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UebVar commented on Waymo seeking about $16B near $110B valuation   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/JumpCrisscross
floxy · 9 days ago
>I’m not even convinced humanoid robots are going to pan out in general.

I want one personally, so it can rake the leaves, mow the lawn, tend the garden, do the laundry and dishes, replace the roof, etc., when I'm old. But they should also be used to pick up litter along the highway, paint over graffiti, etc..

UebVar · 9 days ago
I feel like the humanoid form is getting in the way for that, and that a "Spot" like design with a hand on top is better suited for that. Also i think laundry and dishes are already 95% automated since about 50 years.
UebVar commented on Waymo seeking about $16B near $110B valuation   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/JumpCrisscross
alooPotato · 9 days ago
> There are many reasons why a conglomerate like Alphabet doesn't want to hold all of that directly on the balance sheet

Can you tell us those reasons? I think this is basically _the_ question.

UebVar · 9 days ago
"Tech" was incredible light on CapExp compared with everything else (until AI hit, that is). That is what allowed its explosive growth. On the one hand alphabet is not used to that. On the other hand it is turning into a more normal business with more CapExp, and like other more "normal" business it uses more external investment. As a general rule of thumb: The more capex, the more leverage; for example commodity extraction, infrastructure or power generation are very capex heavy, and heavily leveraged.

Deleted Comment

UebVar commented on Waymo seeking about $16B near $110B valuation   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/JumpCrisscross
belter · 9 days ago
Waymo is not solving driving, it is closer to a sophisticated Disney Parkland ride. It is running inside a tightly constrained Operational Design Domain:

- Geofenced areas

- HD pre-mapped roads

- Curated infrastructure

- Remote ops fallback

This is not general autonomy, it is highend automation inside a controlled distribution. The system degrades exactly where humans do not: construction, unmapped lane shifts, police manually directing traffic, chaotic mixed behavior.

A cop overriding a light is not an “edge case”, it is a semantic and social reasoning problem that current perception stacks still do not robustly solve. It works because the world is pre modeled, not because the car understands driving.

Scaling that beyond a few mapped US suburbs into Europe is a totally different problem. Dont get fooled by Wall Street stock pumping.

UebVar · 9 days ago
Roads are not solving transportation, they are closer to a sophisticated trace track. Roads are a constrained Operational Design Domain:

- Geofenced areas

- pre-build structures

- Curated infrastructure

- fallback to gravel in times of the inevitable event of maintenance.

This is not general transportation, it is a highend infrastructure inside a controlled environment. The system degrades exactly where humans/horses do not: River crossings, Creeks, steep hillsides, marshes, beaches.

A river flooding a road is not and "edge case", it a usual occurrence, and a problem that roads do robustly solve. It works due to extensive maintenance, not because the asphalt can actually deal with water.

Scaling that beyond a few mapped US suburbs into Europe is a totally different problem. Dont get fooled by Wall Street stock pumping.

UebVar commented on 25 Years of Wikipedia   wikipedia25.org... · Posted by u/easton
gwbas1c · a month ago
Without context, it looks like the interviewer was a jerk and ambushed him.

I've seen plenty of stalling like that on major news programs, and the interviewer always knows to move on (and possibly edit something in to provide context.)

---

That being said, "who started what" and "who had what idea" are silly topics to obsesses about. It always come down to who put the long-term work in. I think Wales was "in the right" to walk off; or at least say something like "I can't tell the story accurately, so please move on to a different question."

UebVar · a month ago
The interview started with the most mundane question "Who are you?", and the very first sentence of Wales is either a lie or misleading. The journalists asks for clarification (thats a journalists job, btw), and in his second sentence of the interview Wales insults the journalist. I'm pretty sure who is the jerk here.

It also was Wales who bought up the topic, not the journalist. If he considers it a stupid topic he does not want to talk about, why is it the very first thing he talks about?

UebVar commented on Apple Maps claims it's 29,905 miles away   mathstodon.xyz/@dpiponi/1... · Posted by u/ColinWright
theamk · 2 months ago
That's no excuse for disbelieving GPS for extended periods of time.

Google Maps gets it right: it tried to keep you on road, but only for a few tens of seconds. After that, if you are in the middle of uncharted territory, it'll show the marker there.

(This is probably because Google Maps can be used for walking/biking too)

UebVar · 2 months ago
>(This is probably because Google Maps can be used for walking/biking too)

Please don't do that. The map is simply not good enough and does not have enough context (road quality, terrain, trail difficulty) for anything but very causal activity. Even then I highly recommend to use a proper map, electronic or paper.

UebVar commented on Iran begins cloud seeding operations as drought bites   arabnews.com/node/2622812... · Posted by u/mhb
paxys · 3 months ago
Has this ever been proven to actually work?
UebVar · 3 months ago
No, and explanations on how it could work are implausible.
UebVar commented on Tim Bray on Grokipedia   tbray.org/ongoing/When/20... · Posted by u/Bogdanp
UebVar · 3 months ago
So you where banned for, by your own accord, motivated reasoning?

This is the best endorsement for wikipedia possible.

UebVar commented on EuroLLM: LLM made in Europe built to support all 24 official EU languages   eurollm.io/... · Posted by u/NotInOurNames
arbuge · 3 months ago
> Maltese, interestingly, is the only Afro-Asiatic derived language.

It's Semitic, to be precise.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semitic_languages

UebVar · 3 months ago
Arabic, even. An outlier, as it is AFAIK the only arabic dialect that is not written with the arabic alphabet. Also it's far removed from other arabic dialects.
UebVar commented on Tinder, Hinge, and their corporate owner keep rape under wraps   themarkup.org/investigati... · Posted by u/rendaw
encoderer · 5 months ago
Yes, and if you want to claim otherwise you should bring some specifics.
UebVar · 5 months ago
Him being on the board of Palantir seems very specific. Empowering the worlds dictators is not compatible with my idea of a good guy.

u/UebVar

KarmaCake day71November 16, 2023View Original