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tuatoru commented on I Stopped Being a Climate Catastrophist   breakthroughjournal.org/p... · Posted by u/paulpauper
energy123 · a month ago
The moral case is really for the billions of people near the equator who cannot afford for temperatures to go up much more. It's too hot there already. We are making their countries insufferable to live in and we aren't compensating them for it. It's a travesty.
tuatoru · a month ago
They are getting cheap electricity from PV and batteries and cheap air conditioners to run on the electricity.
tuatoru commented on I Stopped Being a Climate Catastrophist   breakthroughjournal.org/p... · Posted by u/paulpauper
jay_kyburz · a month ago
As a layperson, I read that 2024 was the hottest on record, and I see charts that go up. I have no reason to believe that the charts will go down. I don't care if its 3 deg by the end of the century or 5 deg. But what about the century after that, or by 3000.

I'm not so concerned about disasters or economic impacts, I just have a deep moral belief that we should leave our environment the same as when we entered it. We know that fossil fuels release pollution that we have no technology to clean up. We we should not be using it. It's not rocket science.

Admittedly, it makes no rational sense go without today so that future humans can experience the earth in the same way I have. I understand why many people dismiss risks of things unlikely to effect them or their children, but to me to feels wrong, and I would like to have as little impact on the climate as I can.

https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-...

tuatoru · a month ago
If there is any technological progress, people in 3000 will be so much wealthier than we are today that fixing any problems arising from climate change will be trivially easy for them.

That is, if there are any people in 3000. Nuclear war is still the number one problem. AI is a candidate for number two right now; the next decade should clarify things.

tuatoru commented on I Stopped Being a Climate Catastrophist   breakthroughjournal.org/p... · Posted by u/paulpauper
tuatoru · a month ago
Everyone is a climate skeptic.

"To know, and not yet to do, is not to know" - Aristotle.

Everyone still flies on planes. Ceasing burning kerosene is the easiest possible thing you could do to reduce your climate impact, but no-one does it.

Everyone hates being called out on it, but it is true. No-one really cares, because no-one is prepared to make a socially costly signal, costly in prestige or relationships or group membership. It's all posturing.

tuatoru commented on Nearly 400k people are starving in Sudan, a new report finds   npr.org/2025/11/03/g-s1-9... · Posted by u/wslh
tuatoru · a month ago
Down from 700,000. Not good news.
tuatoru commented on Bill Gates warns AI will take most jobs, humans only work two days a week   the-express.com/tech/tech... · Posted by u/randycupertino
randycupertino · 2 months ago
https://archive.ph/WkFiN

People act like this will be a huge benefit to quality of life but I don't see how it won't result in massive unemployment and underemployment, especially in this political climate where all social security and safety nets are being cut and eliminated.

tuatoru · 2 months ago
Exactly. If the political class no longer needs healthy, literate soldiers and workers, it's going to stop paying for them.
tuatoru commented on Replacement.ai   replacement.ai... · Posted by u/wh313
JimDabell · 2 months ago
> robots coming for your jobs is not a valid argument against robots.

Taking work away from people is practically the definition of technology. We invent things to reduce the effort needed to do things. Eliminating work is a good thing, that’s why inventing things is so popular!

What ends up happening is the amount of work remains relatively constant, meaning we get more done for the same amount of effort performed by the same amount of people doing the same amount of jobs. That’s why standards of living have been rising for the past few millennia instead of everybody being out of work. We took work away from humans with technology, we then used that effort saved to get more done.

tuatoru · 2 months ago
This time actually is different, though.

If everything that a human can do, a robot can do better and cheaper, then humans are completely shut out of the production function. Humans have a minimum level of consumption that they need to stay alive whether or not they earn a wage; robots do not.

Since most humans live off wages which they get from work, they are then shut out of life. The only humans left alive are those who fund their consumption from capital rents.

tuatoru commented on Compare Single Board Computers   sbc.compare/... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
tuatoru · 2 months ago
Idle power and sleep power are important for embedded applications.
tuatoru commented on After the AI boom: what might we be left with?   blog.robbowley.net/2025/1... · Posted by u/imasl42
dotnet00 · 2 months ago
Reminds me of crypto/Web-3.0 hype. Lots of bluster about changing economic systems, offering people freedom and wealth, only to mostly be scams, and coming with too serious inherent drawbacks/costs to solve many of the big problems it promises to solve.

In the end leaving the world changed, but not as meaningfully or positively as promised.

tuatoru · 2 months ago
I have seen AI improve the quality and velocity of my wife's policy analysis dramatically.

She doesn't like using Claude, but she accepts the necessity of doing so, and it reduces 3-month projects to 2-week projects. Claude is an excellent debating partner.

Crypto? Blockchain? No-one sceptical could ever see the point of either, unless and until their transaction costs were less than that of cash. That... has not happened, to put it mildly.

These things are NOT the same.

tuatoru commented on After the AI boom: what might we be left with?   blog.robbowley.net/2025/1... · Posted by u/imasl42
andy99 · 2 months ago
Cell phones have been through how many generations between the 80s and now? All the past generations are obsolete, but the investment in improving the technology (which is really a continuation of WWII era RF engineering) means we have readily available low cost miniature comms equipment. It doesn’t matter that the capex on individual phones was wasted.

Same for GPUs/LLMs? At some point things will mature and we’ll be left with plentiful, cheap, high end LLM access, on the back of the investment that has been made. Whether or not it’s running on legacy GPUs, like some 90s fiber still carries traffic, is meaningless. It’s what the investment unlocks.

tuatoru · 2 months ago
tuatoru commented on Women taking Meta to task after their baby loss   bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c... · Posted by u/afandian
tuatoru · 2 months ago
Maybe have your children from 18 to 27, when it is safest.

u/tuatoru

KarmaCake day4319May 11, 2020
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This is the Century of Consequences. You can check out, but you can't leave.
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