Readit News logoReadit News
jvandreae commented on Pass-Through of Tariffs: Evidence from European Wine Imports   nber.org/202603/digest/pa... · Posted by u/neehao
OkayPhysicist · 10 days ago
While a bit reductionist, it's pretty much right. Tariffs can work if, and only if, the market believes the tariffs will last long enough to spin up entire industries, and then recoup that investment.

The problem with Trump's tariffs is that everyone knows they are relatively short term. At most, they'll last until the end of Trump's presidency, and even that's assuming that they don't get struck down by the courts, or Trump flip-flops on them like he does everything else.

Without the ability to credibly ensure their ongoing existence, tariffs fail their only real purpose of incentivizing domestic manufacturing, instead acting as a regressive tax on your population.

jvandreae · 10 days ago
> At most, they'll last until the end of Trump's presidency

Eh, you don't think Vance will keep them going when he wins in 28? I do agree that the uncertainty is an issue.

jvandreae commented on Florida public universities to pause hiring new H-1B workers   wusf.org/education/2026-0... · Posted by u/rawgabbit
testbjjl · 10 days ago
Born in San Francisco at Mt. Zion, now Zuckerberg Chan, to parents and grandparents born in Berkeley. What have immigrants ever contributed… looks around… oh.

Why stop at nationality. California for Californians! Pretty bad take.

jvandreae · 10 days ago
We don't want any more immigrants, and we don't care whether they contribute or not.

Deleted Comment

Dead Comment

jvandreae commented on The Pentagon is making a mistake by threatening Anthropic   understandingai.org/p/the... · Posted by u/speckx
mindslight · 14 days ago
... signal a particular vice. It's vice signalling. We generally think of war as bad and try to avoid it, most especially the people tasked with fighting said wars.

Nothing has changed about the performative-ness, in fact if anything it's gotten more performative and hollow. They just signal vices rather than virtues, so a bunch of rightist-flavored-Lenin's useful idiots think it is fresh or effective or anti-"woke" or at least different.

jvandreae · 14 days ago
Ah, yes, the Orwellian newspeak that is the phrase "Department of Defense" is something worth protecting. What next, the Ministry of Truth?

I don't really give any weight to what a leftist considers a vice or a virtue.

jvandreae commented on The normalization of corruption in organizations (2003) [pdf]   gwern.net/doc/sociology/2... · Posted by u/rendx
estearum · 14 days ago
> Oppression would be quite impossible throughout history if people weren't willing to oppress their own kind to the benefit of others.

No what's far more common is that people change their perception (or have different perceptions) of who is "their own kind."

You can actually see this happening in real time in the US with the emerging concept of "Heritage Americans." It's a way for losers and crybabies to narrow the scope of who is "their own kind" without having to openly declare that they simply don't love their countrymen.

jvandreae · 14 days ago
I - and thankfully, it appears, the current administration - don't accept your definition of who is "my countrymen".

> losers and crybabies

Luckily, for now, at least, it appears to be your side that is losing and crying.

jvandreae commented on Trump's global tariffs struck down by US Supreme Court   bbc.com/news/live/c0l9r67... · Posted by u/blackguardx
sschueller · 21 days ago
Like Switzerland that basically has zero tariffs on export to the US but was initially slapped with 39% because trump can't stand women in power? What about Brasil where trump stated the 50% tariff is punishment for putting Bolsonaro in prison?
jvandreae · 21 days ago
Ah, yes, just like he hates Japan and Italy for being run by women.
jvandreae commented on The US is flirting with its first-ever population decline   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/alephnerd
maybelsyrup · a month ago
Here’s how:

1. American men feel entitled to women, as from birth they’re told that they are.

2. Women know this, and (rightly!) hate it, and thus some of them pull away from relationships with men — or with entitled men. Unlike before, women can now survive (and even thrive) outside of a relationship with a man, especially an entitled one.

3. As a result, there are fewer babies.

OP’s point was that men ought to look at themselves in the mirror when they’re clutching their pearls about lower birth rates. I agreed, and proposed that the specific mechanism for men being shitty partners to have a kid with in so many cases is male entitlement: guys don’t believe they need to put in the work to be good partners and instead simply deserve a woman to bear their children. (Men are, by far, the more emotional / hysterical sex.)

jvandreae · 24 days ago
> American men feel entitled to women, as from birth they’re told that they are.

Outside of lower-class men (who tend to have more machismo/less to lose) and presumably unusually attractive men (who can get away with it), I have literally never heard anyone express this even once. Maybe lay off the smut?

> Women know this, and (rightly!) hate it, and thus some of them pull away from relationships with men — or with entitled men

You absolutely should not engage with "entitled" men, insofar as they aren't a figment of your imagination.

> Men are, by far, the more emotional / hysterical sex

Lol, you are projecting again.

jvandreae commented on The US is flirting with its first-ever population decline   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/alephnerd
maybelsyrup · a month ago
There's a book about male domestic violence perpetrators which you really ought to read. It's called "Why Does He Do That?". Author is Bancroft. The vast majority of men in the US are not abusers. But he describes a degree of entitlement to women -- their bodies and minds -- that, in my decades of clinical experience with families and couples, applies to most men in our culture. It's a little parable:

> Once upon a time, there was a boy who grew up with a happy dream. He was told when he was very young—as soon as he was old enough to understand anything, really—that a beautiful piece of land out on the edge of town was in trust for him. When he was grown up, it would be his very own and was sure to bring him great contentment. His family and other relatives often described the land to him in terms that made it sound like a fairy world, paradise on earth. They did not tell him precisely when it would be his but implied that it would be when he was around age sixteen or twenty.

> In his mid-teens, the boy began to visit the property and take walks on it, dreaming of owning it. Two or three years later, he felt the time had come to take it on. However, by then he had noticed some disturbing things: From time to time, he would observe people hiking or picnicking on his acres, and when he told them not to come there without his permission, they refused to leave and insisted that the land was public! When he questioned his relatives about this, they reassured him that there was no claim to the land but his.

> In his late adolescence and early twenties, he became increasingly frustrated about the failure of the townspeople to respect his ownership. He first tried to manage the problem through compromise. He set aside a small section of the property as a public picnic area and even spent his own money to put up some tables. On the remainder of the land he put up “No Trespassing” signs and expected people to stay off. But, to his amazement, town residents showed no signs of gratitude for his concession; instead they continued to help themselves to the enjoyment of the full area. The boy finally could tolerate the intrusions on his birthright no longer.

> He began screaming and swearing at people who trespassed and in this way succeeded in driving many of them away. The few who were not cowed by him became targets of his physical assaults. And when even his aggression did not completely clear the area, he bought a gun and began firing at people just to frighten them, not actually to shoot them. The townspeople came to the conclusion that the young man was insane.

> One particularly courageous local resident decided to spend a day searching through the town real estate records and was able to establish what a number of people had suspected all along: The property was indeed public. The claim made by the boy’s family on his behalf was the product of legend and misconception, without any basis in the documentary record. When the boy was confronted with this evidence, his ire only grew.

> He was convinced that the townspeople had conspired to alter the records and that they were out to deprive him of his most cherished dream. For several years after, his behavior remained erratic; at times it seemed that he had accepted having been misled during his childhood, but then he would erupt again in efforts to regain control of the land through lawsuits, creating booby traps on the land to injure visitors and employing any other strategy he could think of. His relatives encouraged him to maintain his belligerence, telling him, “Don’t let them take away what is yours.”

> Years went by before he was able to accept the fact that his dream would never be realized and that he would have to learn to share the land. Over that period he went through a painful, though ultimately freeing, process of gradually accepting how badly misled he had been and how destructive his behavior had been as a result.

I'm praying for you, internet friend!

jvandreae · 24 days ago
IME, women are overwhelmingly more entitled (in a general sense) than men, sorry.

Sure, women having to deal with a few "entitled" "predators" sucks and we should do something about that but the vast majority of men have no such entitlement - although obviously this is different in the context of a marriage.

There have always been certain rights granted to and duties expected from men and women. Leftism and feminism have weakened the expectations placed on women (and to a lesser extent men) and now the scales are unbalanced.

jvandreae commented on Privilege is bad grammar   tadaima.bearblog.dev/priv... · Posted by u/surprisetalk
jiggawatts · 24 days ago
I’ve seen an fascinating paper (sorry, lost the url) that expanded on this using game theory: it’s common for “economic stratification” to have on the order of ten to fifteen levels, from abject poverty up to hundred-billionaires.

Look at it this way: there are five orders of magnitude between a “mere” ten-millionaire and the likes of Elon or Bezos!

To most people that’s the “same” level of rich, but each factor of ten is dramatically richer!

However, signals like “purposefully disheveled” and “well manicured” are essentially binary, so… they’re alternated. Each strata layer of factor of ten indicates this by flipping whatever the layer is doing below them. They won’t be confused with “two layers down” because that’s such a gulf that nobody will misunderstand.

jvandreae · 24 days ago

u/jvandreae

KarmaCake day-8July 19, 2024View Original