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clavalle commented on Probability and Markets [pdf]   janestreet.com/static/pdf... · Posted by u/max_
spaceman_2020 · 3 years ago
What was the probability that one of JaneStreet’s alumni, Sam Bankman Fried, would use JaneStreet’s brand name to build up credibility and then pull off the biggest ponzi scheme in human history?
clavalle · 3 years ago
Slightly lower than one of MIT's alumni doing the same.

It's telling that Jane Street stayed away from the whole mess despite the connection.

clavalle commented on Mike Rowe's warning to white collar workers 'The robots are coming' for your job   foxbusiness.com/economy/m... · Posted by u/nradov
nullc · 3 years ago
Learn to weld
clavalle · 3 years ago
Counter proposal: I'll learn to relax
clavalle commented on Replication of room-temperature superconductor fails to show superconductivity   phys.org/news/2023-05-rep... · Posted by u/airstrike
edgyquant · 3 years ago
If something can’t be reproduced it definitely should be rejected.
clavalle · 3 years ago
'Cannot' being the operative word.

'Did not' does not necessarily mean 'cannot'.

clavalle commented on Ask HN: Has journaling improved your life?    · Posted by u/psikomanjak
clavalle · 3 years ago
Writing simply helps me to think clearly. So journaling is just a way for me to crystalize my thoughts. And it works great for that. It also helps me see patterns I might not be aware of over time.

Mine tends to be stream of consciousness, just one level above brain-dumping on scratchpaper, until I hit on something I want to explore. Then it becomes more structured (and sometimes ends up very structured indeed in mindmaps or various project folders, etc).

It works great for me. I get ideas down in useful forms. I don't have to continually consciously think on ideas to keep them alive, reducing cognitive load. I have a tool for effective reflection. I feel like it's helped me lead a more intentional life. Simple as that.

clavalle commented on DocuSign to lay off 10% of its workforce, or about 700 employees   cnbc.com/2023/02/16/docus... · Posted by u/tooba
ianbutler · 3 years ago
Yeah I don't see it. If you're just counting developers there has been less than 10% of the total us developer workforce laid off to date since 2022. This just seems like wishful thinking on the part of business owners. Sorry folks we still cost a premium.
clavalle · 3 years ago
Not only that, software is a unique sector in which a lot of the capital is in the talent.

These companies aren't laying off labor that have few choices. They're budding off knowlegible competetors.

If these folks can't find a well paying job it's a very real option to create a well-performing company.

clavalle commented on DocuSign to lay off 10% of its workforce, or about 700 employees   cnbc.com/2023/02/16/docus... · Posted by u/tooba
fdgsdfogijq · 3 years ago
It's going to take a long time for tech compensation to recover. Even if the stock market recovers, the wages will be lower.

All the laid off employees will take low compensation somewhere. Every time a good opportunity opens up (1+ year from now), all these low comp people will jump at it, suppressing the wage of that job.

Hard to imagine how long it will take for that effect to disappear, need a stock market boom or low rates again

clavalle · 3 years ago
Nothing is more expensive than cheap talent.

Besides, the market is still super tight and shows very few signs of loosening.

What we're seeing is that the old-guard companies have hit their autumn years. But companies being companies autumn could last for decades.

I think we had too much talent dedicated to some of these sectors anyway. There's a lot of interesting problems out there that could use more attention.

clavalle commented on DocuSign to lay off 10% of its workforce, or about 700 employees   cnbc.com/2023/02/16/docus... · Posted by u/tooba
AngeloAnolin · 3 years ago
I don't quite understand the logic where people being laid off from their positions / responsibilities and the jobs being posted are similar in nature.

For one, are you really saving costs when you're losing some individuals with deep knowledge of the job for which you would need to re-train a new individual to come up to the same speed and productivity as with the previous person doing the job?

Doesn't this also make productive / talented / hardworking people shy away from your job posting when they know that your company recently laid off employees?

clavalle · 3 years ago
I have personally been approached by internal recruiters for a position just after the company very publicly laid off people with my title and are going after 'middle management'.

I declined.

I'm a software architect but I strongly believe that the organization of people is as important as the organization of software. So architects and principals, to be the most effective, should have management authority. Middle management, if done well, makes or breaks mid to large software companies. An organization that doesn't deeply respect that role isn't anywhere I want to be.

clavalle commented on Half of Americans now believe that news organizations deliberately mislead them   fortune.com/2023/02/15/tr... · Posted by u/jwond
clavalle · 3 years ago
Are there any journalism democratization efforts we should be aware of?

An organization who has incentives aligned with providing journalism for the people?

clavalle commented on Ask HN: Laid off folks, are you getting hired?    · Posted by u/bosch_mind
Ncarpentieri4 · 3 years ago
I was laid off in november, in vc. Looking for PM/Ops roles. Applied to a ton of stuff where I was a great fit, no answer or immediate rejection lol. I'm 8 years out of school and am not applying for roles that are unrealistic.

I think the entire hiring/search process is so broken. Different applications, formats. Don't get me started on having to fill out sections in a form that are just resume sections (work experience, schools etc.).

Going across big VC firm portfolio openings also super fragmented. It's opened my eyes to how awful the process of hiring is from both sides.

Doing consulting/contract work, advisory, and side projects as I hang on cofounder matching and apply to jobs on workatastartup, wellfound, and linkedin. Pretty dismal job search process.

clavalle · 3 years ago
>"Don't get me started on having to fill out sections in a form that are just resume sections"

I haven't been laid off but I've been dipping my toe in the past few months because I'm a bit bored in my current role.

The process is much more fiddly than it needs to be. When I run into those 'fill this out again for our system' forms, often times it's after a long day and I will just save it to come back to it later...and I never do.

I wonder how much talent mobility there'd be if someone really solved the issues of repetative job search data entry and just proving to strangers that you can excel in a role without running through an obstacle course that may or may not represent the actual job.

clavalle commented on US Department of Energy: Fusion Ignition Achieved   energy.gov/articles/doe-n... · Posted by u/novateg
Mistletoe · 3 years ago
Good Lord the universe is old. To think of how rare all that must be and how it had to have time to somehow get here to our planet.
clavalle · 3 years ago
If they weren't here, we wouldn't be able to talk about it.

I'd be interested to know if we're in an element rich vein of the wider universe or if all the good stuff is more or less evenly distributed?

u/clavalle

KarmaCake day3408October 11, 2009
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