Because a) we know human-level intelligence is possible because we can directly observe it, b) GPU development has clearly slowed a lot but it hasn't stopped, c) even if it had stopped that doesn't mean they can never improve ever again, d) GPUs probably aren't the most efficient architecture for AI anyway so there are more opportunities for development even without process improvements, e) we're clearly not that far off AGI.

This is the sort of thing that might have made sense in 2005, not 2025.

I was willing to give this a chance because maybe he meant it won't happen soon, but no he's actually saying it will never happen. Crazy.

Name one "writing app" that doesn't apply to? Still feel like you're being needlessly harsh, don't you remember writing your first text editor too? Most of us do it at one point or another.

Why didn't programmers think of stepping down from their ivory towers and start making small apps which solve small problems? That people and businesses are very happy to pay for?

But no! Programmers seem to only like working on giant scale projects, which only are of interest to huge enterprises, governments, or the open source quagmire of virtualization within virtualization within virtualization.

There's exactly one good invoicing app I've found which is good for freelancers and small businesses. While the amount of potential customers are in the tens of millions. Why aren't there at least 10 good competitors?

My impression is that programmers consider it to be below their dignity to work on simple software which solves real problems and are great for their niche. Instead it has to be big and complicated, enterprise-scale. And if they can't get a job doing that, they will pretend to have a job doing that by spending their time making open source software for enterprise-scale problems.

Instead of earning a very good living by making boutique software for paying users.

It's "unauthorized use" rather than "stealing", since the original work is not moved anywhere. It's more like using your creative work to train a software system that generates similar-looking, competing works, for pennies, at industrial scale and speed.