash the same conversations people have been having for years -- if the expectation is that drivers must be alert and prepared to intervene, that places them in the gray area of not knowing whether or when to trust the system. Even if the self-driving system is relatively good, is the human+self-driving system really better?

In some sense, the self-driving system gets to be trained with experiences of failure, probably under the expectation that no intervention will occur (i.e. the "policy" cannot include human intervention). But the human driver doesn't get to learn from experience when to not trust the self-driving system (because getting it wrong can be disastrous).

Perhaps a missing piece that human drivers _should_ participate in, but almost certainly won't, is training in a simulator. There's a methodological challenge here -- ideally the simulator training should focus on scenarios where the self-driving system is weakest (i.e. where it's plausible that the driver will need to intervene), but those are likely also cases where we're worst at simulating the behavior of other cars/pedestrians/cyclists/loose object.

bonestamp2 · 5 years ago
> is the human+self-driving system really better?

Definitely. My last couple vehicles have had Lane Keep Assist and Adaptive Cruise Control. I believe those two equate to about "Level 2" of autonomous driving. Whatever the technical definition is doesn't matter though, the important point is that those two features alone make driving long distances so much less mentally taxing.

The Volvo system in particular is great... keeping your vehicle firmly in the middle of the lane like it's on rails. Frankly, it's better at that task than I am and only requires slight and occasional steering wheel input to stay engaged -- just enough to know you're paying attention.

Before these systems, I'd be mentally exhausted after driving 2.5 hours to my parents house, especially if there was stop n go traffic and it took even longer. Since these systems, I arrive feeling mentally refreshed instead of drained. There is no way I'd buy a general purpose vehicle without these systems ever again and I look forward to any other ways that automated systems can augment my ability to drive safer, more precisely and with less effort.

bryanlarsen · 5 years ago
ACC and Lane Keep was incredibly awesome when I was driving at night through northern Ontario. I was able to focus 80% of my attention scanning the ditches for moose and other large critters.
jasonv · 5 years ago
I relax more on longer drives with ACC.

I tend to drive faster, so slow drivers in the left lane drive me a bit batty.

With ACC on, that tendency is blunted heavily, and I just roll along, making occasional adjustments. But my temperament is much improved.

sib · 5 years ago
Agreed. I did a 1,500 mile (2,400 km) round-trip drive from Los Angeles to Utah a couple weeks ago using these same features in my Tesla Model 3 and it's a very different experience from previous trips in other cars.
qznc · 5 years ago
LKA and ACC are two separate level 1 features. LKA is lateral and ACC longitudinal only.

A lane change assist which speeds up and steers to the other lane is level 2.

EarthLaunch · 5 years ago
Great points.

If we had enough self-driving crash data (like a black box), where the fault was of the autonomous system, and where human intervention could have prevented the crash; that data could be used in the simulator. So the player would be experiencing simulations of actual crashes.

mckirk · 5 years ago
On the other hand, every crash we could simulate would be one that the AI should be able to learn to avoid, so it's not very clear if there are scenarios where it makes sense to 'train the driver' instead of the AI directly.
ourlordcaffeine · 5 years ago
>Even if the self-driving system is relatively good, is the human+self-driving system really better?

Say for example, the designers never trained the car's system to recognize someone on a skateboard as an obstacle.

Obviously a lidar based system would spot the skater, but a camera+ai system depends on being trained to identify each type of obstacle as an obstacle and avoid it.

pbhjpbhj · 5 years ago
A person on a skateboard is still a person, would any AI trained to spot people not recognise that (at the same level as it spots people in general)?

Do you really need to train your AI to spot people on skateboards vs rollerskates vs rollerblades vs heelies vs sliding on ice vs traveling on a travelator vs standing on a moving vehicle vs ...?

OK, being able to recognise the differences and act accordingly might be useful but the principle of "person getting closer to vehicle" should hold sway for most situations?!?

xiphias2 · 5 years ago
,, Even if the self-driving system is relatively good, is the human+self-driving system really better?''

Probably yes, but they are not relatively good yet and certainly haven't been in the past. Most of the 3D video processing algorithms that are good enough to be used for self driving were created this year, so until they are productionized, we don't have any data on it. Still, probably we're just 1 or 2 papers down the way (to quote from 2 minute papers youtube channel :) ).

blakesterz · 5 years ago
"The company promises the tech will be on the road early next year. Autonomous driving technology has proven to be a lot more difficult to bring to market than any of the major automakers seemed to have planned for."

I honestly don't understand how this has proved to be "a lot more difficult to bring to market than any of the major automakers..." I'm not an expert, by any measure, but this seemed to be a nearly impossible thing to bring to market anytime soon. The technology seems impossibly hard, sure, but more importantly this is something that is new and looks super scary to most people. Every single time one of these things fail it's going to make headlines, and that's going to make it even scarier. I just can't believe Honda (or anyone else) got this right so fast. Even if they're like 95% of the way to having it perfect (or whatever the measure might be), that last 5% seems like it's going to be REALLY hard to get right without some serious trouble and some bad PR.

benzor · 5 years ago
I too am skeptical (but happy to be proven wrong) about Honda's L3 claims. I think the "automaker optimism" is really just referring to Tesla loudly claiming they "will hit L5 this year" every year since 2015 while continuing to struggle. I don't see other automakers making such aggressive promises, thankfully.
14 · 5 years ago
I am hopeful coming from Honda that they have solved some of the critical issues. I was really impressed with their rider assist [1] for their new motorcycles and the ability to balance a bike. Perhaps that is a small feat compared to what level 3 will require but I am confident Honda will pull it off. This opinion is also based off the fact that I have a couple 37 year old Honda motorcycles that still to this day run strong and hard. I am just optimistic they can do what they say.
Shivetya · 5 years ago
Well one issue is that too much of this development has been one sided. What needs to be done is force standardization of road markings and signaling and correct it where it is not compliant. So these systems have had to accept the fact that ideal conditions never exist.

The easiest opportunity in the US would have been to dress up the HOV and Express lanes and use them. They have controlled access and are specifically marked already to distinguish them from other lanes. however too many seem bent on doing it all at once for everywhere.

The first three tiers are not difficult. This claim by Honda doesn't not provide any more details other than they got a certification. We do not know if anyone else even applied for it or exactly what it entails.

voqv · 5 years ago
> The first three tiers are not difficult.

Why is that? Afaik at least according to European and Japanese [1] laws, L3 is the first level where the larger liability of the OEM comes into play. That is because the driver can remove his hands from the wheel and therefore will need significantly more time to prevent an accident.

[1] https://hsfnotes.com/cav/2019/06/06/japan-allows-level-3-aut...

ghaff · 5 years ago
>The easiest opportunity in the US would have been to dress up the HOV and Express lanes and use them.

These are in very limited areas. An autonomous vehicle that can only drive in these lanes will be autonomous a small portion of the time.

>What needs to be done is force standardization of road markings and signaling and correct it where it is not compliant.

Maybe it's different where you are but road marking and maintenance, especially as you get into secondary roads, can be rather haphazard. This is not going to change markedly so that people can use autonomous vehicles.

lallysingh · 5 years ago
How's this different than better maps in the car? Auto update them and you'll be in good shape.
cactus2093 · 5 years ago
I would guess you likely are more of an expert on computer technology than auto executives are. They probably saw demos of the 95% case, and have no real way to think about how much work that last 5% is, because no car companies other than Tesla treat computers/software as a core competency.
maerF0x0 · 5 years ago
> This certification means that you can legally sit behind the wheel without actually looking at the road. Under certain conditions, Level 3 autonomy allows a car to drive itself as long as the human behind the wheel is able to take control at any time

Not looking at the road and taking over at a moments notice seem to be contradictory items. Also who/what is auditing the drivers attention?

jessriedel · 5 years ago
"At any time" is not the same as "at a moment's notice". If the system is robust enough such that the human is always given, say, 5 seconds warning before they need to intervene, they can safely read/write (but not sleep), which would be a huge benefit.

Elsewhere in this thread, someone gave examples where a human takeover is needed but there is significant warning time: (1) exiting a highway to an unimproved road and (2) coming upon construction work with human-directed traffic control.

Driver attention is monitored with cameras in essentially all Level-2-and-above autonomous cars, I believe. The machine vision is good enough to detect sleeping.

_0w8t · 5 years ago
It could be that the car alerts a driver the moment the driver needs to pay attention to the road. So presumably it could be ok to use phone, but not sleeping.

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avs733 · 5 years ago
Honestly, no one should be surprised by this. If we look t the history of automotive development and manufacturing over the last 40-50 years, every major change has been 'made real' by Japanese automanufacturers. That doesn't mean they are first to market, but it typically means they are first to market with something that works for the main stream. This includes manufacturing techniques, platform engineering, hybrids, navigation and in car computing, etc.

They are just quiet about it. In part, this seems to be cultural, in part it seems to be where our major news comes from and the fact that it rarely reports on stories in other languages (and even more rarely reports on them well). There have been many discusisons on HN of the goods and bads of Japanese work culture, but one possible outcome of that hierarchy and control being a longer term strategic focus, and internal commitments to quiet & purposeful innovation.

paganel · 5 years ago
> every major change has been 'made real' by Japanese automanufacturers.

The TDI engine (for all its faults) was first made commercially available on a Fiat, and then was made (in)famous by VW (among others). Audi's four-wheel-drive system (Quattro) is imo still unmatched, and when it debuted in the World Rally Championship it blew away all competition.

avs733 · 5 years ago
those aren't mainstream by any stretch...they haven't fundamentally changed the basics of the automotive industry

you could make the claim (maybe) about diesel's and Europe, but separating technical innovation from industry level innovation here is important.

Edit: and I say that as a RABID WRC fan who is currently wearing my Peter Solberg hat.

throwaway0a5e · 5 years ago
The Japanese made some good advancements in manufacturing technology and all the ancillary systems you need to make a low displacement 4-banger palatable to the mass market (ohc and distributorless ignition come to mind) but your comment is just fanboy-ism masquerading as history.

The Japaneses didn't really bring electronic systems and fuel injection into the world faster than anyone else. They clung to their vacuum line spaghetti control systems embarrassingly far into the 80s.

They also got blind-sided hard by the minivan and the midsize SUV.

mschuster91 · 5 years ago
SUVs are an uniquely American-originated thing. Let's be real, 3/4 of SUV owners don't need the benefits of an SUV.
avs733 · 5 years ago
I didn't say faster. I said they were better at maturity. They have been typically slower to switch...to publically experiment, but when they do it seems to stick.

See Honda and... * variable cam timing * hydrogen vehicles * aging in place technology

as someone shopping for a family rather than couple vehicle...we are pretty much solely looking at Japanese minivans and small SUV's as for reasons that mostly have to do with repair costs and mature features.

decafninja · 5 years ago
Is this still true? It seems like other countries' manufacturers are sprinting ahead nowadays. The big Japanese manufacturers have been describe as stagnating when it comes to tech.
mdoms · 5 years ago
Described by whom?
baggy_trough · 5 years ago
Given how terrible their lane holding technology is in a 4 year old car, and how their collision detection alert constantly false alarms on white cars coming the other direction on sunny days, I'm not going to be using this any time soon.
eis · 5 years ago
I concur. The safety features of my 2019 Accord are pretty worthless. The lane keep assist works in maybe 20% of cases and once even tried to stear me into a barrier, the collision detection like you said has many false positives, the rear parking sensor didn't detect a huge rock wall which made me hit it while reversing because I got used to rely on the beeping sound, the app that lets you track the car's location is so full of bugs it's not even funny, the Android Auto implementation for Maps likes to bug out... ah I could go on and on, the problems with the electronics are endless. And now they are supposed to suddenly have autonomous cars which is several orders of magnitude more difficult to do than all the stuff they couldn't implement properly so far? Sorry but I am extremely sceptical. Not that I expect any other car manufacturer to get it right any time soon either.
jeffbee · 5 years ago
I have a 2021 model year Honda with the Honda Sensing package and it's awful. It can't hold lane position on a straight and level freeway, which is compulsory. There's a specific place on the freeway near my home where the car slams on the brakes every time, if I leave the ACC engaged. In the city (of Berkeley) it freaks out constantly about oncoming cars in their own lanes on curves or parked cars to the right of narrow driving lanes. Sometimes it just slams on the brakes if I'm pulling up behind a car at a walking pace at a red signal.

If Honda delivers L3 driving six months from now, it would be a huge leap over what they are selling today.