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jeffnappi commented on GPT-5   openai.com/gpt-5/... · Posted by u/rd
highfrequency · 17 days ago
It is frequently suggested that once one of the AI companies reaches an AGI threshold, they will take off ahead of the rest. It's interesting to note that at least so far, the trend has been the opposite: as time goes on and the models get better, the performance of the different company's gets clustered closer together. Right now GPT-5, Claude Opus, Grok 4, Gemini 2.5 Pro all seem quite good across the board (ie they can all basically solve moderately challenging math and coding problems).

As a user, it feels like the race has never been as close as it is now. Perhaps dumb to extrapolate, but it makes me lean more skeptical about the hard take-off / winner-take-all mental model that has been pushed.

Would be curious to hear the take of a researcher at one of these firms - do you expect the AI offerings across competitors to become more competitive and clustered over the next few years, or less so?

jeffnappi · 17 days ago
We have no idea what AGI might look like, for example entirely possible that if/when that threshold is reached it will be power/compute constrained in such a way that it's impact is softened. My expectation is that open models will eventually meet or exceed the capability of proprietary models and to a degree that has already happened.

It's the systems around the models where the proprietary value lies.

jeffnappi commented on Andrej Karpathy: Software in the era of AI [video]   youtube.com/watch?v=LCEmi... · Posted by u/sandslash
iLoveOncall · 2 months ago
Has a critical service that you used meaningfully changed to seemingly integrate non-deterministic "intelligence" in the past 3 years in one of its critical paths? I'd bet good money that the answer to literally everyone is no.

My company uses GenAI a lot in a lot of projects. Would it have some impact if all models suddenly stopped working? Sure. But the oncalls wouldn't even get paged.

jeffnappi · 2 months ago
Tesla FSD, Waymo are good examples.
jeffnappi commented on Engineers do not get to make startup mistakes when they build ledgers   news.alvaroduran.com/p/en... · Posted by u/fagnerbrack
jeffnappi · 9 months ago
Feeling vindicated for the double entry transaction system we built at clearvoice.com for our two-sided marketplace, leveraging the fantastic DoubleEntry Ruby Gem from Envato.
jeffnappi commented on XMPP: The Gem of Instant Messaging   adele.pages.casa/md/blog/... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
jeffnappi · 10 months ago
XMPP and specifically ejabberd are what made WhatsApp possible to build with ~50 people at absolutely massive scale (~400M MAU @ 2014 acquisition).
jeffnappi commented on Starship Flight 5: Launch and booster catch [video]   twitter.com/SpaceX/status... · Posted by u/alecco
jeswin · 10 months ago
Speaking as a non-American. SpaceX just made one of the most significant technological leaps in the last decade. This is obviously hugely significant in many ways, including retaining the US military edge.

Yet the US administration hasn't congratulated SpaceX. Incredible.

jeffnappi · 10 months ago
It's unfortunate that Elon has made himself so visibly political, it casts a dark shadow on the great work of the people at his companies.
jeffnappi commented on Pivotal Tracker will shut down   pivotaltracker.com/blog/2... · Posted by u/sandinmyjoints
wrl · a year ago
Looks like it, that's new! I tried Linear quite some time ago and it didn't "stick", I'll have to give it another shot.

Thanks for the tip!

jeffnappi · a year ago
Linear is the best project management for software I've ever used, highly recommend. They've added many many amazing features this year... Incredible team over there that are just a joy to work with.
jeffnappi commented on Pivotal Tracker will shut down   pivotaltracker.com/blog/2... · Posted by u/sandinmyjoints
wrl · a year ago
Anybody know any other PM tools that do the auto sprint planning like Tracker does?
jeffnappi · a year ago
Linear
jeffnappi commented on China Is Rapidly Becoming a Leading Innovator in Advanced Industries   itif.org/publications/202... · Posted by u/lossolo
defrost · a year ago
Spain, France, Holland, Britain - they all rose and fell as major powers.

The US Steven Bradbury'd it's way into world hegemony less than a hundred years past following a European home goal that took out Britain and Germany.

China hasn't been just a regional power for a few decades now; eg: how many nuclear power stations (long term big infrastructure) are being built by China in other countries right now .. how many are the US building?

The US will be around for a century and more most likely, but it's alliances and economic integration are alteady on the wane.

Depends whether the US can bring back proper diplomacy or whether it'll continue to rely on force projection.

jeffnappi · a year ago
One difference is that the US is a mixture of all the worlds people's. Is there a historic world power as diverse?
jeffnappi commented on Intel foundry business to make custom chip for Amazon, chipmaker's shares jump   reuters.com/technology/in... · Posted by u/testrun
xyst · a year ago
With the amount of money AMZN has at its disposal. I’m surprised they didn’t take the Apple route of making their own chip in house. Apple realized how bottlenecked they were with Intel, and took steps to remove that dependency.

Could have been Jassys equivalent of Beso’s AWS, but unfortunately he’s a lousy leader with no imagination beyond the quarterly results.

jeffnappi · a year ago
Apple doesn't manufacture the chips, they subcontract that out to TSMC/Samsung. In this case Intel is the contract manufacturer, not the chip designer fulfilling the same role as TSMC does for Apple.
jeffnappi commented on Hi-Tech Bifocals Improved My Eyesight but Made Me Look Like a Dork   gizmodo.com/these-hi-tech... · Posted by u/amichail
aaronbrethorst · a year ago
I’m not sure why they didn’t include a photo of someone actually wearing them, so here’s one for you: https://www.engadget.com/vixion01-glasses-reduce-eyestrain-b...
jeffnappi · a year ago
Very Geordi La Forge esque. Would be nice if this is more stylish and normalized by the time I need bifocals

u/jeffnappi

KarmaCake day559August 19, 2010View Original