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idontknowtech commented on Inside the "3 billion people" national public data breach   troyhunt.com/inside-the-3... · Posted by u/bubblehack3r
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
This sort of stuff will continue happening until the regulatory framework acknowledges a fundamental consumer right to privacy.

If a data broker collects data without the consent of the consumer, then their only real risk is a class action lawsuit which drags on for six years, gets settled for a few days profit, and the consumer gets $13.50 after the legal fees. This massive skew in the risk reward calculus of data brokers is why we have the problem. Because there's little to no real downside, the trend is automatically collect as much data on as many people as possible.

Fixing this means big, mandatory, cash penalties in the law code - say $5k per consumer data leak, directly to the affected consumer, with added penalties if the company lies about the leak or delays payment. The fine must be big, mandatory, and paid directly to the consumer. Only that changes the risk reward ratio.

In that new world, companies would have to re assess their risks. They'd either build invulnerable systems and hire a lot more people reading HN to protect their golden goose, or better still they'd decide to exit the business entirely. That sounds bad, but the only reason the industry exists is because regulators failed to foresee massive leaks like this happening every three months.

We need a consumer data privacy law, with massive fines, to force companies to change their behavior. What we're doing now clearly does not work.

idontknowtech commented on Monetagium – monetary extortion in feudal Europe   jpkoning.blogspot.com/202... · Posted by u/jpkoning
Mistletoe · 2 years ago
Bitcoin fixes this for the first time in human history. I’m excited about a future without monetary debasement. How many wars have been started by the “print more money until it is worthless, oops I have to start a war to fix it” spiral?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debasement

idontknowtech · 2 years ago
Bitcoin would make an awful legal tender, because by its design supply decreases while demand for it increases. An ideal, 0% inflation currency (assuming that is ideal) would expand and contract automatically with economic conditions. Satoshi considered this problem but decided it was too complicated to implement, which is why he went with the fixed supply route.

Still, it's worth remembering that a fixed supply currency will inevitably fail just as the metallic standards (which were semi fixed supply) did, and for the same reasons: politics. Metal backed currencies fell because the political will required to coordinate the system fell apart. Newly-enfranchised workers didn't find the message "suck it up, the gold standard requires it" very appealing politically, so they voted for other things that entailed fiscal and monetary policy. Central Banks, seeing the writing on the wall, abandoned gold en masse, with the US retaining it only for other central banks.

Bitcoin would have the same problem. It would be inevitably deflationary - halvenings, for example, are tied to computational power. Presumably, more demand for Bitcoin means more computational power, so its supply decreases just as demand increases.

Deflation is even worse than inflation for working people. Investment dries up, because why would somebody take a gamble on a business if they can keep their cash in their closet and make money, risk free? Employment therefore drops, while people decrease spending - why spend $100 on something today, if you can buy it for $85 in a year? Additionally, loans get more expensive in real terms, wages decline, and a whole host of other bad things happen.

That's why central banks target +2% inflation, in part. Inflation is preferable because it encourages investment, discourages nominal (and only nominal) wage decreases, decreases the real value of loans to the benefit of the debtor class, and other benefits. Central Banks also have a pretty successful record dealing with runaway inflation - hike rates, cause a recession, wait - whereas they lack tools to deal with deflation. At its simplest, the solution to deflation is for everyone to get a check from the government, but this whole field is considered weirdo experimental land and has only barely been tested.

All that is to say: Bitcoin is fundamentally ignorant of history and is incapable of becoming anything other than digital gold. It has a floor value which it cannot sink beneath: online gambling, illegal things, and privacy advocates (in that order) guarantee it will never truly hit $0.00. But it would be an absolute catastrophe for any country to adopt as its actual currency.

Now that I think of it, Bitcoin is perhaps one of the earliest examples of technophiles assuming society should work according to computer code, thereby "cleaning" these imperfect human systems by replacing them with the inevitable future: A philosophically-driven (rather than pragmatically or empirically, for example) system, with clear and inviolable rules, limited to no exceptions, and a happy ignorance of why existing systems came to be. After all, why study the past when we're creating the inevitable future?

idontknowtech commented on Big Tech says AI is booming. Wall Street is starting to see a bubble   washingtonpost.com/techno... · Posted by u/jameslk
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
It's definitely a bubble. Sam Altman wants to build $7tn worth of data centers; if that's not an indication of how ridiculous this has gotten, I don't know what is.

LLM has been vastly oversold to the general public as "AI" when the technology is nowhere near that. We haven't invented turing complete robots that independently identify problems, learn the solutions, and respond. LLM as a technology might not ever be able to do that, by the nature of how it works. We have only created chatbots that reply to prompts, with a higher than acceptable inaccuracy rate. And yet this justifies $7tn.

But silicon valley figured out that saying "AIAI" on repeat works for funding, then other companies started pretending they were the same for the instant stock gain. Rising interest rates and this wave led everyone to pull out of other companies and dump into anything vaguely related to AI. They rode the price up, and now that interest rates are falling (making other companies more attractive) they are rotating out.

This probably didn't become a full on bubble like crypto did because interest rates were high. It's still a bubble, but seems to be pricking of its own accord as opposed to becoming a gigantic, systemic problem.

That said, when rates fall again, we might see a second boom there. Or maybe another fad will strike silicon valley, to continue the trend.

VR - Crypto - Metaverse - LLM?

idontknowtech commented on Are people too flawed, ignorant, and tribal for open societies?   conspicuouscognition.com/... · Posted by u/jseliger
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
It's an unanswerable question, but the only option we have is to try and make them work. At least until the next best system comes about. Regressing backwards because old things lasted awhile is hardly the place we should aspire towards.
idontknowtech commented on Researcher finds flaw in a16z website that exposed some company data   kibty.town/blog/a16z/... · Posted by u/udev4096
paxys · 2 years ago
The company doesn't need a "hack" to not pay money. If they don't have a published bug bounty program then they owe nothing.

They also have contact email addresses listed at the bottom of https://a16z.com/connect, which the researcher conveniently missed.

They were looking for clout, not responsible disclosure.

idontknowtech · 2 years ago
I'm generally sympathetic to what you're saying, but I also detest a16z and Horowitz personally for being the epitome of "software guy decides he's expert at everything now" and his role in the crypto bubble.

Should the hacker have tried more? Sure, maybe. Do I really care? Definitely not

idontknowtech commented on Multisatellite data depicts a record-breaking methane leak from a well blowout   pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/... · Posted by u/belter
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
If you want to get really scared about methane leaks, sinkholes are forming across the tundra as global warming melts the permafrost, creating gigantic methane bubbles as the previously frozen organic material now rots. Those bubbles explode once big enough, creating massive pockmarks which fill in with water.

The amount of methane they leak is estimated to be gigantic, but without full coverage we'll never know.

idontknowtech commented on Ask HN: Has anyone been fired for ignoring in-office mandates?    · Posted by u/pards
zigglezaggle · 2 years ago
Not me, but I've had a direct peer fired because they did not comply. They received recurring monthly notices for about 6 months and were then terminated (no severance or other allowances were given that are typically given to performance-based termination).

This peer was typically evaluated as a high performer during performance reviews, but was denied for their request to remain remote, and they decided to ignore the order and accept the consequences.

The organization is also actively monitoring and blocking bonuses and promos for those who are not fully ignoring the mandate but are not meeting the full expectation.

USA based financial institution.

idontknowtech · 2 years ago
Idiotic decision by that employer. Who cares where the employee is, if they're a top performer?

I'm convinced the back to office mandates come from people who thrive in office environments. Those people succeed, get promoted, become leadership, and then assume everyone else works just like they do. It's absolutely not the case.

That's without going into the many, many studies of office environments which provide empirics disproving common myths about office work, such as the oft-repeated lie that open offices encourage collaboration. Those facts just don't compute for people who love working in those spaces, so they ignore them and repeat happy lies instead.

idontknowtech commented on Russia Leverages AI-enhanced "Meliorator" software for foreign malign influence   cyber.gc.ca/en/news-event... · Posted by u/toss1
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
If you want to see some arguing really hard, check out r/UkraineRussiaReport

I enjoy it because you can genuinely interact with FSB influencers.

idontknowtech commented on The Bleak Genius of Michel Foucault   compactmag.com/article/th... · Posted by u/Caiero
slowhadoken · 2 years ago
I’ve read Foucault. I’m familiar with western and continental philosophy. I studied psychology, sociology, and political science too. Foucault‘s influence, as well as French existentialism and post-structuralism in general, are to blame for the current state of social science. Boiling everything down to a cultural power struggle is a pyramid scheme, a cult that infiltrated American academia. It’s certainly not a moral philosophy and Foucault’s life reflects that.
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
Couldn't agree more fully. It's a shallow lens that's not very good at prediction.
idontknowtech commented on The Bleak Genius of Michel Foucault   compactmag.com/article/th... · Posted by u/Caiero
slowhadoken · 2 years ago
Noam Chomsky called Foucault a morally bankrupt phony. I think Chomsky was being kind.
idontknowtech · 2 years ago
Foucault is the primary intellectual force behind the contemporary social science trend of seeing everything through a power relationships lens. His influence cannot be overstated, at least in the American academy. It's bizarre.

u/idontknowtech

KarmaCake day124March 14, 2024View Original