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hamilyon2 commented on LLM Inevitabilism   tomrenner.com/posts/llm-i... · Posted by u/SwoopsFromAbove
hamilyon2 · a month ago
The optimistic scenario for current ai bubble: long careful deflation, one flop at a time.

The cautious scenario of llm usage in daily life: in 36 years, it is invisible and everywhere. Every device has a neural chip. It replaced untold trillions of years of work, reshaped knowledge and artistic work, robotics, became something as boring as email, TV, SAP, or power cable today. Barely anyone is excited. Society is poor, but not hopelessly so.

Humanity forgotten LLMs and is hyping gene engineering.

hamilyon2 commented on You Are in a Box   jyn.dev/you-are-in-a-box/... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
hamilyon2 · a month ago
Yes, interoperability, extensibility, composability and the tyranny of program author is a problem. JVM with runtime-loading of classes and it's once popular beans standard is one of closest approximations, known to me, of the most general "local" solution.

Yes, it's cumbersome and hacky and still limited. The beans idea lost popularity and mindshare.

hamilyon2 commented on Bad Actors Are Grooming LLMs to Produce Falsehoods   americansunlight.substack... · Posted by u/nsoonhui
hamilyon2 · a month ago
I am questioning, how is this news? What about the other terabyte of text influenced by bias and opinion and human nature and clearly wrong, contradicts itself or in some other way very arguable.

Framing publishing falsehoods on internet as attempts to influence LLMs is true in same sense that inserts in a database attempts influence files on disk.

The real question is who authorized database access and how we believe the contents of table.

hamilyon2 commented on US Court nullifies FTC requirement for click-to-cancel   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/gausswho
hiAndrewQuinn · 2 months ago
>The rule makes competition in markets higher. Because dollars flow to best offers faster.

That's an insufficiently nuanced view of how competition works. Imagine two companies offering otherwise identical services, at identical price points, except that one company starts to offer click to cancel and the other does not. What happens next?

It's possible the other company implements it too. But it's also possible the other company lowers its prices, trading profit margin for trade stickiness. Enforcing click to cancel wouldn't give the other company the option to respond in the way it sees best.

hamilyon2 · 2 months ago
In general the better experience will command higher price, right. That is true, and by forcing same lowest level on everyone we are constructing artificial floor on how bad an experience can be.

Or at least ensuring that bad experience is so profitable that the competitor is ready to even pay the fee for violations.

Illegal markets operate in this territory. No consumer protection there, sorry.

I started to understand the question more, thank you for your comment

hamilyon2 commented on US Court nullifies FTC requirement for click-to-cancel   arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/gausswho
bpodgursky · 2 months ago
From a different article [1]:

> But the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit said the FTC erred in its rulemaking process by failing to produce a preliminary regulatory analysis, a statutory requirement for rules whose annual effect on the national economy would exceed $100 million.

> The FTC had argued that it was not required to prepare the preliminary analysis because its initial estimate of the rule’s impact on the national economy was under the $100 million threshold — even though ultimately the presiding officer determined the impact exceeded the threshold.

This is a case where congress really did pass a concrete law, and the court is requiring the FTC to follow it. Sucks that a reasonable rule is getting voided for the sloppiness but I really don't think the courts are indefensibly out of line.

[1] https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5390731-appeals-court-...

hamilyon2 · 2 months ago
I am not getting it. The rule makes competition in markets higher. Because dollars flow to best offers faster. And thus improve economic situation, not only in markets affected by rule, but also on all other markets, in case customer wants to take his money elsewhere.

And on international scale, because more competitive companies presumably out-compete foreign competitors.

So, FTC needs some permission and review to make national economy money?

hamilyon2 commented on Valve conquered PC gaming – what comes next?   ft.com/content/f4a13716-8... · Posted by u/HelloUsername
hamilyon2 · 2 months ago
Steam's anti-piracy measure is being better, convenient, adding massive value to gamers.
hamilyon2 commented on Being too ambitious is a clever form of self-sabotage   maalvika.substack.com/p/b... · Posted by u/alihm
hamilyon2 · 2 months ago
I'll be fired if I create my worst
hamilyon2 commented on Everything around LLMs is still magical and wishful thinking   dmitriid.com/everything-a... · Posted by u/troupo
hamilyon2 · 2 months ago
I am impressed by speed of the sound goalpost movement.

Few days ago Google released very competent summary generator, interpreter between 10-s of languages, gpt-3 class general purpose assistant. Working locally on modest hardware. On 5 years old laptop, no discrete GPU.

It alone potentially saves so much toil, so much stupid work.

We also finally “solved computer vision”. Read from PDF, read diagrams and tables.

Local vision models are much less impressive and need some care to use. Give it 2 years.

I don't know if we can overhype it when it archives holy grail level on some important tasks.

hamilyon2 commented on How large are large language models?   gist.github.com/rain-1/cf... · Posted by u/rain1
agumonkey · 2 months ago
Intelligence is compression some say
hamilyon2 · 2 months ago
Crystallized intelligence is. I am not sure about fluid intelligence.

u/hamilyon2

KarmaCake day1279September 16, 2014
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