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aionaiodfgnio commented on Fitch Downgrades the US Rating to 'AA+'   fitchratings.com/research... · Posted by u/david927
ativzzz · 2 years ago
You and I both know that if we raise more money, we will spend more money. There is no situation when the U.S. makes more money without immediately increasing spending
aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
Thanks, Dr. Freud.

Wait, I don't believe that at all, for the following reasons:

1. The opposite hasn't been true. We have seen two dramatic tax cuts in recent history which absolutely did not lead to reduced spending.

2. The majority of federal spending is for healthcare or social security. Spending in these areas is somewhat hard to change, even with the political will. It's certainly damn near impossible to decrease such spending; it would immediately cause massive hardship for the most vulnerable people in our society (and probably riots riots).

3. The U.S. has run a surplus before and somehow didn't immediately bet it all on the ponies.

Perhaps our modern politics are so dysfunctional that there is no way out.

aionaiodfgnio commented on Fitch Downgrades the US Rating to 'AA+'   fitchratings.com/research... · Posted by u/david927
nostromo · 2 years ago
People will complain about the debt ceiling -- granted, it's kinda dumb -- but it's also the only speed bump left to unlimited money printing.

The core issue is the size of the debt. The US is constantly paying off old debt with new debt. Except this year the cost of those funds quadrupled -- which means, even more debt.

If interest rates stay high for several years, our national debt will balloon out of control. At a point we'll have no money left for anything but interest on the debt, or we'll just print so much money to pay interest on our national debt inflation will come back with a vengeance.

At some point I'd love to see a grand bargain where we 1) raise taxes a bit and 2) lower spending a bit. I'm not holding my breath...

aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
We know how to reduce the deficit: raise taxes on the rich. It's not rocket appliances. It's just a complete non-starter given the current GOP. The people screaming the loudest about the deficit are the same people preventing any real steps to fix it.
aionaiodfgnio commented on Fitch Downgrades the US Rating to 'AA+'   fitchratings.com/research... · Posted by u/david927
FloatArtifact · 2 years ago
Isn't even possible for the US to pay off their national debt completely?
aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
Sure. The U.S. could run a surplus like it did under Clinton. Surplus & time -> debt paid off.

But the only way we know to get back to those days involves raising taxes on the rich. The people ranting and raving about the debt would never agree to raising taxes, so the deficit hawks will continue blowing up the deficit until things fall apart completely.

aionaiodfgnio commented on Fitch Downgrades the US Rating to 'AA+'   fitchratings.com/research... · Posted by u/david927
infamouscow · 2 years ago
There's no incentive to do anything except wait until the last moment.

From a game theoretic perspective, waiting until the last moment is the most optimal.

Therefore, it will continue to happen until the voters find it so unpopular they begin voting out politicians that behave like this.

aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
The last few times this particular form of terrorism has been tried, it has achieved little. If the people threatening us had won major victories then maybe the strategy would make a sick kind of sense. Instead they won token policy concessions at best. Causing real harm to the people whose vote you need in exchange for make-believe gains is not generally a good strategy.

But there are actually people deluded enough to say Biden was responsible for the most recent hostage-taking, so hell if know what's going on. Maybe the GOP could actually blow up the US economy without consequences.

aionaiodfgnio commented on Fitch Downgrades the US Rating to 'AA+'   fitchratings.com/research... · Posted by u/david927
onos · 2 years ago
For sure. Possibly the magnitude of our debt is an issue too.
aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
We don't need to speculate.

>Ratings Downgrade: The rating downgrade of the United States reflects the expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years, a high and growing general government debt burden, and the erosion of governance relative to 'AA' and 'AAA' rated peers over the last two decades that has manifested in repeated debt limit standoffs and last-minute resolutions.

aionaiodfgnio commented on SEC Charges Hex Founder Richard Heart with Misappropriating Millions of Dollars   sec.gov/news/press-releas... · Posted by u/mfiguiere
Analemma_ · 2 years ago
Apart from maybe Coinbase, I just take as a given that every single actor in crypto is a criminal, and so far this assumption has been pretty much bang-on accurate.
aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
Maybe Coinbase won't just waltz off with their depositor's money, but their business model appears to be illegal from top to bottom. The SEC alleges that basically everything they are doing is illegal. Even if the SEC is wrong, Coinbase's practice of operating as broker, exchange, and clearing agent is a massive conflict of interest.
aionaiodfgnio commented on Amazon requires services on Fire TV to give it 30% of ad impressions or revenue   streamtvinsider.com/video... · Posted by u/Mikho
nikodunk · 2 years ago
I have 7 HDMI slots on my TV, ready for Peacock Stick, Hulu Disney Plus stick, Netflix Stick, Paramount Plus stick, Max Hub etc etc

Not more than seven though mmmkay?

aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
Sounds like you need a KVM.
aionaiodfgnio commented on The Right to Lie and Google’s “Web Environment Integrity”   rants.org/2023/07/the-rig... · Posted by u/boramalper
quailfarmer · 2 years ago
Agreed there is no explicitly enumerated right, but in the context of computing, it is not illegal for a computer to transmit “untrue” information. Fraud is a significantly higher bar. I am not a cyber-lawyer.
aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
In the U.S., most rights are not explicitly enumerated. People are assumed to have all conceivable rights, and the restrictions must be explicitly enumerated. There is no law against lying in general.

There is, however, an explicitly enumerated right to freedom of speech. There are only a handful of recognized categories of non-protected speech. Lying isn't one of them.

aionaiodfgnio commented on LK-99: The live online race for a room-temperature superconductor   forums.spacebattles.com/t... · Posted by u/fofoz
alchemist1e9 · 2 years ago
More like governments aren’t as clever as claimed. The markets would have put all the bad actors out of business permanently and redistributed the resources (like shinny new buildings and engineers) to areas where they would better be utilized.

Instead it was turned into an opportunity to launder money at planetary scale.

This likely hints to why the truth about the benefits of brutally efficient free markets is distorted in education, it would require the teaching of the remarkable incompetence of collectivism and governments! which we know who won’t like that.

aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
You are well outside mainstream economics. The existence of market failures is only disputed by a tiny minority of economists. You can disagree with the consensus of experts, of course, but it's ridiculous to claim they don't have the "proper education".

I don't think you even realize that your beliefs are fringe.

aionaiodfgnio commented on The Right to Lie and Google’s “Web Environment Integrity”   rants.org/2023/07/the-rig... · Posted by u/boramalper
rileymat2 · 2 years ago
I am not sure where you are getting this as a right, because things like fraud are illegal. It might be good policy but where is the right?
aionaiodfgnio · 2 years ago
In American law, the right to speak is assumed. It is the lack of a right to speech that is the exception. There are only a handful of categories of unprotected speech, which can be easily enumerated, and lies aren't one of them.

Fraud, defamation, perjury, and obstruction of justice are illegal. That's a much narrower restriction than a ban on lies.

u/aionaiodfgnio

KarmaCake day41July 29, 2023View Original