The thing is, there are three distinct interpretations of the word "economy", and depending on which of the definitions you subscribe (or belong) to, either of "the economy is good/okay/bad" can be true!
1) being the economy for the (uber) rich, "big tech", "big seven", FAANG, however you want to call it. That economy is running hot on 'roids "thanks" to the AI ouroboros / bubble / incestuous investment relationships. Money printer go brr. You get it. The only thing you have to take care about now if you belong to that bubble is to slowly unwind enough bags onto clueless retail gamblers before the bubble pops.
2) being the economy for the pension funds, the value of all the "dumb capital", S&P 500/DAX/MSCI and the likes. That economy is doing ... okay-ish, partially thanks to the AI bubble, but when that bubble pops, it's going to have Covid/2007ff effects on the pension funds.
3) being the economy for the 99% - and that economy is in the gutter. On the income side, job losses run rampant across the board, especially "entry level" jobs but also skilled jobs like translators are getting wiped out by AI, and in other industries (advertising, "luxury" goods) the cause is people cutting back on spending because they don't have any money left or are holding their money together because they fear a serious macro-economic disaster. On the expense side, cost of living have been exploding for years without adequate salary hikes - rents, basic groceries, cable TV and its replacement of half a dozen of streaming services, gas, electricity, the impact of Trump's tariffs, whatever.
Not recognizing (or ignoring) these wildly different realities is what killed Trump 1, Biden and is now killing Trump 2. You can't go and yap on the big screen about the economy being at record highs while the actual reality on the ground is everything but that. And it's not just the US that has these problems either, it's the same across the board in Western countries. The only thing the US has "exclusively" is the tariffs.
The consistent message from social media in the last 10 years is: don't try to talk sense. That will be punished.
they won't even show a chart in the article. 493 is up ... look at a 2025 5y chart. not that "basically flat" (actually 2023) chart google tries to feed you as a top result.
What if I have a mission and I like it and it’s totally authentic? My customers like it too. Are you calling me full of it for achieving that difficult goal?
I think you’re right about a lot of inauthentic mission statements, but I think crass swearing is the real “needless bullshit”.
Here’s a good take on it: https://www.ai-breakout.com/post/ai-alignment-and-the-messia...
I also think we would all be very wise to remember the story of Henny Penny / “Chicken Little”. https://americanliterature.com/childrens-stories/henny-penny...
Specifically, the danger brought by hysteria. In our case, Alignment is probably much more effective and achievable when the widest possible community of researchers and engineers have access to knowledge, and much more perilous if they don’t because deluded parties thought it should be contained to a much smaller elite “secure” group.
He’s also one of the best candidates for that type of conspiracy theory. His career history is flabbergasting.
Check out https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Rumsfeld#Corporate_conn...
In addition to all the Bohemian Club, RAND corp, defense and government posts, in the 70s the guy was a CEO in the pharmaceuticals and electronics industries, was a director in aerospace, media and tech.
Definitely the type of resume that lets the imagination run wild with, “… wait, was he a lizard person …?”
- Design your application's hot path to never use joins. Storage is cheap, denormalize everything and update it all in a transaction. It's truly amazing how much faster everything is when you eliminate joins. For your ad-hoc queries you can replicate to another database for analytical purposes.
On this note, I have mixed feelings about Amazon's DynamoDB, but one things about it is to use it properly you need to plan your use first, and schema second. I think there's something you can take from this even with a RDBMS.
In fact, I'd go as far to say as joins are unnecessary for nonanalytical purposes these days. Storage is so mind booglingly cheap and the major DBs have ACID properties. Just denormalize, forreal.
- Use something more akin to UUIDs to prevent hot partitions. They're not a silver bullet and have their own downsides, but you'll already be used to the consistently "OK" performance that can be horizontally scaled rather than the great performance of say integers that will fall apart eventually.
/hottakes
my sun level take would be also to just index all columns. but that'll have to wait for another day.