> Infantile botulism is extremely rare. There are an estimated 100 cases per year in the U.S., among approximately 4 million children in the age range under 1. That’s a risk of 1 in 40,000. This is somewhat less likely than the chance of visiting the ER for a blanket-related injury in a given year (yes, I looked that up, and I do think it’s a good comparison).
> ... In an estimated 20% of cases — that’s about 20 cases a year — honey is one of the exposures. This doesn’t necessarily mean that the botulism actually came from honey; it’s just that because we know the spores can live in honey … it seems possible.
> At best, this suggests that by avoiding honey, you could lower the risk of infantile botulism from 1 in 40,000 to 1 in 50,000.
In an extreme example… only 20 parents fed their kids honey and 20 kids contracted botulism.
That would be a 100% risk. Obviously in real life it’s not 100% of kids, but still could be a meaningful percentage and likely higher than 1 in 50,000 for babies that eat honey.
In my own experiments with the chat models they seem to lose the plot after about 10 replies unless constantly "refreshed", which is a tiny fraction of the supposed 128000 token input length that 4o has. Does Gemini actually do something dramatically differently, or is their 3 million token context window pure marketing nonsense?
1. Not all Americans have cars or drive.
2. Each state has different legislative structures which impact payouts and medical costs. Some states cost more than the average per accident, some cost less.
3. Your risk may be higher than average
4. You may drive more or less miles than average
5. Your choice of car makes you more or less risky
Despite some really bad decisions by the management team on letting expenses get out of control, it’s an absolutely incredible product.
Despite some really bad decisions by the management team on letting expenses get out of control, it’s an absolutely incredible product.