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sdf2erf commented on The Waymo World Model   waymo.com/blog/2026/02/th... · Posted by u/xnx
refulgentis · a day ago
My dynamic range of professional experience is high, dropout => waiter => found startup => acquirer => Google.

You're making an interesting point that I somewhat agree with from the perspective of someone was...clearly a little more feral than his surroundings in Google, and wildly succeeded and ultimately quietly failed because of it.

The important bit is "great man" theory doesn't solve lack of dynamism. It usually makes things worse. The people you read about in newspapers are pretty much as smart as you, for better or worse.

I actually disagreed with the Sergey thing along the same lines, it was being used as a parable for why it was okay to do ~nothing in year 3 and continue avoiding what we were supposed to ship in year 1, because only VPs outside my org and the design section in my org would care.

Not sure if all that rhymes or will make any sense to you at all. But I deeply respect the point you are communicating, and also mean to communicate that there's another just as strong lesson: one person isn't bright enough to pull that off, and the important bit there isn't "oh, he isn't special", it's that it makes you even more careful building organizations that maintain dynamism and creativity.

sdf2erf · a day ago
Yeah people seem to be pretty poor at judging the impact of 'key' people.

E.g. Steve Jobs was absolutely fundamental to the turn around of Apple. Will Brin have this level of incremental impact on the Goog/Alphabet of today? Nah.

sdf2erf commented on Claude Composer   josh.ing/blog/claude-comp... · Posted by u/coloneltcb
Flemlord · a day ago
I can't believe AI music hasn't hit the mainstream yet. It's the most amazing thing I've seen since my original ChatGPT 3.5 wtf experience. https://suno.com/playlist/fe6b642c-f4a8-4402-b775-806348640e...

This song was generated from my 2-sentence prompt about a botched trash pickup: https://suno.com/s/Bdo9jzngQ4rvQko9

sdf2erf · a day ago
This is why posts here that are not purely tech related have to be taken with a grain of salt. Total disconnect from what caters the tastes and preferences of most people.
sdf2erf commented on The Waymo World Model   waymo.com/blog/2026/02/th... · Posted by u/xnx
rvnx · a day ago
If this is true, this is disappointing :/

On a similar topic, it is worth mentioning the entrepreneurs that are forced into sex (or let’s say, very pushed) by VCs.

For those who feel safe or taking it as a joke, this affects women AND men.

Some people are going to be disappointed about their heroes.

sdf2erf · a day ago
Dont mention the recent Eric Schmidt scandal.

Barely any of these jokers are clean. Makes MZ look seemingly normal in comparison.

sdf2erf commented on How to effectively write quality code with AI   heidenstedt.org/posts/202... · Posted by u/i5heu
agumonkey · a day ago
Oh I'm well aware of this. I admitted defeat in a way.. I can't compete. I'm just at loss, and unless LLM stall and break for some reason (ai bubble, enshittification..) I don't see a future for me in "software" in a few years.
sdf2erf · a day ago
So why havent you been fired already?

.......

sdf2erf commented on The Waymo World Model   waymo.com/blog/2026/02/th... · Posted by u/xnx
ASalazarMX · a day ago
I think the (gray) line is the degree of autonomy. My washing machine makes very small, predictable decisions, while a Waymo has to manage uncertainty most of the time.
sdf2erf · a day ago
Its irrelevant. A robot is a robot.

Dictionary def: "a machine controlled by a computer that is used to perform jobs automatically."

sdf2erf commented on The Waymo World Model   waymo.com/blog/2026/02/th... · Posted by u/xnx
mattlondon · a day ago
Suddenly all this focus on world models by Deep mind starts to make sense. I've never really thought of Waymo as a robot in the same way as e.g. a Boston Dynamics humanoid, but of course it is a robot of sorts.

Google/Alphabet are so vertically integrated for AI when you think about it. Compare what they're doing - their own power generation , their own silicon, their own data centers, search Gmail YouTube Gemini workspace wallet, billions and billions of Android and Chromebook users, their ads everywhere, their browser everywhere, waymo, probably buy back Boston dynamics soon enough (they're recently partnered together), fusion research, drugs discovery.... and then look at ChatGPT's chatbot or grok's porn. Pales in comparison.

sdf2erf · a day ago
"Waymo as a robot in the same way"

Erm, a dishwasher, washing machine, automated vacuum can be considered robots. Im confused as to this obsession of the term - there are many robots that already exist. Robotics have been involved in the production of cars for decades.

......

sdf2erf commented on Amazon plunge continues $1T wipeout as AI bubble fears ignite sell-off   cnbc.com/2026/02/06/ai-se... · Posted by u/truegoric
pchristensen · 2 days ago
Back when the Internet was America online and some CGI bin perl scripts, there were a lot of very lofty things said about the potential of the Internet in the future. I don’t remember any of them predicting the power of the tech would have over business, politics, media, and hours of every single day for billions of people. Even without AGI, it’s quite possible that were still underestimating. The effects of predictive, probabilistic computing 20 or 50 years from now.
sdf2erf · a day ago
The internet alone didnt change sh!t. Without smartphones, unified app stores, cellular network innovation et al internet traffic would not be so high.

Funny how people leave this stuff out. Yawn. Basic simpleton analysis and takes.

sdf2erf commented on Amazon plunge continues $1T wipeout as AI bubble fears ignite sell-off   cnbc.com/2026/02/06/ai-se... · Posted by u/truegoric
danielbln · 2 days ago
Why should anyone take your sensible first statement seriously if your second statement is so easily verifiably false?

Some of these AI critical posts really are an exercise in Gell Mann Amnesia, man.

sdf2erf · a day ago
Im still waiting to read about macro-level mass-lay offs or insane productivity leaps.

Where are the results, tell me? What insanely great products have been shipped by people leveraging/building on top of LLMs...?

Yeah, silence. As usual.

sdf2erf commented on Amazon plunge continues $1T wipeout as AI bubble fears ignite sell-off   cnbc.com/2026/02/06/ai-se... · Posted by u/truegoric
bpodgursky · 2 days ago
I know it feels comforting to say this, but deep down you have to realize that saying things confidently does not cause them to become true.
sdf2erf · a day ago
Theres a real problem with people who are too tech-induced: youre disconnected from how the average person interacts with stuff.
sdf2erf commented on Amazon plunge continues $1T wipeout as AI bubble fears ignite sell-off   cnbc.com/2026/02/06/ai-se... · Posted by u/truegoric
simonw · 2 days ago
Many people are spending significantly more time every day engaging with AI chatbots than they spend engaging with Google, and Google is one of the most valuable companies in the world.
sdf2erf · a day ago
Yeah.... stick to conversations strictly re. technology pal.

u/sdf2erf

KarmaCake day7February 4, 2026View Original