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wtvanhest commented on The chemical secrets that help keep honey fresh for so long   bbc.com/future/article/20... · Posted by u/bookofjoe
yorwba · 6 months ago
There are no errors in the calculation, but it's wrong anyways because it calculates the answer to the wrong question. "At best" suggests this is the largest possible effect, but it is the smallest possible. To get an upper bound estimate on the usefulness of avoiding honey, you would need to know how many parents of 1-year-olds are avoiding honey.
wtvanhest · 6 months ago
Thanks! You said that much better than I did.
wtvanhest commented on The chemical secrets that help keep honey fresh for so long   bbc.com/future/article/20... · Posted by u/bookofjoe
loeg · 6 months ago
https://parentdata.org/honey-botulism-babies/

> Infantile botulism is extremely rare. There are an estimated 100 cases per year in the U.S., among approximately 4 million children in the age range under 1. That’s a risk of 1 in 40,000. This is somewhat less likely than the chance of visiting the ER for a blanket-related injury in a given year (yes, I looked that up, and I do think it’s a good comparison).

> ... In an estimated 20% of cases — that’s about 20 cases a year — honey is one of the exposures. This doesn’t necessarily mean that the botulism actually came from honey; it’s just that because we know the spores can live in honey … it seems possible.

> At best, this suggests that by avoiding honey, you could lower the risk of infantile botulism from 1 in 40,000 to 1 in 50,000.

wtvanhest · 6 months ago
I don’t think these probabilities are correct. Every parent is told not to feed their under 1 year olds honey, many times.

In an extreme example… only 20 parents fed their kids honey and 20 kids contracted botulism.

That would be a 100% risk. Obviously in real life it’s not 100% of kids, but still could be a meaningful percentage and likely higher than 1 in 50,000 for babies that eat honey.

wtvanhest commented on Show HN: Countless.dev – A website to compare every AI model: LLMs, TTSs, STTs   countless.dev/... · Posted by u/ahmetd
lolinder · a year ago
One thing that stands out playing with the sorting is that Google's Gemini claims to have a context window more than 10x that of most of its competition. Has anyone experimented with this to see if its useful context window is actually anything close to that?

In my own experiments with the chat models they seem to lose the plot after about 10 replies unless constantly "refreshed", which is a tiny fraction of the supposed 128000 token input length that 4o has. Does Gemini actually do something dramatically differently, or is their 3 million token context window pure marketing nonsense?

wtvanhest · a year ago
What tactics do you use to refresh while using them?
wtvanhest commented on NHTSA: Car crashes cost Americans $340B   nhtsa.gov/press-releases/... · Posted by u/doener
rapatel0 · 3 years ago
Makes me wonder why I pay 2600/year in insurance
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
Multiple factors may lead to you paying more than the average:

1. Not all Americans have cars or drive.

2. Each state has different legislative structures which impact payouts and medical costs. Some states cost more than the average per accident, some cost less.

3. Your risk may be higher than average

4. You may drive more or less miles than average

5. Your choice of car makes you more or less risky

wtvanhest commented on Peloton CEO quit after laying off 2,800. A lesson about how not to lead (2022)   inc.com/jason-aten/peloto... · Posted by u/whereistimbo
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
We bought one back in 2020 and I’d say it’s the single best purchase I have made in the last 10+ years. My wife and I use it or the app to work out almost every day and I’ll log 700+ hours this year which will be about 10% more than last year. 75% of which will be off bike in the other classes which you can pay a lower membership for.

Despite some really bad decisions by the management team on letting expenses get out of control, it’s an absolutely incredible product.

wtvanhest · 3 years ago
70 hours! Not 700! Can’t edit. But easily 1.5+ hours per week.
wtvanhest commented on Peloton CEO quit after laying off 2,800. A lesson about how not to lead (2022)   inc.com/jason-aten/peloto... · Posted by u/whereistimbo
rubidium · 3 years ago
Bluntly, this sounds exactly like a "as seen on tv" testimonial. No one denies the product was compelling / successful. It's just that fitness products are an incredibly fad-ish market. Something else will come along and be the new bright shiny thing.
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
We bought one back in 2020 and I’d say it’s the single best purchase I have made in the last 10+ years. My wife and I use it or the app to work out almost every day and I’ll log 700+ hours this year which will be about 10% more than last year. 75% of which will be off bike in the other classes which you can pay a lower membership for.

Despite some really bad decisions by the management team on letting expenses get out of control, it’s an absolutely incredible product.

wtvanhest commented on SimCity 4 was released 20 years ago   rockpapershotgun.com/simc... · Posted by u/jdkee
xixixao · 3 years ago
Age of Empires 2, Sim City 3000, Diablo2 and Red Alert 2. Released in the span of 3 years. What an incredible era. Can’t shake off the feeling that 3D took away as much as it gave gaming. Also can’t believe it’s just my age-based selection bias.
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
Red Alert 2. That was such a fun game. One thing that has been majorly lost in games now is the ability to create levels too. I loved the creation part
wtvanhest commented on Keyboard tricks from a macOS app dev   notes.alinpanaitiu.com/Ke... · Posted by u/imaq
httpteapot · 3 years ago
Does Rectangle has a shortcut to switch the focused window in a split screen?
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
I’ve kind of solved this. You can snap windows but you need to add a shortcut in systems to do it. It’s not perfect, but it does work and overtime you miss it less and less
wtvanhest commented on AirPods causing tinnitus?   discussions.apple.com/thr... · Posted by u/makk
cwales95 · 3 years ago
This is very interesting. I've noticed my tinnitus has seemed to be worse as of late. I exclusively use AirPods Pro. I wouldn't say I listen to loud music, but I'm wondering if the noise cancellation could have something to do with it...
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
I have tinnitus and AirPod pros and haven’t noticed any difference. I do find that not drinking out of straws or especially camelpak style bottles with straws really minimizes it. Also, more sleep, less tinnitus
wtvanhest commented on Sesame allergen labeling law has unintended effect: sesame in more foods   fox9.com/news/new-us-food... · Posted by u/4ad
mynegation · 3 years ago
Thank you for your reply and best wishes to your family! I know it can be a bit of an intrusive question, but how do people discover that children have a particular allergy? Do you get an epipen the same moment you have a newborn, just in case? Do you try some small amount or potentially cross contaminated food just to test? Do you discover it randomly and hope there is going to be enough time to get to ER? I have been lucky not to have it for myself, or a child, but how did you know?
wtvanhest · 3 years ago
Our son had skin issues (eczema) before he was old enough to eat solid foods. Eczema and food allergies are correlated so we fed him small amounts of peanuts and he had a crazy reaction. We were lucky he didn’t end up in er first time, but swollen lips, changed “voice” for weeks etc.

u/wtvanhest

KarmaCake day4636March 20, 2011View Original