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nsteel commented on Furiosa: 3.5x efficiency over H100s   furiosa.ai/blog/introduci... · Posted by u/written-beyond
roughly · a month ago
I am of the opinion that Nvidia's hit the wall with their current architecture in the same way that Intel has historically with its various architectures - their current generation's power and cooling requirements are requiring the construction of entirely new datacenters with different architectures, which is going to blow out the economics on inference (GPU + datacenter + power plant + nuclear fusion research division + lobbying for datacenter land + water rights + ...).

The story with Intel around these times was usually that AMD or Cyrix or ARM or Apple or someone else would come around with a new architecture that was a clear generation jump past Intel's, and most importantly seemed to break the thermal and power ceilings of the Intel generation (at which point Intel typically fired their chip design group, hired everyone from AMD or whoever, and came out with Core or whatever). Nvidia effectively has no competition, or hasn't had any - nobody's actually broken the CUDA moat, so neither Intel nor AMD nor anyone else is really competing for the datacenter space, so they haven't faced any actual competitive pressure against things like power draws in the multi-kilowatt range for the Blackwells.

The reason this matters is that LLMs are incredibly nifty often useful tools that are not AGI and also seem to be hitting a scaling wall, and the only way to make the economics of, eg, a Blackwell-powered datacenter make sense is to assume that the entire economy is going to be running on it, as opposed to some useful tools and some improved interfaces. Otherwise, the investment numbers just don't make sense - the gap between what we see on the ground of how LLMs are used and the real but limited value add they can provide and the actual full cost of providing that service with a brand new single-purpose "AI datacenter" is just too great.

So this is a press release, but any time I see something that looks like an actual new hardware architecture for inference, and especially one that doesn't require building a new building or solving nuclear fusion, I'll take it as a good sign. I like LLMs, I've gotten a lot of value out of them, but nothing about the industry's finances add up right now.

nsteel commented on Self hosting my media library with Jellyfin and Wireguard on Hetzner   layandreas.github.io/pers... · Posted by u/wismwasm
amatecha · a month ago
Yeah or even better I buy the album on Bandcamp, then they get either 85% of the price, or 100% on "Bandcamp Friday".
nsteel · a month ago
I think Bandcamp could do with a simple way to just pay artists money. There is that "name your price" thing but it's a bodge.
nsteel commented on Bose has released API docs and opened the API for its EoL SoundTouch speakers   arstechnica.com/gadgets/2... · Posted by u/rayrey
fgeiger · a month ago
Also, when the likes of Spotify change their APIs, the integration will likely stop working too.
nsteel · a month ago
Has that not already happened? Spotify recently broke streaming on a load of AVRs following the Anna's Archive release, I'd have thought this hardware would have suffered the same fate.
nsteel commented on Self hosting my media library with Jellyfin and Wireguard on Hetzner   layandreas.github.io/pers... · Posted by u/wismwasm
doublerabbit · a month ago
Maybe pointless, but if provided why not?
nsteel · a month ago
Because it's a complete waste of bandwidth.
nsteel commented on Self hosting my media library with Jellyfin and Wireguard on Hetzner   layandreas.github.io/pers... · Posted by u/wismwasm
soiltype · a month ago
Tidal and Qobuz are good, if you need a streaming service, although Qobuz is much less oriented around "pick a vibe and press play". They might not have exactly the things you like about Spotify, but as far as sacrifice goes, if you feel Spotify should be abandoned for ideological reasons, it's trivial.
nsteel · a month ago
Tidal seems less obsessed with breaking everything all the time. They have a decent API and while they want you to use their playback SDKs, they're relatively less hostile to the various 3rd-party playback libraries (they don't actually encrypt their media, so once you have a valid bearer token you've got everything). I've not tried their Tidal Connect solution but I have heard it's a bit rubbish.
nsteel commented on Backing up Spotify   annas-archive.li/blog/bac... · Posted by u/vitplister
Retr0id · 2 months ago
Then how do people with free accounts listen to music lol

(It is plausible they added some new DRM but it's not going to be anything too crazy)

nsteel · 2 months ago
Their official clients have moved over to playplay DRM protection for non-lossless files too. The old key endpoints no longer work for free accounts, they must have added a server-side check.
nsteel commented on Backing up Spotify   annas-archive.li/blog/bac... · Posted by u/vitplister
Retr0id · 2 months ago
You are correct
nsteel · 2 months ago
I believe that changed recently and Spotify started blocking the key requests from free accounts.
nsteel commented on CM0 – A new Raspberry Pi you can't buy   jeffgeerling.com/blog/202... · Posted by u/speckx
phire · 2 months ago
Problem is that I don't think LPDDR5 comes in any sizes smaller than 1GB, so if they want to stick to the current 512MB spec (and price point), LPDDR4 might be the way to go.

It might be nearer to EOL, but it's not actually EOL and should be fine for 5+ years after any EOL is announced.

nsteel · 2 months ago
Micron have announced EOL, yes they'll supply industry for a while but I don't think that's the place raspberry pi want to be.

Others seem to have delayed their announcements after realising they can still make a load of money off ddr4. Also not a great situation for a raspberry pi chip. https://www.trendforce.com/news/2025/09/02/news-samsung-sk-h...

nsteel commented on Backing up Spotify   annas-archive.li/blog/bac... · Posted by u/vitplister
troupo · 2 months ago
260+ million songs they don't own vs a dozen or so podcasts
nsteel · 2 months ago
Yes, but it's still the required correction to your claim. I actually don't know how many podcasts are using their publishing platform. I imagine it's considerably more than a dozen.

They want to own something but it's always going to be a drop in the ocean. They have a small new music label thing called RADAR but I imagine the failure rate on that is very high. They need to buy a label if they want to meaningfully change this. Just like Amazon now owns MGM and Netflix maybe getting Warner Bros. Presumably they can't afford to do this, and I don't think that integration would work as well in the music industry.

nsteel commented on CM0 – A new Raspberry Pi you can't buy   jeffgeerling.com/blog/202... · Posted by u/speckx
phire · 2 months ago
The 512Mb RAM die actually embedded into the same RP3A0 package as the CPU (it's the exact same CPU die used in the Raspberry Pi 3). So the stock is exactly the same world wide and linked. and I'm pretty sure the RP3A0 chips are packaged outside of China and would need to be shipped in for this.

Besides, China's RAM manufacturing is reasonably new, and only makes DDR4 and LPDDR4, not the older LPDDR2 which the RP3A0 uses.

But yes, they would have known LPDDR2 was EOL. It was EOLed 6 years ago, before they even launched the zero 2 (which they only introduced because the BCM2835 chip used by the original Zero was EOL), so it's not exactly clear why they are launching the CM0 now.

What makes the most sense to me is that they are currently developing a new chip, that will be a more-or-less drop in replacement for the RP3A0. If it's drop-in, then the design work on the CM0 won't be wasted.

Which would give us some clues on what the RP4x chip is, and it's current status (close enough that they know it will arrive before they run out of RP3A0 chips for the Pi Zero 2, but far enough away to bother launching the CM0 now, as long as the supply is limited).

This RP4x chip presumably needs to have low enough power/costs to fit the Pi Zero 3 budget (so quad Cortex-A725 cores?), while also using modern memory, LPDDR4 if not LPDDR5 to push the EOL out as far as possible. Since the Raspberry Pi 3 depends on the same EOL LPDDR2 memory, this theoretical RP4x chip will probably be used for a product refresh there too (and lowering their costs, as a bonus).

nsteel · 2 months ago
A new chip makes the most sense, good point. But pretty sure LPDDR4 is also pretty much EOL, it's going to get as expensive as LPDDR5 at this rate.

u/nsteel

KarmaCake day1974March 4, 2014
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