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jhou2 commented on Microsoft has laid off entire teams behind Virtual, Mixed Reality, and HoloLens   windowscentral.com/micros... · Posted by u/ahiknsr
echelon · 3 years ago
VRChat is winning VR.

Despite there being a few alternatives (Neos, Chillout, etc.), nothing reaches the scale of VRChat's community, platform, and developer ecosystem.

Whoever buys VRChat wins VR.

jhou2 · 3 years ago
Eventually every app becomes chat.
jhou2 commented on TSMC is making the best of a bad geopolitical situation   economist.com/business/20... · Posted by u/MoSattler
komali2 · 3 years ago
I suspect the PRC won't outright bomb much of Taiwan but instead go straight for the presidential palace in Taipei and try to force an ROC capitulation early.

I think they're counting on the ruling class / landowners / capitalists to pressure the government to capitulate at fear of property destruction, which I also expect to be in line with reality. Doing capitalism in a country like taiwan is better than in the PRC, but doing it in the PRC is better than not being able to do it at all because all your assets were obliterated.

What I think none of these people are counting on is that there are rabidly anti CPC people here in Taiwan, leftist or otherwise, and some of these people engage in post-military service training and drilling. I suspect that if the above comes to pass and the CPC is successful in forcing an ROC surrender, the factories are burning one way or the other, due to "self-sabotage" by workers or guerillas.

Then the PLA gets to have fun for a decade chasing guerillas around the choking thick jungle and mountains that make up the majority of the landmass in Taiwan. Many of these will be indigenous who have lived in the mountains for generations and per capita by demographic make up more of the (non conscripted) military than any other demographic.

I don't think any of this will come to pass though because I, like most people in Taiwan (including the usa consulate staff), believe the possibility of invasion is slim.

jhou2 · 3 years ago
China is Taiwan's largest trading partner. 42% of Taiwan exports go to China and Hong Kong. 22% of Taiwan imports are from China. Around 200,000 to 400,000 Taiwanese work in China. China doesn't need to militarily invade Taiwan. Like Hong Kong, it can just wait until the economic reality is that Taiwan is already a vassal state dependent on China. At that point, it can move military troops into Taiwan if needed. There won't be a fight, because at that point, the USA will already be far more darkly insular.
jhou2 commented on Zuckerberg's leaked email on VR strategy (2015)   scribd.com/document/39959... · Posted by u/ppsreejith
6nf · 3 years ago
>I see little evidence for it.

Besides the fact that only 50 people are in the Metaverse right now? Literally nobody is using VR for meetings and work and stuff. Nobody likes being cut off from all real human interactions. At least with a video call I can see your face and you can see mine. VR? it's just voice chat with a stupid headset.

jhou2 · 3 years ago
Absolutely. After covid, people are craving physical contact and outdoor activities. Travel and tourism is trending up. This idea that people want to put on a headset and stay indoors, netflix and chill or whatever is not happening. Maybe the niche hackernews/reddit crowd might prefer to avoid social contact and put on a VR headset, but I'm not seeing that in the local restaurants, bars, shopping malls, concerts, and theatres. They are crowded.
jhou2 commented on Zuckerberg's leaked email on VR strategy (2015)   scribd.com/document/39959... · Posted by u/ppsreejith
paperwasp42 · 3 years ago
Another requirement that seems to get ignored is that you need to have the overwhelming majority of the public not feel sick when you use it. I recently had a friend bring a VR headset to a party for people to try out. About 15% of the people who tried it felt dizzy or nauseous after using it. (I did not try it because I know from experience I'll have a headache and be dizzy for hours afterward.)

Interestingly, similar to seasickness, the women who tried it seemed waaaaay more likely to be negatively impacted. Which opens up an entire other can of worms, such as: could an office get away with mandating the use of VR tech for meetings, when it has disproportionately negative impacts on women? (As a woman, I certainly hope they would not even try this!)

And as far as voluntary public adoption, having ~15% of your friend group unable to use a product is a fantastic way to kill network efforts. I doubt TikTok would be popular if 15% of the population got horrible headaches and nausea after watching a video on the platform.

Shockingly, no one seems to be talking about this aspect of VR. Which seems to be a really big red flag.

jhou2 · 3 years ago
I agree. I get motion sickness from playing FPS games. The symptoms improve, but it takes a while to adjust. Some people have no problem with it, whereas for some it is completely impossible to overcome. It's hard for me to see broad adoption of VR with the current technology.
jhou2 commented on Apple Reports Second Quarter Results   apple.com/newsroom/2022/0... · Posted by u/Bahamut
galogon · 4 years ago
The Watch, Mac and iPhone are doing great but the iPad lacks ambition and doesn't seem to have a direction. Who is in charge of the iPad division at Apple?
jhou2 · 4 years ago
I would argue that the typical reader at hacker news is not the target audience for iPad. Think young children and grandparents. My elderly mother loves her ipads. She has three of them. She can watch youtube on them, check email, chat apps, play music, control her TV. My preschool nieces and nephews love the iPad similarly for youtube and games. iPads are the easiest to use computers for people who are, for one reason or another, functionally computer-illiterate.
jhou2 commented on Restaurant workers quit at record rate   npr.org/2021/07/20/101608... · Posted by u/boulos
tarr11 · 5 years ago
A lot of this article is about fast food workers, who don’t get tips.

The answer is automation, logistics and supply chain improvements so you can service more customers with fewer, but more specialized employees who can be paid a living wage.

jhou2 · 5 years ago
heh or go the other way with more immigration of cheap labor who are willing to absorb the abuse.
jhou2 commented on Do-it-Yourself Vaccines for Covid-19   scientificamerican.com/ar... · Posted by u/pseudolus
Metacelsus · 6 years ago
Based on my understanding of immunology I don't think this peptide nasal spray is very likely to be an effective vaccine. In order to actually trigger an immune response, the peptides would need to get taken up by cells and displayed on MHCs. I don't think simply spraying them into the nose will be good enough. It's an interesting idea but I think they should test it on animal models before dosing humans.
jhou2 · 6 years ago
Well, I think they're trying to stimulate mucosal immunity, rather than trigger MHC presentation. But yes, more research is needed to determine effectiveness.

"This highlights one important advantage of an intranasal vaccine: a robust mucosal immune response should greatly reduce or prevent this systemic response by abrogating initial infection."

jhou2 commented on A prickly patriot: Palantir’s prospectus reveals losses, promise   economist.com/business/20... · Posted by u/jkuria
roenxi · 6 years ago
Yeah but ... consistently? Quarter after quarter? In advance of an IPO? No obvious uptrend in profit despite rising revenue? Obviously they won't get rich following my advice but I don't want to be on the hook providing the fuel for that fire.

I'm looking forward to seeing who will buy this thing; risky is an understatement looking at the P&L graph in the article. Lucky this youthful startup has only been around for 17 years. Maybe once it can legally start drinking it will find its way.

jhou2 · 6 years ago
Amazon lost money every quarter as well for years. There is a huge market in government and defense IT globally that Palantir could potentially tap into. Historically, it's been IBM's gig, but that could change very quickly.
jhou2 commented on The Long, Slow Death of Venice   bloomberg.com/news/featur... · Posted by u/pseudolus
bjourne · 7 years ago
I visited Venice about ten years ago. Definitely true that some parts are crowded and some parts empty. I visited the Jewish quarter (Venetian ghetto) midday and it was completely deserted. There was a closed Jewish museum, a run-down synagogue in need of repair, also closed, and a Holocaust memorial. But not a single sole in sight! I was completely alone on the square for several minutes.
jhou2 · 7 years ago
Same here. I also visited the Jewish quarter and it was absolutely empty. There was also a painting nearby that depicted how it was centuries ago, filled with people, mothers, and children. Astonishing that it is completely deserted now.
jhou2 commented on Jane Manchun Wong: App researcher who unlocks new features before they launch   bbc.co.uk/news/technology... · Posted by u/open-source-ux
wongmjane · 7 years ago
Hi, Jane here! I hope you like this profile of me :)

It has been delightful to watch different approaches companies take to enrich, optimize and harden their web and mobile apps.

For example, Facebook has been dogfooding a new approach to improve the overhead in their mobile apps since last year. I speculate (or hope) they will announce it during F8 2019 in coming days.

jhou2 · 7 years ago
Looking at your site for the first time, my immediate thought was: How has FB not hired you already?

u/jhou2

KarmaCake day498November 11, 2014View Original