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katmannthree commented on Investors expect AI use to soar. That's not happening   economist.com/finance-and... · Posted by u/gaius_baltar
phkahler · a month ago
>> I was wondering if AI was essentially the last hype cycle

The next hype wants to be quantum computing, but its just not there yet - never mind the lack of real-world applications.

I thought nVidia would start promoting GPUs (whole data centers) to run classical simulations of QC to develop the applications while real hardware gets figured out.

katmannthree · a month ago
If you want to go off trying to predict the cycle I’d suspect ag/weather tech. Political complexity aside it appears to be the biggest thing we’ll need to work on in the coming decades if we want to sustain the planet’s carrying capacity.

Probably more likely though to be something novel that few took seriously before it demonstrates utility. And this is the issue for QC, we already know what it’s useful for: a handful of niche search algorithms. It’s a bit like fusion in that even if you work out the (very significant) engineering issues you’re left with something that while useful is far from transformative.

katmannthree commented on The MacBook has a sensor that knows the exact angle of the screen hinge   twitter.com/samhenrigold/... · Posted by u/leephillips
ritcgab · 4 months ago
And this little thingy makes a lot of M2 MacBook Airs fail.
katmannthree · 4 months ago
I'd like to hear more, do you have an article or something you could link?
katmannthree commented on Air Force unit suspends use of Sig Sauer pistol after shooting death of airman   nhpr.org/nh-news/2025-07-... · Posted by u/duxup
tshaddox · 5 months ago
> IMHO there’s no reason to conceal carry if you’re going to do it without a round chambered.

Why is that your opinion? Surely there's a wide variety of plausible scenarios where carrying a concealed weapon without a round chambered is much better than not carrying a concealed weapon.

katmannthree · 5 months ago
Because if you're going to carry, you should choose something that's safe to carry with a round chambered (i.e. not a Sig P320). There are countless videos showing real-world examples of defensive handgun use. One common thread is that there's virtually no time between when you realize you're going to need your sidearm and when you need it. The extra second it takes to rack the slide and chamber a round can be the difference between surviving the encounter and not.
katmannthree commented on Framework Laptop 12 press reviews are live and Framework Laptop 13 in-stock   frame.work/blog/framework... · Posted by u/nfriedly
ndiddy · 6 months ago
I think it's a shame they went with 2 year old 13th gen Intel processors for these. The newer Lunar Lake Intel chips have much better battery life and thermals, and you can find them in other similarly priced laptops. The main downside is that Lunar Lake chips have soldered on RAM, but given that Framework already sells a desktop with soldered RAM that shouldn't be a dealbreaker for them.
katmannthree · 6 months ago
From your careful word choice you know this but I'd like to draw attention to the specifics here. I'm not sure if it's actually soldered on but RAM is on-package like apple's M-series chips, unlike what used to be the case where soldering ram to the board was a choice made by the laptop mfgs.

Here's there's no choice to be made other than not using the chips. And unfortunately (although there are some benefits), it's probably not going to be just a few generations but a trend for high end processors going forward.

katmannthree commented on O3 beats a master-level GeoGuessr player, even with fake EXIF data   sampatt.com/blog/2025-04-... · Posted by u/bko
ewoodrich · 8 months ago
Something as inherently subjective as personal preference doesn't seem like an ideal example to make that point. How could you expect to objectively evaluate something like "I enjoy songs in a minor scale" or "I hate country"?
katmannthree · 8 months ago
The point is to illustrate the disconnect between stated reasoning and proximate cause.

Consider your typical country music enjoyer. Their fondness of the art, as it were, is far more a function of cultural coding during their formative years than a deliberate personal choice to savor the melodic twangs of a corncob banjo. The same goes for people who like classic rock, rap, etc. The people who `hate' country are likewise far more likely to do so out of oppositional cultural contempt, same as people who hate rap or those in the not so distant past who couldn't stand rock & roll.

This of course fails to account for higher-agency individuals who have developed their musical tastes, but that's a relatively small subset of the population at large.

katmannthree commented on O3 beats a master-level GeoGuessr player, even with fake EXIF data   sampatt.com/blog/2025-04-... · Posted by u/bko
TimorousBestie · 8 months ago
I don’t think any goalposts need to be redecorated. The “inner monologue” isn’t a reliable witness to o3’s model, it’s at best a post-hoc estimation of what a human inner monologue might be in this circumstance. So its “testimony” about what it is doing is unreliable, and therefore it doesn’t move the needle on whether or not this is “real reasoning” for some value of that phrase.

In short, it’s still anthropomorphism and apophenia locked in a feedback loop.

katmannthree · 8 months ago
Devil's advocate, as with most LLM issues this applies to the meatbags that generated the source material as well. Quick example is asking someone to describe their favorite music and why they like it, and note the probable lack of reasoning on the `this is what I listened to as a teenager` axis.
katmannthree commented on Christianity "Borderline Illegal" in Silicon Valley. Now the New Religion   vanityfair.com/news/story... · Posted by u/Apocryphon
katmannthree · 9 months ago
> You have a duty as a founder to make really good products and get them into people’s hands. You’re making God real in people’s lives when they experience that.

These people do not know Christ.

katmannthree commented on China tells its AI leaders to avoid U.S. travel over security concerns   wsj.com/world/china/china... · Posted by u/bookofjoe
scrollaway · 10 months ago
Personally I’m pushing my (Belgian) government hard to provide a streamlined path for American immigrants, especially tech workers.

In general, it’s easy, just highly bureaucratic. If you compare to what most other countries have to go through, getting a work visa as a skilled us citizen is quick.

katmannthree · 10 months ago
As one of the many Americans who wants to contribute to a society whose values match their own, thank you. Is there somewhere to follow your efforts in that front?
katmannthree commented on China tells its AI leaders to avoid U.S. travel over security concerns   wsj.com/world/china/china... · Posted by u/bookofjoe
angry_moose · 10 months ago
As someone who has been looking; the EU Blue Card through Germany seems pretty stable and straightforward, with a 21/27 month path to permanent residency, depending on language ability:

https://www.make-it-in-germany.com/en/visa-residence/types/e...

The politics there are a little concerning at the moment but should be stable for at least 4 years. With residency, the rest of the EU becomes a lot easier if things change.

katmannthree · 10 months ago
Thank you for the link. How is Germany looking RE economic stability for the next couple of years? I was looking into Sweden but even the Swedish citizens I know there are having a difficult time finding / keeping engineering jobs as the economy has been doing poorly.
katmannthree commented on China tells its AI leaders to avoid U.S. travel over security concerns   wsj.com/world/china/china... · Posted by u/bookofjoe
scrollaway · 10 months ago
As an EU-based employer, I'm seeing a post-WW2 soviet vs usa style defection of engineers between USA and Europe.

By the way, if anyone US-based is in this situation and wants to "defect" to an EU-job, send me a message, I can help you.

katmannthree · 10 months ago
What’s your take on near-term stability for American immigrants in Europe? I was looking at options for moving last year but the work visa situation seemed fairly precarious (although that’s a relative thing in comparison with what may end up happening here in the US).

u/katmannthree

KarmaCake day1221September 5, 2019
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