What does this sentence mean?
For the most part, I can’t “think” about things except maybe mental math. I see things, and I talk to myself in my head.
I feel like that is where a lot of the miscommunication comes from, people who think others can close there eyes and be transported somewhere else by imagining it. That is unless I actually just have aphantasia.
There's no good answer to that question I can come up with that should make you want to stay at that company.
I'm not saying I agree with the shock approach but there are definitely some generic risks that I don't think paint a bad picture of the company by their existence.
As currently formulated, prediction market outputs are just a fancy opinion poll, where participants have some incentive for accuracy. To rise above the simple wisdom of the crowds, you would want to identify the subset of market participants that are constantly beating the market (because they have a more accurate mental model of the world). I think this necessitates both 1) long term tracking of bets and 2) likely withholding individual positions from the market to prevent follower effects.
Similar to the title article, this raises the question of who the ultimate customer is prediction market is. Individuals can be incentivized to bet by winnings, but who else is the customer for aggregated data?
I wonder about the extent to which current prediction markets have internal outputs and derivative statistics, and what they might do with it.
If polymarket or similar companies put Trump vs Harris at 55-45, do they have internal statistics that that put the race at 80-20% among their most accurate betters? Was this data for sale?
From what I can tell there are two populations: those who prefer to recline and those who prefer not to. As long as an entire column of seats belongs to one population you're fine (if everyone wants to recline no one loses space, we all just shift around to a configuration in which everyone is more comfortable). But when you have someone more comfortable staying upright sitting behind a recline-preferenced person, that's where issues arise. It's not clear to me whether it's morally wrong for the front person to recline in that case, given that's basically just preferencing the default of "upright", which is arbitrary.
Nothing here should be read as justifying people who don't pay attention to what's going on behind them and/or recline suddenly/aggressively. It's always something that should be done with a glance behind and a smooth, gentle motion. Maybe also a word to the person sitting behind though again I'm not convinced that's a moral imperative.
[1] https://thepointsguy.com/airline/airplane-seat-reclining-eti...
You’re probably pretty far from the average user, who thinks “AI is so dumb” because it doesn’t remember what you told it yesterday.