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hnaccount_rng commented on Major AI conference flooded with peer reviews written by AI   nature.com/articles/d4158... · Posted by u/_____k
hnaccount_rng · 22 days ago
My initial reaction was: Oh no, who would have thought? But then... 21% is almost shockingly low. Especially given that there are almost certainly some false positive, given that this number originates with a company selling "detecting AI generated text"
hnaccount_rng commented on NATO Ended Russia's Estonian Air Incursions   themilitaryanalyst.com/20... · Posted by u/madspindel
ivandenysov · a month ago
What price did Turkey pay for shooting down a Russian military plane on their territory?
hnaccount_rng · a month ago
Russia basically cancelled their support for the S-300 Turkey bought from them. A lot of the tourists in Turkey were from Russia, that basically stopped. A lot of collaboration projects (IIRC mostly energy) got cancelled/suffered unexplained delays.

Erdogan send a letter of apology to Putin and did a bit of grovelling to alleviate some of that

Most importantly of all: Turkey was left alone by NATO. Yes, there was no great confrontation. But that doesn't mean there is no price to pay. Real life isn't a video game. These kinds of low-level confrontations do not result in large scale war, unless at least one side wants that war. Another example of those is the Kashmir region. There it happens regularly that Indian and Chinese troops fight. That has lead to both sides agreeing not to have those troops have rifles only clubs, but not to a large scale war

hnaccount_rng commented on NATO Ended Russia's Estonian Air Incursions   themilitaryanalyst.com/20... · Posted by u/madspindel
cookiengineer · a month ago
For the last 60 years, Russia behaved like this to test NATO's defenses constantly.

Only once was an incursion to Turkish airspace. After a warning it was shot down. Never happened again.

You tell me what's the better strategy to deal with Russia.

If you give leeway to a bully, the bully's gonna keep on bullying.

hnaccount_rng · a month ago
But neither was it only one incursion into Turkish airspace, not did Turkey not pay a price for it
hnaccount_rng commented on Largest cargo sailboat completes first Atlantic crossing   marineinsight.com/shippin... · Posted by u/defrost
nradov · a month ago
How much sail area would it take to move a 20000 TEU ship at, let's say, even 12 kts? How tall would the masts have to be? Would they fit under bridges? You guys are talking about total fantasies here.
hnaccount_rng · a month ago
But you don't need 12kts, right? The ocean logistics is ~only about costs, as evidenced by the reduction in travel speed. That being said, cost is currently not dominated by fuel cost either. That means unless you reduce crewing requirements or build cost, there is probably not much savings that will pencil out. Plus you'd need more ships and the physical capacity to build more is limited
hnaccount_rng commented on ICC ditches Microsoft 365 for openDesk   binnenlandsbestuur.nl/dig... · Posted by u/vincvinc
whatever1 · a month ago
Oh I see the point. So MS US has credentials for the infra in EU.

So no reason to deal with any European citizen or court. You just threaten the US IT guy to give you the EU credentials.

hnaccount_rng · a month ago
Yes, and the Cloud Act pretty much forces upper management to ensure that there is always a US IT guy that can be compelled to implement the wishes of The US Federal Government, as the penalties apply to executives of US companies, too.

We can quibble about whether the term "threaten", which implies some moral wrong doing, is correct though. It's a law with defined criminal penalties. That's how criminal law works

hnaccount_rng commented on Can “second life” EV batteries work as grid-scale energy storage?   volts.wtf/p/can-second-li... · Posted by u/davidw
Rebelgecko · 2 months ago
I've been intrigued by used solar panels for sale, seems like you can get an amazing price for ones that are only lightly degraded. Is there a downside, or do you just mean that it isn't popular currently?
hnaccount_rng · 2 months ago
In addition to my sibling comment: The cost of the panels is a rather small fraction of the total cost of a typical installation. Most of that cost ist labor, some regulatory requirements and the inverter. Whether you pay a factor of 2 for the panels or not typically doesn't matter. In other words: Reusing used panels will only ever be able to safe you a minuscule amount.
hnaccount_rng commented on Beliefs that are true for regular software but false when applied to AI   boydkane.com/essays/boss... · Posted by u/beyarkay
rmccue · 2 months ago
It’s how Apple (relatively famously?) developed the iPhone, so I’d assume they were using this as a model.

> In other words, should he shrink the Mac, which would be an epic feat of engineering, or enlarge the iPod? Jobs preferred the former option, since he would then have a mobile operating system he could customize for the many gizmos then on Apple’s drawing board. Rather than pick an approach right away, however, Jobs pitted the teams against each other in a bake-off.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/wbna44904886

hnaccount_rng · 2 months ago
But that's not the same thing right? That means having two teams competing for developing the next product. That's not two organisations handling the same responsibilities. You may still end up in problems with infighting. But if there is a clear end date for that competition and then no lasting effects for the "losers" this kind of "competition" will have very different effects than setting up two organisations that fight over some responsibility
hnaccount_rng commented on High-power microwave defeats drone swarm   epirusinc.com/press-relea... · Posted by u/nis0s
varjag · 3 months ago
IIRC NEMP is assumed to be at 50kV/m for milspec certification purposes. However most exposed devices are much simpler than quadcopters. There are some class exemptions too, e.g. electronic sights are allowed a fraction of second blackout after upset. Not something that would work for an attack drone though.

What I think makes Leonidas more efficient is they likely operate in continuous wave bursts rather than pulses. Probably with a broad comb rather than one specific value too.

hnaccount_rng · 3 months ago
I don't think a fraction of a second interruption would be overly problematic. These drones are somewhat heavy and thus bring relevant amounts of momentum. But the start up process is probably far too long
hnaccount_rng commented on Demand for human radiologists is at an all-time high   worksinprogress.news/p/wh... · Posted by u/bensouthwood
newyankee · 3 months ago
But this indicates lack of incentives to reduce healthcare costs by optimisation. If AI can do something well enough , and AI + humans surpass humans leading to costs reductions/ increased throughput this should be reflected in the workflows.

I feel that human processes have inertia and for lack of a better word, gatekeepers feel that new, novel approaches should be adopted slowly and which is why we are not seeing the impact, yet. Once a country with the right incentive structure (e.g. China ) can show that it can outperform and help improve the overall experience I am sure things will change.

While 10 years progress is a lot in ML, AI , in more traditional fields it probably is a blip to change this institutional inertia which will change generation by generation. All that is needed is an external actor to take the risk and show a step change improvement. Having experienced how healthcare in US I feel people are only scared to take on bold challenges

hnaccount_rng · 3 months ago
I think the one thing we will find out with the AI/Chatbot/LLM boom is: Most economic activity is already reasonably close to a local optimum. Either you find a way to change the whole process (and thereby eliminate steps completely) or you won't gain much.

That's true for AI-slop-in-the-media (most of the internet was already lowest effort garbage, which just got that tiny bit cheaper) and probably also in medicine (a slight increase in false negatives will be much, much more expensive than speeding up doctors by 50% for image interpretation). Once you get to the point where some other doctor is willing (and able) to take on the responsibility of that radiologist, then you can eliminate that kind of doctor (but still not her work. Just the additional human-human communication)

u/hnaccount_rng

KarmaCake day782January 17, 2021View Original