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lr1970 commented on 95% of Companies See 'Zero Return' on $30B Generative AI Spend   thedailyadda.com/95-of-co... · Posted by u/speckx
johnnyanmac · 4 days ago
>I’m not sure how you got that 2.2% of 18.5 trillion in GDP attributed to labor is 61 billion

The number I googled for 2024 US GDP was 29.18 trillion, so thats part of it. I'm flexibke enough to adjust that if wrong.

>Additionally, you seemed to have pulled the cherry-picked quote and compared with the “current” impact and ignored the immediately following text on latent automation exposure

There's no time scale presented in that section thst I can find for the "latent" exposure, so its not very useful as presented. That's why I compared it to now.

Over 5 years; I'm not sure but it can be realistic. Over 20 years, If the US GDP doesn't absolutely tank, that's not necessary as impressive a number as it sounds. You see my confusion here?

>that explains how it could have a greater impact that results in their 2.3t/39m estimate numbers.

Maybe I need to read more of the article, but I need a lot more numbers to be convinced of a 40x efficiency boost (predicted returns divided by current gdp value times their 2.2% labor value) for anything. Even the 20x number if I used your gpd number is a hefty claim.

>Or presented a better metric than my formula above on interpreting "impact". I'm open to a better model here than my napkin math.

lr1970 · 3 days ago
I think you made a arithmetic mistake by factor of 10.

2% of 29 trillion is 580 billions. Your number should be 610 billion, not 61 billion.

lr1970 commented on Igor Babuschkin, a co-founder of xAI, has announced his departure   techcrunch.com/2025/08/13... · Posted by u/TheAlchemist
0xy · 11 days ago
This is outdated information. X was profitable and valued at 90% of its purchase price according to valuations by its creditors as of last year, prior to the acquisition.

The vast majority of advertisers returned, including large ones like Apple plus their expenses were reduced by over half.

lr1970 · 11 days ago
> The vast majority of advertisers returned,

They returned in the first few months of the Trump administration when Elon was an important man in the government with direct access to POTUS. But after Musk fell from the Trump's good graces the same advertisers quickly took their marbles and quietly left twitter.

lr1970 commented on Allianz Life says 'majority' of customers' personal data stolen in cyberattack   techcrunch.com/2025/07/26... · Posted by u/thm
pojzon · a month ago
Did you see Google or facebook or Miceosoft customer databases breached ?

The issue is there is too little repercusions for companies making software in shitty ways.

Each data breach should hurt the company approximately to the size of it.

Equifax breach should have collapsed the company. Fines should be in tens of billions of dollars.

Then under such banhammer software would be built correctly, security would becared about, internal audits would be made (real ones) and people would care.

Currently as things stand. There is ZERO reason to care about security.

lr1970 · a month ago
> The issue is there is too little repercusions for companies making software in shitty ways.

The penalty should be massive enough to affect changes in the business model itself. If you do not store raw data it cannot be exfiltrated.

lr1970 commented on Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and XAI Granted Up to $200M from Defense Department   cnbc.com/2025/07/14/anthr... · Posted by u/ChrisArchitect
creddit · a month ago
OpenAI - DoD invested in them and now I guess you agree with it!

Anthropic - same as above

xAI - same as above

CoreWeave - Doesn't make LLMs

Glean - Doesn't make LLMs (wow this startup investing thing might be harder than for you than you thought!)

Perplexity - Has finetuned LLama models AFAIK. Maybe you think Meta should've gotten the nod from DoD as well?

PlayAI - AFAIK only voices

Cohere - Not sure if they are LLama or otherwise

Cyera - Doesn't make LLMs

Replit - Doesn't make LLMs

Windsurf - Doesn't make LLMs

Mistral - Does make LLMs, you got one! Is French, though.

Anysphere - They make an IDE called Cursor

Scale - Doesn't make LLMs, basically a Meta subsidiary (you really must have wanted Meta to get the nod too!)

Harvey - Legal focus, not general

Thinking Machines - Mira Murati's company, just started 5mos ago, no public products. Definitely don't fit your definition of "has revenue"

helsing - Hadn't heard of them, are German.

Cluely - LOL

Suno - If the DoD gets into music generation this would be a great choice.

Clay - Don't know them, doubt they have LLMs.

Crunchbase - lol is correct

Lubega Geoffery - No idea

Caris LIfe Sciences - Life sciences doesn't sound right!

C3 AI - Scam

Runway - Media generation, not general use

LangChain - Doesn't make LLMs

Rigetti Computing - Dude, come on. They're a quantum computing company

Cowbell - Don't know them, but a google shows they're an insurance company lol

Almost all the rest don't even have anything to do with AI. So all-in-all, nearly a complete failure at suggesting even close to 20 alternatives for the DoD to invest in. Your answer didn't even hit US companies that do have some alternatives: Meta, MSFT, AMZN, SSI maybe?

lr1970 · a month ago
> helsing - Hadn't heard of them, are German.

Helsing is a military AI company [0] trying to make Terminator I movie a reality in the name of democracy.

[0] https://helsing.ai/

EDIT: added link.

lr1970 commented on The Prime Reasons to Avoid Amazon   blog.thenewoil.org/the-pr... · Posted by u/DanAtC
khuey · 2 months ago
> I’m specifically talking about a case where a sold by Amazon item came from co-mingled inventory from a FBA seller.

The FBA terms I quoted specifically say that Amazon can co-mingle FBA inventory with their own (if the FBA seller doesn't opt out of "virtual tracking").

lr1970 · 2 months ago
> The FBA terms I quoted specifically say that Amazon can co-mingle FBA inventory with their own (if the FBA seller doesn't opt out of "virtual tracking").

The wording in the quote explicitly states that an FBA unit can be substituted by owned by Amazon unit or other FBA units. But the wording is not clear whether SBA (Sold By Amazon) unit can be substituted by an FBA inventory. The terms covering Amazon's "first party inventory" (SBA, a.k.a. Amazon retail) are internal to Amazon and are not shared, AFAIK. But i can be wrong :-)

lr1970 commented on Congestion pricing in Manhattan is a predictable success   economist.com/united-stat... · Posted by u/edward
righthand · 2 months ago
Congestion pricing is great. I routinely end up in Manhattan on Friday and Canal Street at 5pm is running smoothly (not packed end to end with idling cars as before), the city looks like a regular city instead of the packed cars honking and spewing tire dust and exhaust. Long gone are the people that would drive into LES on Friday night with their expensive cars and blare loud music and rev their engines. It’s a different environment and everyone is loving it that I’ve talked to.
lr1970 · 2 months ago
Congestion pricing is only a half of the solution. The second half should be the MTA reform. MTA has been a dysfunctional mess and a bottomless money pit for as long as I remember. MTA of today will squander any amount of money you throw on it wasting all the potential gains from congestion pricing.
lr1970 commented on Amazon Signs 141,000 Square Foot Silicon Valley We Work Lease Amid RTO Mandate   finance.yahoo.com/news/am... · Posted by u/randycupertino
rxtexit · 2 months ago
I am full remote for a very small, non-software business but I think even for us we are probably losing productivity vs the office.

I think child care is a big driver but no one can come out and say this.

I am more productive remote but I wouldn't be if I was also baby sitting a 5 year old while working. A big reason I am more productive is living alone and not being distracted.

A company can't demand a remote worker pay for child care so the kid isn't at home like in an office.

I also think my increase in productivity doesn't offset the office slackers who are doing basically nothing at home. I think the office can squeeze some productivity out of the slackers while it is a lost cause remote.

In the aggregate, I think for most companies it has to be a net loss of productivity to be 100% remote.

While it is a huge increase in my general well being and happiness, the highly productive workers are going to be highly productive either way and not that much more productive remote. It is everyone else that causes remote to not work as well at the margin. Then if a competitor does RTO, the company almost has to hedge and RTO as well.

lr1970 · 2 months ago
It basically boils down to the dichotomy -- "live to work" or "work to live".

We want "work to be able to live" while the employers want us "live to be able to work".

lr1970 commented on Claude 4   anthropic.com/news/claude... · Posted by u/meetpateltech
lr1970 · 3 months ago
context window of both opus and sonnet 4 are still the same 200kt as with sonnet-3.7, underwhelming compared to both latest gimini and gpt-4.1 that are clocking at 1mt. For coding tasks context window size does matter.
lr1970 commented on Introducing the Llama Startup Program   ai.meta.com/blog/llama-st... · Posted by u/mayalilpony10
lr1970 · 3 months ago
> and may help to fund their use of Llama models.

I love open weight (and better open source) LLMs and wish Llama all the best! But God help Meta if they have to pay startups to entice them to use their open weights model.

lr1970 commented on Teal – A statically-typed dialect of Lua   teal-language.org/... · Posted by u/generichuman
0xFEE1DEAD · 3 months ago
Years ago, I tried lua and wasn't impressed. Then I started using Neovim, did the necessary configuration in lua, but continued writing my own scripts in vimscript. Later I started using wezterm and decided to give lua a second shot, and I began to really like it.

I realized my initial dislike for lua stemmed from my experience with javascript (back in the jwquery days), where maintaining large codebases felt like navigating a minefield. The lack of type system made it all too easy to introduce bugs.

But lua isn't like that. It's not weakly typed like javascript - it's more akin to pythons dynamic duck typing system. Its simplicity makes it remarkably easy to write clean maintainable code. Type checking with type is straightforward compared to python, mostly because there are only five basic types (technically seven but I've never used userdata or thread). And I even started to enjoy using metatables once I understood how and when to apply them.

That being said, lua's lack of popularity probably stems from its limited stdlib, which often feels incomplete, and the absence of a robust package manager. luarocks is a pain to work with.

All that being said, I don't really see the point of using this project.

While I do wish type annotations were a native feature, the ones provided by the lsp are good enough for me.

lr1970 · 3 months ago
> That being said, lua's lack of popularity probably stems from its limited stdlib, which often feels incomplete, and the absence of a robust package manager. luarocks is a pain to work with.

And indexing arrays starting from 1 rather than 0.

u/lr1970

KarmaCake day1465October 18, 2020View Original