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automatic6131 commented on A new poverty line shifted the World Bank's poverty data   ourworldindata.org/new-in... · Posted by u/alphabetatango
DiogenesKynikos · 17 days ago
It's fairly easy to fix, as long as you are willing to do what it takes to address income inequality. Reduce the Gini coefficient and poverty decreases.
automatic6131 · 17 days ago
That's actually my point: if you take (e.g.) 65% of median income, in a world with a Gini coefficient of 1 - perfect inequality - the rate of poverty is 0%.
automatic6131 commented on A new poverty line shifted the World Bank's poverty data   ourworldindata.org/new-in... · Posted by u/alphabetatango
isbwkisbakadqv · 17 days ago
How do you think developing counties come up with their poverty lines? This new international number is just the median of those…
automatic6131 · 17 days ago
Usually they choose a deliberately stupid measurement such as "household income below a percentage of the median wage".

This is stupid for many reasons, including (but not limited to): non-monetary, in-kind benefits being excluded, perverse outcomes such as a decline in median wages "reducing poverty" and just about guaranteed continuation of this "poverty". So left wing politicians LOVE it. It's an everlasting cudgel that can never be fixed.

automatic6131 commented on GitHub is no longer independent at Microsoft after CEO resignation   theverge.com/news/757461/... · Posted by u/Handy-Man
scbrg · 19 days ago
Interesting. I consider Excel the worst of Microsoft's misdeeds. Not that there's not an abundance to pick from, but Excel may very well top the list.

It's perhaps the single worst database in the world; with no type control, no relationship management, no data safety whatsoever to speak of (it even actively mangles your data), its interface is utter madness, and yet - it's the most used database in the world.

It's perhaps the single worst development and runtime environment in the world, obscuring code, making reasoning about code and relations between code almost impossible, using a very obscure macro language that even morphs between different computers, and yet - it's the most used development and runtime environment in the world.

It's perhaps the single worst protocol/data exchange format in the world, with dozens of intentionally obscure, undocumented versions, insane format with surprising limitation (did I mention it actively mangles your data? - it's worth repeating anyway), supremely inefficient, and yet - it's the most used protocol/data exchange format in the world.

I can't really think of anything in the computing world that has done as much damage as Excel.

automatic6131 · 19 days ago
What you fail to realize is that (nearly) everything you think of as a flaw here is a key feature.

Excel allows norm(al users)ies to scale Mt Impossible from the bottom where they don't care about types, or relationships, and don't want to (because it's too abstract). They want to solve a problem. So they start with simple data given meaning by physical space, and work up from there.

It's genius. It's computing for people that will never care about pointers.

automatic6131 commented on Dropbox announces new gen server hardware for higher efficiency and scalability   dropbox.tech/infrastructu... · Posted by u/juanviera23
afandian · 20 days ago
> a new band of storage areal density has finally arrived

Surely 'density' is a measure of stuff per area? Does 'areal density' have an additional meaning?

automatic6131 · 20 days ago
Areal is the adjective form of area.
automatic6131 commented on How AI conquered the US economy: A visual FAQ   derekthompson.org/p/how-a... · Posted by u/rbanffy
nowayno583 · 24 days ago
That's a very out of the money view! If you are right you could make some very good money!
automatic6131 · 24 days ago
No as you and I both know - I can't. Because it's a qualitative view, and not a quantitative one. I would need to know _when_, quite precisely, I will turn out to be right.

And I don't know, because I have about 60 minutes a week to think about this, and also good quantitative market analysis is really hard.

So whilst it may sound like a good reposte to go "wow, I bet you make so much money shorting!" knowing that I don't and can't, it's also facile. Because I don't mind if I'm right in 12, 24 or 60 months. Fwiw, I thought I'd be right in 12 months, 12 months ago. Oops. Good thing I didn't attempt to "make money" in an endeavor where the upside is 100% of your wager, and the downside theoretically infinite.

automatic6131 commented on How AI conquered the US economy: A visual FAQ   derekthompson.org/p/how-a... · Posted by u/rbanffy
nowayno583 · 24 days ago
It is a very complex phenomenon, with no single driving force. The usual culprit is uncertainty, which itself can have a ton of root causes (say, tariffs changing every few weeks, or higher inflation due to government subsidies).

In more uncertain scenarios small companies can't take risks as well as big companies. The last 2 years have seen AI, which is a large risk these big companies invested in, pay off. But due to uncertainty smallish companies couldn't capitalize.

But that's only one possible explanation!

automatic6131 · 24 days ago
> The last 2 years have seen AI, which is a large risk these big companies invested in, pay off

LOL. It's paying off right now, because There Is No Alternative. But at some point, the companies and investors are going to want to make back these hundreds of billions. And the only people making money are Nvidia, and sort-of Microsoft through selling more Azure.

Once it becomes clear that there's no trillion dollar industry in cheating-at-homework-for-schoolkids, and nvidia stop selling more in year X than X-1, very quickly will people realize that the last 2 years have been a massive bubble.

automatic6131 commented on Life, Work, Death and the Peasant: Family Formation   acoup.blog/2025/08/01/col... · Posted by u/Khaine
CalRobert · a month ago
Interesting blog.. Is it not strange to see a post with 126 points and zero comment?

"in nearly all of these societies everyone got married and was expected to get around to having children because the community required them rather than necessarily because they wanted to."

I wonder if this is the uncomfortable truth behind low birth rates in the modern world, and nobody ever really _wanted_ to raise kids so much as they just kinda had to (especially if they wanted to have sex)

automatic6131 · a month ago
We have socialized the gains of children (via their adult tax receipt used to pay for benefits and healthcare) but (largely) privatized the costs of children solely onto their parents.

In the modern world, if you do not have children, but instead save your income in a retirement fund, you have an even better claim to the labor of the next generation than the childrens' parents through your increased retirement fund.

Privatized X matched with socialized anti-X is the classic condition for a moral hazard to emerge.

automatic6131 commented on Brave blocks Microsoft Recall by default   brave.com/privacy-updates... · Posted by u/XzetaU8
hunter-gatherer · a month ago
There definitely is a sort of pseudo generational gap of how peole interact with computers. I was having a conversation with a 20ish year old the other day about computer for storage and they didn't understand the filing cabinet analogy. Like, for then everything had to be in the desktop folder, but the concept that C:\Users\User\Desktop was like having a folder in a filing cabinet, where C: was the actual cabinet, was so alien to them.
automatic6131 · a month ago
My parents use their email inbox as a filing system. Specifically, a top of bucket filing system. They need something? Email it to them. Did you email it to them? Email again. They can find it if (and only if) it's near the top of their inbox.

A special kind of insanity that puts me in a mild, cold sweat. Such filesystems can come for your family too!

Worth noting, my father was an early adopter of the home computer. It's somehow regressed over the years.

automatic6131 commented on What’s on offer at a luxury Bay Area longevity clinic   sfchronicle.com/health/ag... · Posted by u/brandonb
maerF0x0 · a month ago
I'm frequently frustrated by journalism on these topics which show their ignorance or just "not getting it". It's important to focus not just on lifespan, but healthspan.

Even if I do not live a single year longer, improving the quality of those years is of value to me. There might even be some calculus underwhich its actually desirable to live a _shorter_ life but with far higher quality. Right now it sounds appealing to me if someone said "You'll only live to 85" (about a 2 year expected loss), "but you'll have the health of a 18-25 year old male for the entire time" ...

And if it does enable longevity... Society has a lot of catching up to do, and a lot of ripple challenges to effect. Things like what happens when someone who looks 25 is actually 55? Who should they socially acceptably date? (~25 year olds? ~55 year olds who look 25? ~55 year olds who look 55?)

What happens when your voter base has internalized values from far in the past? If we make someone live to 120, then we need to contend with values lasting for ~120 years, rather than dying off and being refreshed sooner.

automatic6131 · a month ago
>Things like what happens when someone who looks 25 is actually 55? Who should they date?

Genuinely, who cares about sci-fi questions like this?

Why aren't you worrying about how fairly matching four-armed martial artists against two armed? Answer: because it's so unlikely to happen, it's not worth it. We're not getting 55 year olds with the body of a 25 year old, we're getting slim 55 year olds wearing make up and taking TRT. That's not youth! It's a dumb facsimile.

automatic6131 commented on AGI Is Mathematically Impossible (3): Kolmogorov Complexity    · Posted by u/ICBTheory
Tuna-Fish · 2 months ago
How is your brain doing it then?
automatic6131 · 2 months ago
I could believe we're not generally intelligent.

u/automatic6131

KarmaCake day1508May 18, 2021View Original