Readit News logoReadit News
mondrian commented on Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now   dosaygo-studio.github.io/... · Posted by u/keepamovin
barbacoa · 8 days ago
2040 HN:

"Ask HN: How do you prevent ad-injection in my brain implant?"

mondrian commented on Peter Thiel sells off all Nvidia stock, stirring bubble fears   thestreet.com/investing/p... · Posted by u/hypeatei
brador · a month ago
A 200M sale on a 16B net worth is like someone worth 1M selling about 12.5k of stock.
mondrian · a month ago
I was off by a zero, thanks! He sold about 100M of NVDA on 16B net worth which would be 6.25k on 1M.
mondrian commented on Peter Thiel sells off all Nvidia stock, stirring bubble fears   thestreet.com/investing/p... · Posted by u/hypeatei
toxicdevil · a month ago
> Over 537,000 shares, which represent nearly 40% of the entire portfolio

@190/share this is $102 million

Also: > Vistra Energy, another 19% chunk, was wiped out as well.

> Moreover, the fund’s turnover hovered over 80%, leaving just three holdings: Tesla, Microsoft, and Apple.

Some would argue that tesla is a bigger bubble.

> his personal net worth is an eye-popping $16.3 billion as of 2025.

mondrian · a month ago
So this 'portfolio' is <200M on a net worth of 16B? This is like someone worth 1M selling $600 worth of stock.
mondrian commented on Peter Thiel sells off all Nvidia stock, stirring bubble fears   thestreet.com/investing/p... · Posted by u/hypeatei
jameslk · a month ago
Cash is just another asset class, and since becoming a pure fiat it’s never been a good one: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL

Given the fiscal dominance we’re in now that pretty much guarantees higher rates of inflation in the future, I think there’s much better places to place your money if you want to diversify. At least cash equivalents would be better

mondrian · a month ago
The parent comment is probably just talking about temporarily timing the bubble pop.
mondrian commented on Replacement.ai   replacement.ai... · Posted by u/wh313
lateforwork · 2 months ago
You don't need money. What you need is wealth. I am going to leave it to PG to explain the difference [1]: Wealth is not money. Wealth is stuff we want: food, clothes, houses, cars, gadgets, travel to interesting places, and so on. You can have wealth without having money. If you had a magic machine that could on command make you a car or cook you dinner or do your laundry, or do anything else you wanted, you wouldn't need money. Whereas if you were in the middle of Antarctica, where there is nothing to buy, it wouldn't matter how much money you had.

AI & robots will generate wealth at unprecedented scale. In the future, you won't have a job nor have any money, but you will be fabulously wealthy!

[1] http://www.paulgraham.com/wealth.html

mondrian · 2 months ago
How will the AI wealth get distributed to people at large?
mondrian commented on Replacement.ai   replacement.ai... · Posted by u/wh313
nharada · 2 months ago
How come I never see any concrete proposals for how to equitably distribute the wealth of AI? It's always either "stop AI immediately for the sake of our labor" or "don't worry sometime in the future everyone will live in utopia probably".

Here's a starter example: any company whose main business is training AI models needs must give up 10% of their company to a fund whose charter is long-term establishing basic care (food, water, electricity, whatever) for citizens.

I'm sure people will come at me with "well this will incentivize X instead!" in which case I'd like to hear if there are better thought out proposals.

mondrian · 2 months ago
Bernie Sanders talks about a "robot tax" that is roughly what you're talking about. https://www.businessinsider.com/bernie-sanders-robot-tax-ai-...
mondrian commented on The story of DOGE, as told by federal workers   wired.com/story/oral-hist... · Posted by u/rendx
matteotom · 3 months ago
What metric are you looking at when you say "the size of government has vastly and consistently outgrown the private sector" - AFAICT, excluding 2020 and 2021 (which I think is reasonable), the federal budget has been between 17% and 25% of GDP for the past 50 years (where the fluctuations are more a function of variable GDP).

The number of federal government employees has also remained mostly flat for the past 50 years (and IIRC most growth in overall public sector employment comes from schools).

mondrian · 3 months ago
Comparing it to GDP doesn’t seem to make sense. Maybe to government revenue.
mondrian commented on Stripe Launches L1 Blockchain: Tempo   tempo.xyz... · Posted by u/_nvs
onesociety2022 · 3 months ago
That only makes sense if Stripe issues their own stablecoins? If they let their customers hold USDC on the Tempo chain, then any revenue from holding short-term treasuries goes to Circle. Are you suggesting Stripe would force Circle to share some of their revenue with them or they launch their own stablecoin to compete with USDC?
mondrian · 3 months ago
Good point. In the scenario I described, I'm assuming Stripe will launch their own stablecoin. I tend to think all major tech companies are incentivized to launch stablecoins and give you discounts and perks when you transact using their stablecoin in their own ecosystem. The more of their stablecoin they issue out, the more money they make on interest.
mondrian commented on Stripe Launches L1 Blockchain: Tempo   tempo.xyz... · Posted by u/_nvs
notatoad · 3 months ago
so the short answer to the question of "why crypto" is just to work around regulation, to be able to act as a bank without the regulations that apply to banks?
mondrian · 3 months ago
Yeah and this is codified in the GENIUS act which passed recently. It enables tech companies to act like banks in certain dimensions, without being regulated like banks.
mondrian commented on Stripe Launches L1 Blockchain: Tempo   tempo.xyz... · Posted by u/_nvs
boringg · 3 months ago
So then by using this product you are de facto buying short term US debt lowering the debt costs in a way? Is that what you are describing? And Stripe makes money on that short term carry.
mondrian · 3 months ago
Yeah. Stablecoins create demand for Treasuries which drives the price of Treasuries up and interest rate down. So this pressure lowers debt servicing cost for the US government, and Stripe is the holder of those Treasuries and gets paid interest.

This would also serve to counter the drop in global Treasury demand due to recent tariff stuff where presumably our traditional debt holders are losing appetite for US debt...

It also creates a kind of strange situation where stablecoins are basically spendable "Treasury tokens". So you give 1 USD to Uncle Sam (via a middle man like Stripe), get back 1 stablecoin. Then you go and spend the stablecoin, and Uncle Sam goes and spends the USD. It's like a weird double spend situation. Prior to stablecoins, you buy a treasury bill with USD, you hold this unspendable treasury bill while Uncle Sam gets USD to spend.

u/mondrian

KarmaCake day254January 7, 2024View Original