dumbfoundded (u/dumbfoundded)

dumbfoundded commented on Vibe coding creates a bus factor of zero mindflash.org/coding/ai/a... · Posted by u/AntwaneB

brandall10 · 3 days ago

There's also a middle ground, where you have the AI generate PR reviews and then review them manually. So that 2 minutes of code you spat out (really more like 5-10 using CC) takes another hour or three to review, and maybe 5 to 10 more commits before it's merged in.

I've done this successfully on multiple projects in the 10-20k LOC, ~100 file area - fully LLM generated w/ tons of my personal feedback - and it works just fine. 4/5 features I implement it gets pretty close to nailing from the spec I provide and the work is largely refactoring. But the times it doesn't get it right, it is a slog that could eat the better part of a day. On the whole though it probably is a 3-5x speedup.

I'm a little less confident about doing this on projects that are much bigger... then breaking things up into modules begins to look more attractive.

dumbfoundded · 3 days ago

It's definitely a middle ground, but PR reviews, are not perfect. So it's easy to miss a lot of things and to have a lot of extra baggage. From reviewing code it's not always easy to tell exactly what's necessary or duplicate. So I agree, this is a middle ground of using LLMs to be more productive. Removing one bad line of code is worth adding a hundred good lines of code.

dumbfoundded commented on Training for one trillion parameter model backed by Intel and US govt has begun techradar.com/pro/the-gpt... · Posted by u/goplayoutside

munksbeer · 2 years ago

The opposite for me. Corporation have naked greed as their driving motivation, but that usually doesn't involve killing off all of their customers. That would be quite unprofitable.

People elected to government often seem to seek power for powers sake and I have less faith that they'll not harm us.

dumbfoundded · 2 years ago

The difference between a government and a corporation is the ability to use violence. A government is just a corporation with a monopoly on violence (police, military, jails...). The structure of how people are organized is more significant. Are we talking about a dictatorship or a functioning democracy? Are we discussing a non-profit or a publicly listed company?

dumbfoundded commented on Math proof draws new boundaries around black hole formation quantamagazine.org/math-p... · Posted by u/EA-3167

ls612 · 2 years ago

What even is the smallest primordial black hole possible to still exist here 14B years later?

dumbfoundded · 2 years ago

I'm not sure. Somewhere around 10^12 kg of initial mass would be evaporating today (1). So perhaps there is no meaningful minimum, only a minimum initial mass. If it's just about to evaporate, it could perhaps be arbitrarily small. Earth is ~10^25 for reference.

(1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Micro_black_hole#Expected_obse...

dumbfoundded commented on Math proof draws new boundaries around black hole formation quantamagazine.org/math-p... · Posted by u/EA-3167

raydiatian · 2 years ago

Here’s a fascinating question:

If an LHC collision were to form a blackhole,

1. How long would it last

2. Could we detect it

3. How much mass would need to be collided to suck in Earth?

dumbfoundded · 2 years ago

It's not a practical possibility. The black hole wouldn't last long and would be too small to actually absorb anything. It's the equivalent of asking if a nuke would set the atmosphere on fire.

Even a "large"ish primordial black hole would probably just pass straight through the Earth without anyone noticing.

Strange matter on the other hand...

dumbfoundded commented on Elizabeth Holmes is going to prison – with a $500M bill theregister.com/2023/05/1... · Posted by u/damethos

petesergeant · 2 years ago

Does anyone have a clear and simple answer on why she got two years less than Sunny Balwani?

dumbfoundded · 2 years ago

Best analysis I've seen: "Balwani might have been perceived as someone “a little bit older and wiser” who should’ve known better."

https://qz.com/theranos-sunny-balwani-jail-time-elizabeth-ho...

dumbfoundded commented on Britain’s biggest skills problem is that many firms don’t value them economist.com/britain/202... · Posted by u/mfiguiere

AtlasBarfed · 2 years ago

Hot gptchat take of the minute: programmers are less threatened than middle management

Imagine replacing middle managers with basically dictation and tracking personnel and delegatingdecisions and report to chatgpt.

dumbfoundded · 2 years ago

Programmers just move up the stack with some staying behind to manage the edge cases and optimizations in the underlying tech. Same thing happened with the move to cloud.

It's unclear which jobs with be enabled with more productivity vs replaced completely.

dumbfoundded commented on 95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority darrellowens.substack.com... · Posted by u/apozem

jrobbins · 3 years ago

Even if California adds housing, how can it possibly add enough water, roads, schools, parks, etc? It's just trading one crisis for another.

The coastal regions are already over-crowded at current prices. The overall cost is just too high. It's wasteful compared to building in other regions. And, it's unnecessary because so much of modern work can be done remotely.

Instead of allowing 80% of housing at market rate to subsidize 20% low-income housing in an unsustainable growth pattern, California should mandate that large employers offer at least 20% of their office employees the opportunity to work remotely. Creating an escape valve for local demand would slow the growth of housing costs without adding new infrastructure requirements.

dumbfoundded · 3 years ago

Many other places have solved this problem. San Francisco has relatively low population density compared even when only looking at US cities. NYC is very livable.

It's in CA best long term interest to support as many people as possible. Remote work isn't going to solve the problem that someone who works at Walgreens cannot afford to live within 20 mi of the city.

dumbfoundded commented on Google’s fully homomorphic encryption compiler – a primer jeremykun.com/2023/02/13/... · Posted by u/mmastrac

golol · 3 years ago

When I first learned about homomorphic encryption it gave me the idea of "cryptographic AI", as some sort of sci-fi writing prompt. Suppose compute is readily available to interstellar civilizations but actually designing a (super)intelligent AI is difficult. Then it could be economically feasible for cryptographic AI to exist. These are descriptions of AIs that run under homomorphic encryption, where the private key is only known by the AI itself. The description of the AI program and its state is spread throughout many locations and generally runs in a decentralized way. Planet earth might receive a segment of a cryptographic AI and make deal: Earth executes the program with some inputs it may choose to compute a solution to a problem. The program can be given inputs via a public key. The execution of the program can not be modified or manipulated since it is running under homomorphic encryption. What the AI gets in return is that earth provides it with additional compute that it may use for its own purposes. Earth furthermore allows the AI to transmit updated fragments of state into the stars. Over the course of many years, the pieces of state of the decentralized AI spread throughout the galaxy combine to represent the thoughts and actions of a singular entity. If earth modified the computations then the transmitted state could cryptographically be seen to not be valid, and hence would not be used in the decentralized galaxy spanning computation of the AI. Furthermore if earth cheats the AI in the deal then there may be consequences such as relativistic kinetic kill projectiles.

dumbfoundded · 3 years ago

I think cryptographic AI will become a reality. The use-case I was thinking is more of immortality/digitizing human consciousness. If you could be uploaded (like the show Upload), what would that actually look like?

Well, plain text representation would just be too dangerous. Companies could mine your consciousness, duplicate it at will or whatever else they wanted. It's a scary thought. FHE provides the solution.

dumbfoundded commented on An incomplete guide to stealth addresses vitalik.eth.limo/general/... · Posted by u/tolani_somoye

dumbfoundded · 3 years ago

This is already doable with most wallets today. Most wallets enable you to create 2^64 addresses from the same seed phrase. These are hardened and can't be linked together by just creating them.

So if Alice wants to send Bob an NFT, Bob creates a new address (recoverable with the same seed phrase) and Alice sends it there. Bob can then fund the wallet with tornado cash to use the NFT.

It's a stupidly complex way to achieve privacy and Tornado Cash is illegal. That's why we need private by default chains like Aztec & Aleo

dumbfoundded commented on Binance caught commingling funds between US and international exchanges dirtybubblemedia.substack... · Posted by u/senttoschool

vkou · 3 years ago

> I wrote a longer comment a year ago but here's a piece: "The price of gold was $45/oz in 1970. 52 years later it's $1,800/ounce. That's roughly 7.6% a year or 45x increase. If you use the inflation provided by the government, CPI, (1), they say inflation is only 3.6%/year or roughly 7x since 1970. Obviously we have a discrepancy. Is the dollar worth 45x less than 1970 or 7x times?

The main[1] answer to your riddle is that the economy grew about ~6x faster than we have been mining gold. The dollar is closer to being worth 7x less than 45x less.

> When we look at prices of things like education, housing, and healthcare, the 45x number makes a lot more sense. Education has 30x in price over the same time period (2).

The same amount of education isn't actually 30x more expensive.

Because you're not getting the same services in exchange for your money today, as you were 50 years ago.

If you drop the money-pit sports programs, the entirety of the administrative sector, the nice new dorm buildings, and account for reduction in public funding, you'll find that the growth in the cost of education is much closer to the cost of inflation.

It's not all that expensive, even in 2022, to stuff a group of young adults into a lecture hall and have an underpaid adjunct who doesn't even get health insurance read off Powerpoint slides to them for 15 hours a week. It's the everything else, most of which has nothing to do with education that costs money.

[1] The secondary answer to your riddle is that late-night-infomercial-manufactured demand from goldbugs and other morons can easily raise the price of gold significantly above where it 'ought' to be. Beanie babies, baseball cards, NFTs, shitcoins, etc.

dumbfoundded · 3 years ago

College education is ~30x more expensive (1). Home prices (2) & Health care (3) are ~22x more expensive. Farm land is up 20x (4)

> The main[1] answer to your riddle is that the economy grew about ~6x faster than we have been mining gold. The dollar is closer to being worth 7x less than 45x less.

How are you measuring it? It's a circular argument if you measure it in dollars. If it measure it in anything that can't be made more efficient due to automation & offshoring, it's no where near a 7x decrease.

> [1] The secondary answer to your riddle is that late-night-infomercial-manufactured demand from goldbugs and other morons can easily raise the price of gold significantly above where it 'ought' to be. Beanie babies, baseball cards, etc.

Gold is simply a good that's impossible to mass produce with technology. Use land, housing, healthcare, education or whatever you feel is most representative. Using toothpaste and tv's for CPI is a bad measurement in the last 50 years, our technology for mass producing them has lowered the true cost.

(1) https://educationdata.org/average-cost-of-college-by-year

(2) https://www.in2013dollars.com/Medical-care/price-inflation

(3) https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ASPUS

(4) https://www.statista.com/statistics/196400/average-value-of-...