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jeffreyrogers commented on AI is different   antirez.com/news/155... · Posted by u/grep_it
jeffreyrogers · 4 months ago
These sort of commentaries on AI are the modern equivalent of medieval theologians debating how many angels could congregate in one place.
jeffreyrogers commented on Why doctors hate their computers (2018)   newyorker.com/magazine/20... · Posted by u/mitchbob
FuriouslyAdrift · 5 months ago
At least in the US, many doctors (at least specialists) split off and created their own companies that then contract with the hospitals.

A large chunk of people working in healthcare are all contractors, now, with all the overhead and friction that comes with that.

The only true employees of most hospital systems are the finance people.

jeffreyrogers · 5 months ago
A lot of that is to get around laws that say corporations can't practice medicine. These are state-laws, not federal so in every state it's different.
jeffreyrogers commented on I drank every cocktail   aaronson.org/blog/i-drank... · Posted by u/colinprince
jeffreyrogers · 5 months ago
I believe the monkey gland is called that because around the time it was invented there was a surgeon (Serge Voronoff) who was promoting a surgery in which he would implant baboon testicles into men (there was a corresponding surgery for women as well). It was supposed to improve the libido. An early, probably ineffective form of hormone replacement therapy.
jeffreyrogers commented on Ask HN: Is ageism in tech still a problem?    · Posted by u/leonagano
jeffreyrogers · 6 months ago
I think most of the ostensible age discrimination is explained by the tech industry's massive growth over the past 50 years (means more young people are hired than old people because they have the skills).
jeffreyrogers commented on Revisiting the algorithm that changed horse race betting (2023)   actamachina.com/posts/ann... · Posted by u/areoform
jeffreyrogers · 7 months ago
Algorithmic betting is widespread in horse racing now. I can't remember the exact figures but I think it's estimated to be about 40% of the total handle. There is a company that will allow individuals to connect directly to the betting pools and wager automatically. It's rumored that the biggest two bettors are betting over $1bn a year (of course a lot of that is recycled from prior payouts).
jeffreyrogers commented on Revisiting the algorithm that changed horse race betting (2023)   actamachina.com/posts/ann... · Posted by u/areoform
tlyleung · 7 months ago
Author here - funny to see this posted after a few years. Happy to answer any questions!
jeffreyrogers · 7 months ago
How did you choose the artworks for the artworks section of your site?
jeffreyrogers commented on Revisiting the algorithm that changed horse race betting (2023)   actamachina.com/posts/ann... · Posted by u/areoform
AnotherGoodName · 7 months ago
I'm always skeptical of these "i totally made money gambling i just stopped for other reasons" type of claims and for good reason.

Looking him up it looks like he managed to start and subsequently close (due to low returns) hedge funds. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_O._Thorp#Stock_market

So it seems he was full of shit right? He was saying what he needed to say to get investors and when those investors fell for it he did not deliver.

Sold a lot of books though...

jeffreyrogers · 7 months ago
He had a sharpe ratio similar to early Rentech and used much less leverage. Probably would have had similar returns to them if if he used similar amounts of leverage. From interviews with him he seems extremely risk averse. Alumni of his fund now run one of the few firms that could be considered a Rentech peer.
jeffreyrogers commented on Revisiting the algorithm that changed horse race betting (2023)   actamachina.com/posts/ann... · Posted by u/areoform
blindriver · 7 months ago
The point is that it doesn’t matter.
jeffreyrogers · 7 months ago
Benter allegedly did use something like this in his later models so it probably does matter.
jeffreyrogers commented on OpenAI to buy AI startup from Jony Ive   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/minimaxir
thinkingtoilet · 7 months ago
Does anyone seriously think we're anywhere close to AGI with LLMs? I know CEOs like to say things to blow smoke up investors asses, but does anyone with actual credibility think that?
jeffreyrogers · 7 months ago
Tyler Cowen claims it's already here. I don't agree with him but he has credibility with a lot of people.

u/jeffreyrogers

KarmaCake day11112March 8, 2014
About
Hedge Fund -> Defense Industry -> Big Tech

My career has mostly been at the intersection of hardware and software (including a couple of years designing FPGA gateware) and focused on designing and developing correct, performant systems.

I also have an interest in improving clinical trials for novel therapeutics.

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