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keybored commented on Measuring the environmental impact of AI inference   arstechnica.com/ai/2025/0... · Posted by u/ksec
jillesvangurp · 3 days ago
Using less is always an individual choice. But not a realistic one to expect 8 billion+ people to take. That's also why fossil fuel usage is still increasing.

However, you might be too pessimistic here. Fossil fuel usage is actually widely expected to peak in the next few years and then enter a steady decline.

Michael Liebreich of Bloomberg NEF did a pretty interesting editorial on this decline a few weeks ago: https://about.bnef.com/insights/clean-energy/liebreich-the-p...

He uses a simple model with some very basic assumptions (conservative ones) where he shows how short term fossil fuel usage still increases. Mostly this is just market inertia. But then it will start decreasing and then some decades later, it declines all the way to zero with some long tail of hard to shift use cases.

He uses some very basic assumptions about economic growth continuing to grow by an average of 3%, a base assumption of renewables outgrowing energy demand increases by 3%, etc. You get to a modest fossil fuel decline by 2040, majority renewables powered economy by the 2050s. And virtually no fossil fuel left in the economy by 2065. The years change but the outcome stays the same as long as renewables outgrow demand increase.

There are lots of buts and ifs here but he's explicitly addressing the kind of pessimism you are voicing here.

keybored · a day ago
> Using less is always an individual choice. But not a realistic one to expect 8 billion+ people to take. That's also why fossil fuel usage is still increasing.

Thanks. This mindset is not always made this explicit.

That it is an individual-choice is just as true as the claim that it is a choice made by governments, corporations, non-profits, executives, etc. But this atomized fiction is the only one that is given focus. Why?

You said it yourself: the perspective is not even conducive to making any change! (“not a realistic...”) We can’t expect 8 billion to make atomized decisions for the betterment of the planet.

But that’s not what people with this mindset want. They want a scapegoat that (conveniently) cannot change. Or they want an excuse to keep doing what they are already doing. Because hey the entities “that are doing it” cannot change in the aggregate.

keybored commented on Japan city drafts ordinance to cap smartphone use at 2 hours per day   english.kyodonews.net/art... · Posted by u/Improvement
keybored · 3 days ago
I don’t know how Japanese city ordinances work.

What I would like from these things is to be able to opt-in to a recommendation. Just a two-minute way to opt-in. They can do the work and we all can have the least possible hassle trying it out.[1]

[1] I’m not up to date on the state of the art of limiting your own smartphone time

keybored commented on Sequoia backs Zed   zed.dev/blog/sequoia-back... · Posted by u/vquemener
keybored · 5 days ago
VC backing apparently has the power to move the standard from "hodge-podge 800-line commit must have an issue key" to "track every damn interaction and back and forth".

That and the ever-trailing "especially now with AI".

keybored commented on Modern CI is too complex and misdirected (2021)   gregoryszorc.com/blog/202... · Posted by u/thundergolfer
bluGill · 5 days ago
I disagree. CI and build systems have different responsibilities and so should be different systems. Both are extremely complex because they have to deal with the complex real world.

Many people have the idea they can make things simpler. Which is really easy because the basic problems are not that hard. Them someone needs "just one more small feature" which seems easy enough and it is - but the combination of everyone's small feature is complex.

Both systems end up having full programming languages because someone really needs that complexity for something weird - likely someone in your project. However don't abuse that power. 99% of what you need from both should be done in a declarative style that lets the system work and is simple. Just because you can do CI in the build system, or the build system's job with the CI system doesn't mean you should. Make sure you separate them.

You CI system should be a small set of entry points. "./do everything" should be your default. But maybe you need a "build", then "test part-a" and "test part-b" as separate. However those are all entry points that your CI system calls to your build system and they are things you can do locally. Can do locally doesn't mean you do - most of the time locally you should be an incremental build. Nothing should be allowed past CI without doing a full build from scratch just to make sure that works (this isn't saying your CI shouldn't do incremental builds for speed - just that it needs to do full rebuilds as well, and if full rebuild breaks you stop everyone until the full rebuild is fixed).

keybored · 5 days ago
> Many people have the idea they can make things simpler. Which is really easy because the basic problems are not that hard. Them someone needs "just one more small feature" which seems easy enough and it is - but the combination of everyone's small feature is complex.

This is becoming the standard refrain for all software.

keybored commented on Emacs as your video-trimming tool   xenodium.com/emacs-as-you... · Posted by u/xenodium
Waterluvian · 6 days ago
I hear stories like this and I can kind of see the proposition. But I’d be more eager to, somehow, see a long-running example of it all at work. I think I’m not so skeptical about what it can do, but somewhat skeptical that it’s actually as much of a paradigm shift as some describe it to be. I wonder if oftentimes it falls in the enjoyable hobby category of, “I just really enjoy upgrading my workshop.”
keybored · 5 days ago
The distinction between a profound paradigm shift and something that can be denigrated as a pasttime is subjective and in turn no empirical investigation will draw out an objective conclusion.
keybored commented on Shamelessness as a strategy (2019)   nadia.xyz/shameless... · Posted by u/wdaher
tropicalfruit · 7 days ago
70–90% of people have functional object impermanence, and at least 50% have no inner dialogue

no self awareness, no reflection. just impulse. me, me, me.

blasting music in public, talking at max volume, slamming doors. taking 20 mins to use an ATM when it takes me 30 seconds. and so on.

keybored · 7 days ago
A master Buddhist meditator deep in meditation might also have no inner dialogue.

I don’t really get the significance of this No Inner Dialogue meme.

keybored commented on Countrywide natural experiment links built environment to physical activity   nature.com/articles/s4158... · Posted by u/Anon84
keybored · 7 days ago
It’s funny how in a society everything gets commodified to the point of commodifying what you previously got (for free) as a side-effect of the typical lifestyle? I don’t think that’s “funny” as in ironic or puzzling—I think it’s entirely freaking predictable.

Be right back. I just have to look for a completely quiet treadmill for the open office where I spend my life.

keybored · 7 days ago
It’s funny how people think history is such a railroaded farce of “more progress more better” that when people get obese due to driving too much then that’s just the oopsie-doopsie irony of progress “backfiring”. No free lunch. I guess it’s easy to sell people on whatever is the status quo when all they can imagine is a straight line either regressing or progressing.
keybored commented on Countrywide natural experiment links built environment to physical activity   nature.com/articles/s4158... · Posted by u/Anon84
trainsarebetter · 9 days ago
It’s funny how as we increase a nations gdp, and general wealth, we commodify everything. day care, dog walkers, psychical activity, etc and then we have to go back and do all this market research and artificially recreate what was holistic about the more rural way of life.

There really is no free lunch!

keybored · 7 days ago
It’s funny how in a society everything gets commodified to the point of commodifying what you previously got (for free) as a side-effect of the typical lifestyle? I don’t think that’s “funny” as in ironic or puzzling—I think it’s entirely freaking predictable.

Be right back. I just have to look for a completely quiet treadmill for the open office where I spend my life.

keybored commented on AI is predominantly replacing outsourced, offshore workers   axios.com/2025/08/18/ai-j... · Posted by u/toomuchtodo
throwawayoldie · 7 days ago
In theory.
keybored · 7 days ago
Capitalists serve a useful function according to capitalist theory.
keybored commented on AI is predominantly replacing outsourced, offshore workers   axios.com/2025/08/18/ai-j... · Posted by u/toomuchtodo
simianwords · 7 days ago
Competing against others to come out at the top _is_ useful labor. The best one wins usually and as a consumer you want the best products to come on top.
keybored · 7 days ago
Maybe this is very Vulgar Marxist but that seems a bit like crediting gangsters competing to shake down construction businesses for building bridges.

u/keybored

KarmaCake day1893February 11, 2021View Original