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tuna-piano commented on Baby is healed with first personalized gene-editing treatment   nytimes.com/2025/05/15/he... · Posted by u/jbredeche
bglazer · 7 months ago
The “How to make superbabies” article demonstrates a couple of fundamental misunderstandings about genetics that make me think the authors don’t know what they’re talking about at a basic level. Zero mention of linkage disequilibrium. Zero mention of epistasis. Unquestioned assumptions of linear genotype-phenotype relationships for IQ. Seriously, the projections in their graphs into “danger zone” made me laugh out loud. This is elementary stuff that theyre missing but the entire essay is so shot through with hubris that I don’t think they’re capable of recognizing that.
tuna-piano · 7 months ago
Thanks for the healthy skepticism.

I still think there's a lot to learn from those articles for most folks uninvolved in this area, even if some of their immediate optimism has additional complications.

I think what I mostly took away is a combination of technologies is likely to dramatically change how we have babies in the future.

1. We'll make sperm/egg from skin cells. This has already been done in mice[1], so it is not science fiction to do it in people.

2. When we're able to do this inexpensively, we could create virtually unlimited embryos. We can then select the embryos that have the most optimal traits. Initially, this may be simple things like not choosing embryos with certain genes that give higher risk of certain diseases.

This may involve selecting traits like intelligence and height (there are already companies that offer this embryo selection capability [2]).

3. Instead of creating a lot of embryos and selecting the best ones, we could instead create just one embryo and edit the DNA of that embryo, which has already been done in humans [3]. Alternatively, we could edit the DNA of the sperm/egg prior to creating the embryo.

The fact that none of this is science fiction is just wild. All of these steps have already been done in animals or people. Buckle up, the future is going to be wild.

[1] https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2023/05/27/1177191...

[2] https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/oct/18/us-startup-c...

[3] https://www.science.org/content/article/chinese-scientist-wh...

tuna-piano commented on Baby is healed with first personalized gene-editing treatment   nytimes.com/2025/05/15/he... · Posted by u/jbredeche
tuna-piano · 7 months ago
If someone in the year 2050 was to pick out the most important news article from 2025, I won't be surprised if they choose this one.

For those who don't understand this stuff - we are now capable of editing some of a body's DNA in ways that predictably change their attributes. The baby's liver now has different (and better) DNA than the rest of its body.

We still are struggling in most cases with how to deliver the DNA update instructions into the body. But given the pace of change in this space, I expect massive improvements with this update process over time.

Combined with AI to better understand the genome, this is going to be a crazy century.

Further reading on related topics:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JEhW3HDMKzekDShva/significan...

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DfrSZaf3JC8vJdbZL/how-to-mak...

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yT22RcWrxZcXyGjsA/how-to-hav...

tuna-piano commented on Growing trade deficit is selling the nation out from under us (2003) [pdf]   faculty.washington.edu/ss... · Posted by u/TaurenHunter
mhogers · 9 months ago
The t-shirt metaphor is completely unjust - there is no value there for national security nor strategic autonomy.

Consider instead:

- Semiconductor low-end fabrication (Taiwan, Korea)

- Basic electronics: circuit boards, USB devices, .. (China)

- Auto parts (Mexico, China, Germany)

- Generic drugs (India, China)

The reality is that the US is not the ultimate global hegemon anymore and therefore offshoring industries cannot simply be viewed through an economic lens.

tuna-piano · 9 months ago
What's funny is the tariffs announced a couple day sago explicitly excluded semi conductors and pharmaceuticals. We are literally about to tariff t-shirts but not those more strategic industries.
tuna-piano commented on Warren Buffett is no longer donating his money at death to the Gates Foundation   axios.com/2024/07/01/warr... · Posted by u/Mistletoe
tuna-piano · a year ago
Spending Buffet's staggering fortune in a manner nearing anything efficient feels like a herculean task that even the most capable would struggle with.

Objectively, his kids have not demonstrated any capability to do something of this magnitude. It's really quite disappointing to see Warren mostly backtrack on what he's always said (around nepotism and leaving staggering sums to future generations among other things).

You'd think even if this is related to Gate's Epstein connection, he would still recognized the importance of using his net worth for maximum good.

Maybe the human instinct to leave your possessions to your children is too strong for even Warren to fight.

It's really quite depressing watching the fiasco of how Mackenzie Bezos is donating her fortunes and what seems likely to come from Buffet's children. So many resources created+collected by brilliant people and then squandered by their loved ones.

tuna-piano commented on Ask HN: Best non-fiction book you read in 2024?    · Posted by u/vintageclothldn
tuna-piano · a year ago
Without a doubt "Endurance: Shackleton's Incredible Voyage" by Alfred Lansing.

Read it, read it now.

It's the kind of book that you once you read, you'll never forget. 4.8 stars with 23k reviews on Amazon. Similar survival story vibes as books like "Into Thin Air" or "Into the Wild" but just on another level. It follows the story of a journey to Antarctica in 1914 that goes wrong and ends up with the ship trapped in ice for many months, and follows the crews absolutely insane attempts at survival.

I am waiting for time to forget enough of it so that I can read it again.

tuna-piano commented on Philippines orders fraud probe after paying MacBook prices for Celeron laptops   theregister.com/2022/08/1... · Posted by u/sohkamyung
londons_explore · 3 years ago
I never quite understood how competitive bidding processes usually end up with similar outcomes.

If you personally need a Dell server, you go to dell.com and buy it.

If the government needs a Dell server, they start a tendering and bidding process and will end up paying double for the same server through some middleman who buys the server from Dell and resells to the government for double the price because they're good at writing bids for government projects.

Quite why there isn't competition I don't know. Maybe writing bids really is that expensive? Or maybe there is just collusion?

tuna-piano · 3 years ago
Legitimately there are AWS resellers. Paying for cloud services through a middleman just seems so bizarre, but yet it exists.

https://aws.amazon.com/partners/programs/distribution-resell...

https://aws.amazon.com/partners/programs/solution-provider/

tuna-piano commented on Contra Wirecutter on the IKEA air purifier   dynomight.net/ikea-purifi... · Posted by u/Ariarule
hypersoar · 4 years ago
The Wirecutter is a highly flawed review site, but at least it's a real one. There are vanishingly few left for general consumer products. There's WC, Consumer Reports, and what else? They've seem to have all been killed off. When I'm researching some category of product, I feel lucky if I find any professional reviews written by people who have actually touched the thing they're reviewing. I know we've all had the experience googling "reviews of X" only to get overwhelmed with SEO spam. Forget finding something written by somebody who has experience with it. It's hard enough to find something written by a human.
tuna-piano · 4 years ago
rtings.com has great reviews for electronics, measuring detailed metrics and putting them through various tests. (for example, their AirPods Pro review: https://www.rtings.com/headphones/reviews/apple/airpods-pro-...)

Outdoor Gear Lab for outdoor product reviews: https://www.outdoorgearlab.com/topics/camping-and-hiking/bes...

tuna-piano commented on Asian-Americans fight back against school discrimination   wsj.com/articles/asian-am... · Posted by u/kerneloftruth
gruez · 4 years ago
"It's not racism if you're being discriminated against but have power"

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52993306

>On 28 May, Ms Mitchum emailed Merriam-Webster to point out that racism is "both prejudice combined with social and institutional power. It is a system of advantage based on skin colour".

tuna-piano · 4 years ago
No 17 year old college applicant has power.

What would you call treating a 17 year old different based on their skin color? If we can't use the word racism anymore, then I'll call it bigoted.

u/tuna-piano

KarmaCake day5030December 30, 2014View Original