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worstspotgain commented on Russia Suspected of Plotting to Send Incendiary Devices on U.S.-Bound Planes   wsj.com/world/russia-plot... · Posted by u/Mainsail
worstspotgain · 10 months ago
Quite amazing how little traction this story is getting. Back in the 1950s-2000s, when Russia's influence on the West was rather subdued, this would have been the only news in town.

Instead it's more like "nothing to see here, kindly vote in our puppet candidate X, thanks!" for various local values of X.

worstspotgain commented on Colorado scrambles to change voting-system passwords after accidental leak   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/rbanffy
anon84873628 · 10 months ago
Of course it's important that enough people check their ballot and say, "hey this isn't what I meant" it triggers a formal audit. Not just letting those 1000 have a redo and chalk it up to human error.
worstspotgain · 10 months ago
Sure, but 1000 is just 1 in 3000 voters. In practice it's going to be way more than that, probably 2 or 3 in 10. Thats hundreds of thousands of voters, many of whom are going to be punctilious people. Of all the suggested fuckery methods, this would be caught the fastest IMO.
worstspotgain commented on Colorado scrambles to change voting-system passwords after accidental leak   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/rbanffy
sgc · 10 months ago
And yet somebody who voted said far above in this thread that the machine reads a barcode on their ballot, so they have 0% chance of verifying if their vote was entered correctly. And there is always the added problem of a dieselgate style obfuscation: The machine counts votes differently when in verification mode than in actual vote counting mode.

My preferred machine would be one that did not use integrated circuits, but was simple enough that the entire board and circuit was visible - with no software beyond the circuitry at all. You just need a very simple sensor and tally wheels that mechanically advance, like those used for measuring wheels etc. No need for memory. Keep automation to the absolute bare minimum.

worstspotgain · 10 months ago
The ballot printout is not discarded, is it? If not, then the ballot-barcode consistency in the sample can be verified as part of the audit.
worstspotgain commented on Colorado scrambles to change voting-system passwords after accidental leak   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/rbanffy
mattclarkdotnet · 10 months ago
The disconnect is that in most of the world we only vote for one or two candidates on a ballot. In America you vote for everything from the president to the dog catcher on one ballot.

While I think of it, the USA and UK should both stop holding votes on working days. That is nuts! Do what Australia does and vote on a Saturday and make it compulsory.

worstspotgain · 10 months ago
Believe me, we've been aware that this is a non-bug feature for a long time.

The Tuesday law was passed in 1845. Instead of changing it, many legislators are pushing in the opposite direction: trying to selectively suppress their opponents' votes further. If it hurts them more than us, it's a worthy goal!

worstspotgain commented on Colorado scrambles to change voting-system passwords after accidental leak   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/rbanffy
sethammons · 10 months ago
The problem stated was that the marker machine lies 1 out of 15 entries. The paper would contain an incorrect selection occasionally. So, yeah, it would require no one noticing during the act.
worstspotgain · 10 months ago
Indeed, and the math is the same. If out of 3 million voters, just 1000 double-check the printout, they will detect a 1/100 flip with probability 99.996%.
worstspotgain commented on Colorado scrambles to change voting-system passwords after accidental leak   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/rbanffy
cm2187 · 10 months ago
If it was compromised, it wouldn't flip all the votes, it would flip just enough to change the result while staying credible. So the question is how many people double check the paper ballot. Because if it randomly flips, say 1 ballot out of 15, and the paper ballot is consistent with the tally, it could very well go unnoticed.
worstspotgain · 10 months ago
Not with a randomized audit, such as this one for the 2022 primary [1]. If it flipped just one vote out of 100, and you drew an audit sample of just 1000 votes, the probability of detecting it would be 99.996%.

[1] https://www.cpr.org/2022/07/13/colorado-counties-begin-audit...

worstspotgain commented on Nvidia to join Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing Intel   cnbc.com/2024/11/01/nvidi... · Posted by u/koolba
lotsofpulp · 10 months ago
Intel hasn’t been in the country club for 10+ years.
worstspotgain · 10 months ago
If you exclude its pre-Athlon Nvidia-like era, Intel's market cap earlier this year was only ~20% below its 2020ish peak.

It has engineers. It might yet surprise. Nvidia hasn't proven it can turn a ridiculous amount of capital into a matrix-multiplication moat.

worstspotgain commented on Nvidia to join Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing Intel   cnbc.com/2024/11/01/nvidi... · Posted by u/koolba
jameslk · 10 months ago
DJIA is not taken very seriously outside of mainstream media it seems. The news loves to quote big drops or increases to the DJIA due to the index being price weighted. “Wow the news is saying the DJIA dropped 1000 points today! That’s huge.” Nah, that’s like 2%

This seems like another media opportunity about a nothing burger event for an index that has lost relevance, when other indices like the S&P 500 and QQQ have already incorporated NVIDIA a while ago. They’re just playing catch up.

worstspotgain · 10 months ago
> nothing burger event for an index that has lost relevance

This argument has been around since time immemorial. The right way to think of it is more like a country club or a who's who, rather than a survey or a directory.

As for the news at hand, it's really more about Intel than Nvidia. Sic transit gloria mundi.

worstspotgain commented on Sleep regularity is a stronger predictor of mortality than sleep duration (2023)   academic.oup.com/sleep/ar... · Posted by u/yamrzou
worstspotgain · 10 months ago
I wish some of the sleeping/eating studies covered the options "sleep when I'm tired" and "eat when I'm hungry."

When remote work is an option, it'd be nice to know the health opportunity cost of RTO. Sadly the cohort is too hard to study outside of nursing home residents.

u/worstspotgain

KarmaCake day1305February 21, 2024View Original