Building software is actually so easy that my 8 year old niece can do it. Shipping software is what's hard.
But who are you shipping it to if everyone is building it?
Readit Newsenos_feedler commented on They lied to you. Building software is hard blog.nordcraft.com/they-l... · Posted by u/xiaohanyu
enos_feedler commented on Nvidia Stock Crash Prediction entropicthoughts.com/nvid... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
I think the way to think about the AI bubble is that we're somewhere in 97-99 right now, heading toward the dotcom crash. The dotcom crash didn't kill the web, it kept growing in the decades that followed, influencing society more and more. But the era where tons of investments were uncritically thrown at anything to do with the web ended with a bang.
When the AI bubble bursts, it won't stop the development of AI as a technology. Or its impact on society. But it will end the era of uncritically throwing investments at anyone that works "AI" into their pitch deck. And so too will it end the era of Nvidia selling pickaxes to the miners and being able to reach soaring heights of profitability born on wings of pretty much all investment capital in the world at the moment.
Bubble or not it’s simply strange to me that people confidently put a timeline on it. To name the phases of the bubble and calling when they will collapse just seems counter intuitive to what a bubble is. Brad Gerstner was the first “influencer” I heard making these claims of a bubble time line. It just seems downright absurd.
The darkest hour is just before the dawn
enos_feedler commented on The recurring dream of replacing developers caimito.net/en/blog/2025/... · Posted by u/glimshe
I think it's like super insane people think that anyone can just "code" an app with AI and that can replace actual paid or established open-source software, especially if they are not a programmer or know how to think like one. It might seem super obvious if you work in tech but most people don't even know what an HTTP server is or what is pytho, let alone understanding best practices or any kind of high-level thinking regarding applications and code. And if you're willing to spend that time in learning all that, might as well learn programming as well.
AI usage in coding will not stop ofc but normal people vibe coding production-ready apps is a pipedream that has many issues independent of how good the AI/tools are.
I think this comment will not age well. I understand where you are coming from. You are missing the idea that infrastructure will come along to support vibe coding. You are assuming vibe coding as it stands today will not be improved. It will get to the point where the vibe coder needs to know less and less about the underlying construction of software.
enos_feedler commented on The recurring dream of replacing developers caimito.net/en/blog/2025/... · Posted by u/glimshe
> The customer might be able to do it themselves
Have you ever paid for software? I have, many times, for things I could build myself
Building it yourself as a business means you need to staff people, taking them away from other work. You need to maintain it.
Run even conservative numbers for it and you'll see it's pretty damn expensive if humans need to be involved. It's not the norm that that's going to be good ROI
No matter how good these tools get, they can't read your mind. It takes real work to get something production ready and polished out of them
You are missing the point. Who said anything about turning what they make into a “business”. Software you maintain merely for yourself has no such overhead.
enos_feedler commented on The recurring dream of replacing developers caimito.net/en/blog/2025/... · Posted by u/glimshe
>The customer will have little idea what is even possible and will ask for a product that doesn't solve their actual problem.
How do you know that? For tech products most of the users are also technically literate and can easily use Claude Code or whatever tool we are using. They easily tell CC specifically what they need. Unless you create social media apps or bank apps, the customers are pretty tech savvy.
I agree. People forget that people know how to use computers and have a good intuition on what they are capable of. Its the programming task that many people cant do. Its unlocking users to solve their own problems again
enos_feedler commented on The recurring dream of replacing developers caimito.net/en/blog/2025/... · Posted by u/glimshe
Classic Jevons Paradox - when something gets cheaper the market for it grows. The unit cost shrinks but the number of units bought grows more than this shrinkage.
Of course that is true. The nuance here is that software isn’t just getting cheaper but the activity to build it is changing. Instead of writing lines of code you are writing requirements. That shifts who can do the job. The customer might be able to do it themselves. This removes a market, not grows one. I am not saying the market will collapse just be careful applying a blunt theory to such a profound technological shift that isn’t just lowering cost but changing the entire process.
"LLVM IR is actually remarkably stable these days."
I'm by no means an LLVM expert but my take away from when I played with it a couple of years ago was that it is more like the union of different languages. Every tool and component in the LLVM universe had its own set of rules and requirements for the LLVM IR that it understands. The IR is more like a common vocabulary than a common language.
My bewilderment about LLVM IR not being stable between versions had given way to understanding that this freedom was necessary.
Do you think I misunderstood?
This take makes sense in the context of MLIR creation which introduces dialects which are namespaces within the IR. Given it was created by Chris Lattner I would guess he saw these problems with LLVM as well.
enos_feedler commented on Code is cheap now, but software isn't chrisgregori.dev/opinion/... · Posted by u/fs_software
> The barrier to entry has effectively collapsed.
Google, Apple, Meta, X, Bluesky, Shopify, Stripe and all the big software companies must be really shaking in their boots for disruption against the army of vibe coders. /s
(They are actually laughing at all of them)
What a random set of companies to choose. You'd probably need to think critically about each one of those when assessing the accuracy of your statements.