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frgtpsswrdlame commented on There Is a Significant Need for Retirement Savings in the US   apolloacademy.com/there-i... · Posted by u/FigurativeVoid
grandempire · 6 months ago
I think we should revisit the policy of an actual forced savings account - rather than the bad proxies for it: social security, home equity, 401k.

The general population is not smart enough to understand a 401k and raids it as soon as they can.

The Obama administration was big on the “gentle nudge” policies - so that for example they would enroll you in retirement, but you could opt out, but I don’t think that’s strong enough.

frgtpsswrdlame · 6 months ago
>I think we should revisit the policy of an actual forced savings account - rather than the bad proxies for it: social security, home equity, 401k.

I think social security is a far better setup than forced savings account. The fact that it's much harder to raid, that it's not really 'your money' locked up somewhere is a big reason why it has lasted as long as it has.

frgtpsswrdlame commented on The Riddle of Luigi Mangione   gurwinder.blog/p/the-ridd... · Posted by u/nth_degree
frgtpsswrdlame · 8 months ago
So this guy had a few twitter exchanges with Luigi and he thinks the US healthcare system isn't that bad? Doesn't really seem like an article for HN. But as long as we're here I think, sort of like Luigi, I'll let other people argue about whether the US healthcare system functions well or efficiently. But as for this:

>While it’s true that UnitedHealthcare has the highest denial rate for medical claims, the CEO doesn’t set the approval rate of a health insurance company’s payouts — that’s done by the actuaries, who themselves are constrained by various considerations, such as the need to keep costs low, including for policyholders.

By this logic, what can Brian Thompson be said to be responsible for? It's very strange to me to assign more responsibility for a companies denial rates to its actuaries than the actuaries' bosses bosses boss. So why exactly does UHC have higher denial rates than other companies? It just happens to be that it's actuaries are more frugal? This explanation doesn't hold water and I think it's a strange response to the shooting of a CEO to say, well actually CEOs aren't responsible for the things their corporations do. Of course they are, now they aren't solely responsible, but they probably have more responsibility than any other single individual. It can be completely true that killing Brian Thompson was wrong AND that he was no saint, being responsible for (and getting rich off of) large amounts of human misery inflicted on UHC policy holders by the organization he headed.

frgtpsswrdlame commented on Updates to H-1B   uscis.gov/newsroom/news-r... · Posted by u/sul_tasto
frgtpsswrdlame · 9 months ago
Regarding this part:

Clarification of specialty role

  - Less strict on the direct link between degree/job responsibilities

  - Recognizes that AI may require multiple academic background
You really won't need to clarify whether the role is a specialty one or not if you just increase the minimum wage for H1Bs. I really don't know why we don't have some rule that pins H1B wages to like the 90th percentile wage.

frgtpsswrdlame commented on USDA locks barn door after Listeria escapes   efoodalert.com/2024/12/17... · Posted by u/speckx
wyager · 9 months ago
It's more efficient to treat food safety standards as a criminal matter rather than a civil matter. If it's frequently treated as a civil matter, it results in endless (and endlessly costly) civil suits. The standards for successfully pursuing a civil judgement have to be extremely high in situations like this to discourage destructive ambulance-chasing.
frgtpsswrdlame · 9 months ago
10 people died from the Boars Head contaminated meat. I guess I don't really mind if a few lawyers chase those ambulances and extract a lot of money out of that company?
frgtpsswrdlame commented on USDA locks barn door after Listeria escapes   efoodalert.com/2024/12/17... · Posted by u/speckx
frgtpsswrdlame · 9 months ago
I thought the issue was deregulation? Something like Trump rolled back some rules about oversight and then Biden never put them back into place? Does the USDA even have the power to fix this?

Anyways, having a pregnant wife right now, it's worrying that listeria is on the rise. We're already avoiding stuff like deli meat but when there's listeria in the frozen waffles, mushrooms, and vegetables you have to wonder what's really going on.

frgtpsswrdlame commented on Konwinski Prize   andykonwinski.com/2024/12... · Posted by u/tosh
optimalsolver · 9 months ago
>$1M for the AI that can close 90% of new GitHub issues

If your AI can do this, it's worth several orders of magnitude more. Just FYI.

frgtpsswrdlame · 9 months ago
If you're the only one that can come close. Kaggle competition prizes are about focusing smart people on the same problem. But it's very rare for one team to blow all the others out of the water. So if you wanted to make a business out of the problem kaggle will (probably) show the best you could do and still have no moat.
frgtpsswrdlame commented on Ask HN: Examples of agentic LLM systems in production?    · Posted by u/SebaSeba
bwfan123 · 9 months ago
there are workflows where the outputs are "narratives" - an example is customer support. another example is summarization of text. characteristic of these use cases is that there is no one right answer. in these use cases agents fit in well.

issue however, is that the agents cannot be chained. ie, chaining requires deterministic outputs and not narratives.

frgtpsswrdlame · 9 months ago
>characteristic of these use cases is that there is no one right answer

I think what you mean is that they work best in cases where it's very hard to measure how well they are working.

frgtpsswrdlame commented on Maybe Bluesky has "won"   anderegg.ca/2024/11/15/ma... · Posted by u/GavinAnderegg
nabla9 · 10 months ago
Threads has 275 million monthly active users.

Bluesky has now 15 million total users (how many active?)

Mastodon monthly active usage has dropped below 1 million.

frgtpsswrdlame · 10 months ago
Yeah but what made Twitter twitter wasn't really the usercount, it was the mix of established voices and complete randos mixing. If the journalists and economists and politicians go to Bluesky, it will win. I definitely don't think that's a given but it seems much more plausible now than it did a few months ago.
frgtpsswrdlame commented on The Blowout No One Sees Coming   app.vantagedatahouse.com/... · Posted by u/thomascountz
gonzo41 · 10 months ago
Well nate silver is still trading off his past success. Now 538 says it's a toss up, so what's the point of that site if it offers no new insight.
frgtpsswrdlame · 10 months ago
I mean what if it is a toss up? Were we talking about a literal, actual coin flipping, calling it as 50-50 is a better insight than calling it as either heads or tails.
frgtpsswrdlame commented on The Blowout No One Sees Coming   app.vantagedatahouse.com/... · Posted by u/thomascountz
frgtpsswrdlame · 10 months ago
I like the dashboarding more than the analysis lol. I think FL is just a red state now and positing it as anything else smells a little fishy to me. Also, I think there's a thing now where all sorts of analysts know they can get a name out of making one big correct prediction that everyone else got wrong. That's lead to a lot of predictions being made with the intention of being contrarian.

u/frgtpsswrdlame

KarmaCake day5881October 20, 2016
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