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wildmanxx commented on Death by hockey sticks   dothemath.ucsd.edu/2022/0... · Posted by u/elahieh
m_dupont · 3 years ago
Yeah the worst thing is that with the extinction rate, he states that he implicitly sets the background extinction rate to 0 in the year 1000. This is going to bias his 3-point curve fitting even moreso.

The background extinction rate in the absence of humans is probably much higher than 0. New species are also continuously emerging while others are going extinct, so that the total number remains steady.

wildmanxx · 3 years ago
You are kinda arguing against your point.

Around the year 1000, it's a reasonable guess to assume that emergence of new species and species extinction were roughly in balance, so net extinction rate was indeed around 0.

Today, it's well-established that this net extinction rate is as horrible as is described. A few new species emerging here and there are not enough to compensate for the mess that we are causing on the extinction front, by orders of magnitude.

wildmanxx commented on Ask HN: What's the most stable form of digital storage?    · Posted by u/agomez314
imtringued · 3 years ago
Build a pyramid and carve your data into walls deep inside the pyramid.
wildmanxx · 3 years ago
And then pay somebody to guard it. Aka the "pay someone else to do it" option that your sibling comment talks about (and of which there are many different flavors, S3 being another one).
wildmanxx commented on Ask HN: What's the most stable form of digital storage?    · Posted by u/agomez314
michaelt · 3 years ago
S3 eliminates the risk of a disk becoming unreadable, or losing data in a fire. And it's overwhelmingly likely S3 will still exist in an easily readable form in 30 years time.

But it doesn't provide protection against you forgetting to pay AWS, you losing your credentials, your account getting hacked, or your account getting locked by some overzealous automation.

wildmanxx · 3 years ago
> And it's overwhelmingly likely S3 will still exist in an easily readable form in 30 years time.

There is no indication that this statement holds true. Not even remotely.

Businesses fold all the time. How many services still exist today that existed 30 years ago? Not in some archive, but still operational?

In addition to that problem, tech half-life continues to decrease. 30 years in the future is likely more comparable to 60 years in the past. Hello punch-cards.

wildmanxx commented on Germany shuts down half of its remaining nuclear plants   thehindu.com/news/interna... · Posted by u/rustoo
jabl · 4 years ago
Why not both?

Build renewables and nuclear instead of increasing dependency on gas from a geopolitical bully?

wildmanxx · 4 years ago
Why not just mix human rights in China also into the discussion? Make everybody into vegans cause animal cruelty? Police brutality? School crisis?

Obviously different problems are always best tackled in combination! Practically guarantees success. /s

And obviously geopolitical bullies should just not be talked to. Hm so let's see who is left to talk to then. Russia, China, U.S., NATO, none of those won't an option anymore. Good to keep your principles. And good luck doing anything good to the climate with the strategy of only talking to yourself (assuming your country isn't a geopolitical bully itself, which is likely quite a stretch, given the odds.)

wildmanxx commented on Germany shuts down half of its remaining nuclear plants   thehindu.com/news/interna... · Posted by u/rustoo
_dain_ · 4 years ago
paying way more for electricity is not a good thing, sorry.
wildmanxx · 4 years ago
Funny, I had this exact discussion with a colleague at work the other day. She claimed this is nonsense and won't change anybody's mind.

Then she mentioned that she just had bought a new car. I asked what kind, it's a hybrid. I asked why? Well, because her old car was using so much fuel, and with recent price hikes, that became too expensive, so she just bought one that was significantly more fuel efficient.

The _exact_ same person! Just 2 minutes after claiming monetary incentives don't work demonstrated that it actually worked for her!

I have high hopes that price hikes are what convinces people to change their behavior. Not ads, not appealing to ethics or conciousness or "the future of your kids" or pictures of dying polar bears. You need to feel it in your wallet, then you act, plain and simple.

wildmanxx commented on Germany shuts down half of its remaining nuclear plants   thehindu.com/news/interna... · Posted by u/rustoo
davidhariri · 4 years ago
This is so wrong. If you look at the death rate from those incidents and compare them to the death rates of literally any other source of energy (including other renewables), they are much much lower.

Nuclear is proven to be our most safe, clean and renewable source of energy.

Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/494425/death-rate-worldw...

wildmanxx · 4 years ago
Maybe convince somebody then to have final storage for nuclear waste anywhere close to where they live. Once this crap is in your backyard, the armchair philosophers find excuses really fast.

Similar with wind turbines, but at least those are so small scale that you can convince closeby towns fast by just letting them participate in the profits. Different story for leaking barrels stored underground.

(And yes, that's how this crap ends up. Just google Asse II and then let's discuss German cleanliness again.)

wildmanxx commented on Germany shuts down half of its remaining nuclear plants   thehindu.com/news/interna... · Posted by u/rustoo
jpxw · 4 years ago
One incident caused by a natural disaster that would never happen in a European country like Germany, the other caused by mismanagement and frankly jaw droppingly pigheaded incompetence which would also never happen in a country like Germany.

Edit: in response to the large number of people bringing up BER and other infrastructure failures in Germany: yes, BER and others may have been bad, but a completely different kind (and magnitude) of incompetence than that which led to the Chernobyl meltdown. They really aren’t comparable.

wildmanxx · 4 years ago
> jaw droppingly pigheaded incompetence which would also never happen in a country like Germany.

Hahaha! Haha! Ha. #sad

Dead Comment

wildmanxx commented on Germany shuts down half of its remaining nuclear plants   thehindu.com/news/interna... · Posted by u/rustoo
cheschire · 4 years ago
A bully (Russia) comes up to a child (Ukraine) and kicks them in the shin really hard (Crimea). Then grabs them by the shirt and rears back like they're about to punch the kid.

You're right, why waste money teaching the kid Aikido when we could instead spend that money on school tutors to try to get them into schools that don't have bullies.

wildmanxx · 4 years ago
Right, playing world police should be right at the top of Europe's plan for saving the climate.
wildmanxx commented on Germany shuts down half of its remaining nuclear plants   thehindu.com/news/interna... · Posted by u/rustoo
outside1234 · 4 years ago
We should call this the "enable Putin" and "destroy the climate" plan.

Honestly, I think we should declare a 50% tax on the gas going through the new Putin Nordstream 2 pipeline and direct the proceeds to NATO. Prices in externalities of gas usage and gets the EU closer to their NATO commitment.

wildmanxx · 4 years ago
And closer to war. Great solution! It's going to do so much good for the climate!

u/wildmanxx

KarmaCake day35September 30, 2019View Original