Readit NewsMy company had an exit, I did well financially. This is not a secret. I'm extremely privileged and thankful for it. But as a result of this, I've used a private bank (or mix) for a number of years to store the vast majority of my financial assets (over 99.99% of all assets, I just did the math). An unfortunate property of private banks is they make it hard to do retail-like banking behaviors: depositing a quick check, pulling cash from an ATM, but ironically most importantly Zelle.
As such, I've kept my Chase personal accounts and use them as my retail bank: there are Chase branches everywhere, its easy to get to an ATM, and they give me easy access to Zelle! I didn't choose Chase specifically, I've just always used Chase for personal banking since I was in high school so I just kept using them for this.
Anyways, I tend to use my Chase account to pay a bunch of bills, just because it's more convenient (Zelle!). I have 3 active home construction projects, plus pay my CC, plus pretty much all other typical expenses (utilities, car payments, insurance, etc.). But I float the money in/out of the account as necessary to cover these. We do accounting of all these expenses at the private bank side, so its all tracked, but it settles within the last 24-48 hours via Chase.
Otherwise, I keep my Chase balance no more than a few thousand dollars.
This really wigs out automated systems at Chase. I get phone calls all the time (like, literally multiple times per week) saying "we noticed a large transfer into your account, we can help!" And I cheekily respond "refresh, it's back to zero!" And they're just confused. To be fair, I've explained the situation in detail to multiple people multiple times but it isn't clicking, so they keep calling me.
I now ignore the phone calls. Hope I don't regret that later lol.
People have completely lost the value of money, do you realize how much money is $4.5 billion?
In 2007 Apple had a market cap of 80 billion and a P/E ratio of 26, it had revolutionary products on the market that were clearly going to change an entire industry while at the same time bringing in steady revenue, can you imagine how much it would be worth today in this bubble?
you need to adjust for inflation if you're going to use a valuation that is 14 years old.
I did an analysis based on the same premise (Bitcoin competes with gold) and came to basically the same conclusion.
Dalio's writings about how the "All Weather" fund works are based on a premise a lot like the "Permanent Portfolio" advocated by Libertarian presidential candidate Harry Browne but Dalio took out the "gold" component and replaced it with "treasury inflation protected securities."
Circa 2000 I bought a lot of TIPS and they did very well despite there being little inflation. Dropping interest rates had something to do with it, but I still don't understand exactly why they did so well.
(My stockbroker fired me as a client because I went to a presentation and asked why I needed the product they were selling when I bonds were yielding so well and had all the tax benefits they had)
I don't know how TIPS will do now, but I am sure that getting into TIPS at the right time is part of why Dalio is a legend. Maybe these days he thinks gold is better than TIPS.
fyi the "all weather" portfolio's name is stupid given it's mostly backward looking and benefited from a commodities supercycle and rates dropping from QE. With the 10yr at 1% putting 30-40% of your portfolio in long dated treasuries is insane. Let's use the TLT etf as an example (20 yr treasury). It has a duration of 19 years. That means for every 1% increase increase in rates, the value of your bonds will go down 19%....yikes. Let's say you are going to buy individual bonds and hold to maturity. Ok, you are protected from that price drop assuming you don't sell, but you've also just made a 20 year bet you don't think interest rates will go higher from here.
If someone wants into your house, they will get into your house. There's giant glass windows in most homes these days and door locks are hardly much more than a speed bump.
All you should look at ADT for is simply making you not the easiest house to get into. But if someone wants into your house, a security system is unlikely to be something that stops them.
Edit: to be more clear, I think the deterrent part is the equivalent of putting an ADT sign in a window or nearby. THAT is the deterrent, not the system itself.