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hollosi commented on Dario Amodei calls OpenAI’s messaging around military deal ‘straight up lies’   techcrunch.com/2026/03/04... · Posted by u/SilverElfin
mrandish · 9 days ago
When @sama announced within hours that OAI was replacing Anthropic with the "same conditions ", it was clear that either the DoW or OAI (or both) were fudging. DoW balked at Anthropic's conditions so OAI's agreement must have made the "conditions" basically unenforceable.

And sure enough, my reading of it left the impression the OAI conditions were basically "DoW won't do anything which violates the rules DoW sets for itself."

hollosi · 9 days ago
Enforcement is the real issue, not the specific red lines, regardless of what Anthropic claims and news outlets repeat.

Verification requires access to classified logs. These logs would attract the spies of the whole world. Even if these logs are in principle for "past actions", in practice past logs (for war games, for example) would compromise future strategy.

Since these manual audits are too risky, the only alternative is to hard-code limits into the AI. But are we ready trust an AI to "judge" a mission and refuse to execute during a crisis?

Anthropic wanted technical enforcement, the Pentagon wanted trust.

It’s a choice between two bad options: an unaccountable military and an unreliable AI kill switch. They are both very dangerous, just in different ways.

hollosi commented on A new class of materials that can passively harvest water from air   blog.seas.upenn.edu/penn-... · Posted by u/Tycho
hollosi · 10 months ago
From the actual paper ( https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adu8349 ):

"All measurements were performed at 20° ± 0.2°C maintained by an air circulation system unless otherwise noted. The temperature of the films was controlled using a heating/cooling unit (THMS350V, Linkam Scientific Instruments, Salfords, UK) when necessary."

So the latent heat is conducted away by the cooling apparatus, it's just not explicitly stated, to sound more sensational.

hollosi commented on Airlines in the U.S. charge separately for checked bags in order to reduce tax   theconversation.com/why-d... · Posted by u/mooreds
hollosi · 2 years ago
Focusing solely on taxes misses the point that most people do not fully utilize "included" baggage allowances on domestic trips, and that is pure profit.

Let's assume a $40 bag fee: $25 cost to handle the bag, $3 tax, $12 profit.

If people pay for the bags separately, in addition to their $220 ticket, they will only pay for utilized bags, so for 1 bag, the profit will be $12.

If the $300 ticket bundle includes 2 allowed bags, but people only check 1 bag, then the profit is: $80 - 2$6 (tax) - 1$25 (cost) = $49 profit, more than 4 times bigger!

The real reason is the comparison sites as the HN commenters pointed out, but the result is not always bad, because the savings is real in many cases as people indeed would only pay for one bag on average ($220+$40 = $260) instead of $300.

I think airlines are much less happy with the separated fees than consumers, but once one airline does it, the others are forced to do it. The same happened with the international trips, which clearly has no tax reason. Many years ago it included 2 pieces of 70-pound bags, then 2 50-pound bags, then 1 50-pound bag, and now in many cases, on basic tickets, nothing at all.

hollosi commented on Why doctors in America earn so much   economist.com/united-stat... · Posted by u/bookofjoe
alephnerd · 2 years ago
> Wasting 4 years of a future doctor’s prime career on an expensive and often irrelevant screening program is extremely wasteful for society as a whole

I have a cousin who's doing his residency right now and he has an interesting take on this.

You don't want to have a 21 year old in a cancer ward directly treating patients. They may lack the personal skills and life experience needed to convey empathy. In addition, they will not be taken seriously by patients due to their youth.

He is speaking from experience as someone who is doing his residency at a slightly younger age than average.

hollosi · 2 years ago
Practically the whole world educates doctors with a 6-year program straight out of high school, out of which 6 years are relevant to medical education, instead of the 8 years in the US, out of which 4 are barely relevant to medical education.
hollosi commented on TV doctors say annual checkups save lives – real doctors call bullshit (2016)   vox.com/science-and-healt... · Posted by u/paulpauper
hollosi · 3 years ago
The real question is why the insurance companies are pushing the annual exams very hard, not just in consumer ads, but using lots of incentives for primary care physicians.

One would assume they would not want to pay for unnecessary tests for healthy people.

So either their own research shows they save money with annual checkups in spite of what the article says, or more sinisterly, they do want to spend money to be able to justify higher premiums, because in several states they are required to spend around 80% of the premiums, and this is one easily plannable way.

Does anyone know? Perhaps someone working for an insurance company?

hollosi commented on FCC threatens to disconnect Twilio for illegal robocalls   commsrisk.com/fcc-threate... · Posted by u/from
kbuck · 3 years ago
On most (all?) carriers, you can forward spam SMS messages to 7726 ("spam" on the keypad) to report messages as spam.

That said, I've got no idea if they actually do anything actionable with this data. It certainly doesn't seem to have reduced my spam volume. Now I just let Android Messages filter the spam out.

hollosi · 3 years ago
SMS forwarding sends the content, not the sender (phone number) info. In principle, they can search your previous messages and find the sender, but it's unclear if that would raise some privacy issues.

Most likely they just use the reported message to train their spam filter, not to block the particular sender number of that message.

hollosi commented on Detect ChatGPT Generated Content   gptzero.me/... · Posted by u/ausudhz
NotYourLawyer · 3 years ago
Disagree, this is very much needed. The problem with AI-generated content is that it looks superficially worthwhile and plausible, but in fact it often says things that are not correct.
hollosi · 3 years ago
Which is true for most human-generated content, too.
hollosi commented on No one reads the terms of service. Lawmakers want to fix that with 'TLDR' bill   washingtonpost.com/politi... · Posted by u/walterbell
hollosi · 3 years ago
The European Union has this for a few years now for electronic communications service providers, and it works well!

https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/faqs/contract-summa...

hollosi commented on Sperm counts worldwide are plummeting faster than we thought   nationalgeographic.com/ma... · Posted by u/Brajeshwar
zug_zug · 3 years ago
So this trend has been going on for a while now, I looked a bit into it about 5 years ago here's what I found:

- Tons of popular and legal products/chemicals are "endocrine disruptors"[1] (fancy term for mess with hormones).

- The FDA/EPA doesn't deny that, they don't themselves even really require tests for long-term health effects in humans (too difficult). Instead they give animals a 1000x+ dose and look for immediate drastic effects (this is abbreviated "LOAEL"). That's the reason we have a xenoestrogen in the lining of soda cans (BPA), because we're trusting that tiny doses must be negligible, which isn't necessarily a valid assumption [2].

- The attitude on a lot of chemicals is "Safe until proven guilty," but when some of these chemicals are suspect (e.g. pesticides) instead of a public announcement they are pulled from public use quietly prior to the point of definitive evidence. New/similar ones can be introduced with presumption of safe until proven guilty. (Search PFOAs if you want to get a sense of how ineffective our protection mechanisms are)

I came to the conclusion a radically new model is necessary, the EPA/FDA need to design models to test for fertility effects, perhaps multigenerationally, in their studies (fruit flies?) quickly.

My bet is within 20 years we'll see it as the more immediate problem than global warming.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endocrine_disruptor

[2] https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.2203/dose-response....

hollosi · 3 years ago
Plummeting sperm counts is a worldwide trend.

On the other hand, people in more industrial countries are exposed to different chemicals (BPA, FPOAs, flame retardants, food additives, etc.), than people in more agrarian countries (field chemicals, like fertilizers and pesticides). These chemicals are all harmful, but it's hard to blame a single class of them for a global problem.

If I had to pick a truly universal issue, I would say childhood and young adult obesity. Surprisingly, obesity is growing rapidly even in countries where hunger is also a problem.

hollosi commented on The first rule of Microsoft Excel: Don’t tell anyone you’re good at it   wsj.com/articles/the-firs... · Posted by u/metadat
Scarbutt · 3 years ago
Where is Perl the lingua franca?
hollosi · 3 years ago
Perl is preinstalled on pretty much every Linux and MacOS since time immemorial, and it's pretty much guaranteed to stay preinstalled for the foreseeable future.

Python3 is up and coming, and eventually it will get there, but old machines must die before it can reach ubiquity.

u/hollosi

KarmaCake day78February 9, 2019View Original