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diamondage commented on The Waymo World Model   waymo.com/blog/2026/02/th... · Posted by u/xnx
hibikir · a month ago
The surprise was not that they existed: There were chatbots in Google way before ChatGPT. What surprised them was the demand, despite all the problems the chatbots have. The pig problem with LLMs was not that they could do nothing, but how to turn them into products that made good money. Even people in openAI were surprised about what happened.

In many ways, turning tech into products that are useful, good, and don't make life hell is a more interesting issue of our times than the core research itself. We probably want to avoid the valuing capturing platform problem, as otherwise we'll end up seeing governments using ham fisted tools to punish winners in ways that aren't helpful either

diamondage · a month ago
The uptake forced the bigger companies to act. With image diffusion models too - no corporate lawyer would let a big company release a product that allowed the customer to create any image...but when stable diffusion et al started to grow like they did...there was a specific price of not acting...and it was high enough to change boardroom decisions
diamondage commented on A case study in PDF forensics: The Epstein PDFs   pdfa.org/a-case-study-in-... · Posted by u/DuffJohnson
Der_Einzige · a month ago
Stylometry is extremely sophisticated even with simple n-gram analysis. There's a demo of this that can easily pick out who you are on HN just based on a few paragraphs of your own writing, based on N-gram analysis.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33755016

You can also unironically spot most types of AI writing this way. The approaches based on training another transformer to spot "AI generated" content are wrong.

diamondage · a month ago
Why are they wrong? Surely it depends on how you train it?
diamondage commented on A flawed paper in management science has been cited more than 6k times   statmodeling.stat.columbi... · Posted by u/timr
uriegas · a month ago
I agree. Most of the time people think STEM is harder but it is not. Yes, it is harder to understand some concepts, but in social sciences we don't even know what the correct concepts are. There hasn't been so much progress in social sciences in the last centuries as there was for STEM.
diamondage · a month ago
I'm not sure if you're correct. In fact there has been a revolution in some areas of social science in the last two decades due to the availability of online behavioural data.
diamondage commented on Queueing to publish in AI and CS   damaru2.github.io/general... · Posted by u/damaru2
bonoboTP · 5 months ago
That's a very economics-minded approach. Also, I'm not quite sure what the futures would be about. That a paper will... get N citations? get a job for the first author? Achieve N stars on GitHub? N likes on social media? Be patented and put in a product? Turn X USD in profit? Bet on retraction? Bet on acceptance? On awards? Or replicability?

The first question is what scientific research is actually for. Is it merely for profitable technological applications? The Greek or the humanistic or the enlightenment ideal wasn't just that. Fundamental research can be its own endeavor, simply to understand more clearly something. We don't only do astronomy for example in order to build some better contraption and understanding evolution wasn't only about producing better medicine. But it's much harder to quantify elegance or aesthetics of an idea and its impact.

And if you say that this should only be a small segment, and most of it should be tech-optimization, I can accept that, but currently science runs also on this kind of aesthetic idealist prestige. In the overall epistemic economy of society, science fills a certain role. It's distinct from "mere" engineering. The Ph in PhD stands for philosophy.

diamondage · 5 months ago
The question 'what is science actually for' can be sidestepped. Everyone can agree that it has value, albeit we disagree on the actual value...this is why you need a market. As to how things get priced in such a market, this is a subject for further research...To start, it just needs to tie to something measurable. Heck we've created memecoins with far less backing. Also, we've carved up the conceptual space on a very course grained level with patents, we just need a more immediate, and granular system for doing so...
diamondage commented on Queueing to publish in AI and CS   damaru2.github.io/general... · Posted by u/damaru2
bonoboTP · 5 months ago
It doesn't address the core issue. It's credential inflation.

Not sure that enough people understand that the vast vast majority of research papers are written in order to fulfil criteria to graduate with a PhD. It's all PhD students getting through their program. That's the bulk of the literature.

There was a time when nobody went to school. Then everyone did 4 years elementary to learn reading, writing and basic arithmetic. Then everyone did 8 years, which included more general knowledge. Then it became the default to do 12 years to get to the high school diploma. Then it became default to do a bachelor's to get even simple office jobs. Then it's a masters. Then to actually stand out now in a way that a BSc or MSc made you stand out, you need a PhD. PhD programmes are ballooning. Just as the undergrad model had to change quite a bit when it went from 30 highly-motivated nerds starting CS in a year vs. 1000. These are massive systems, the tens or hundreds of thousands of PhD students must somehow be pushed through this system like clockwork. Just for one conference you get tens of thousands of authors submitting similar amount of papers and tens of thousands of reviewers.

You can't simply halt such a huge machine with a few little clever ideas.

diamondage · 5 months ago
Actually, the problem is pricing. If we could identify and correctly value new concepts, then we can dispense with citations and just use the correct sum of concept valuations. Perhaps a correctly designed futures market would not only solve getting the right PhD students the right jobs, but bring a lot of speculative capital into fundamental research?
diamondage commented on Novel hollow-core optical fiber transmits data faster with record low loss   phys.org/news/2025-09-hol... · Posted by u/Wingy
rtrgrd · 6 months ago
All the hedge funds sniping orders right now lol
diamondage · 6 months ago
Low latency starlink orders on hold
diamondage commented on Show HN: Whispering – Open-source, local-first dictation you can trust   github.com/epicenter-so/e... · Posted by u/braden-w
ilyakaminsky · 7 months ago
Shameless plug -- check out speechischeap.com

I spent three months perfecting the speaker diarization pipeline and I think you'll be quite pleased with the results.

diamondage · 7 months ago
How well does it work with multiple languages?
diamondage commented on The Robot Sculptors of Italy   bloomberg.com/features/20... · Posted by u/helsinkiandrew
xnx · 8 months ago
diamondage · 8 months ago
Didn't they get their robots from Italy?
diamondage commented on What I learned gathering nootropic ratings (2022)   troof.blog/posts/nootropi... · Posted by u/julianh65
jassyr · 8 months ago
I'm in a similar situation but with multiple sclerosis for over 15 years. I love to exercise, however on some days a medium-intensity cardio session will leave my brain functioning at like 50% which is not great for my job. I gotta work hard to make sure my gas tank has enough for all the tasks planned for that day. My neurologist calls it Energy Management.
diamondage · 8 months ago
Tried creatine?

u/diamondage

KarmaCake day110December 3, 2021View Original