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ertgbnm commented on Entities enabling scientific fraud at scale (2025)   doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2420... · Posted by u/peyton
armchairhacker · a day ago
There’s an accurate way to confirm fraud: look for inconsistencies and replicate experiments.

If the fraudsters “fail to replicate” legitimate experiments, ask them for details/proof, and replicate the experiment yourself while providing more details/proof. Either they’re running a different experiment, their details have inconsistencies, or they have unreasonable omissions.

ertgbnm · a day ago
That would be great if journals bothered publishing replication studies. But since they don't, researchers can't get adequate funding to perform them, and since they can't perform them, they don't exist.

We can't look for failed replication experiments if none exist.

ertgbnm commented on Following 35% growth, solar has passed hydro on US grid   arstechnica.com/science/2... · Posted by u/rbanffy
ertgbnm · 15 days ago
I am reminded by the perhaps revisionist history but still applicable belief that slavery was really ended by industrialization making abolition economically advantageous and not actually a socially driven movement. (In reality it was certainly a convoluted mixture of the two I'm sure.)

I hope we are in a similar era with regards to climate change. Surely there's a lot of money to be made in harnessing effectively unlimited renewable energy that literally falls from the sky like manna. With a bit of social pressure we should be able to extinct the fossil fuel industry in my opinion.

ertgbnm commented on Gemini 3.1 Pro   blog.google/innovation-an... · Posted by u/MallocVoidstar
nickandbro · 21 days ago
Does well on SVGs outside of "pelican riding on a bicycle" test. Like this prompt:

"create a svg of a unicorn playing xbox"

https://www.svgviewer.dev/s/NeKACuHj

Still some tweaks to the final result, but I am guessing with the ARC-AGI benchmark jumping so much, the model's visual abilities are allowing it to do this well.

ertgbnm · 21 days ago
Animated SVGs are one of the example in the press release. Which is fine, I just think the weird SVG benchmark is now dead. Gemini has beat the benchmark and now differences are just coming down to taste.

I don't know if it got these abilities through generalization or if google gave it a dedicated animated SVG RL suite that got it to improve so much between models.

Regardless we need a new vibe check benchmark ala bicycle pelican.

ertgbnm commented on Qwen3.5: Towards Native Multimodal Agents   qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3.5... · Posted by u/danielhanchen
tarruda · 24 days ago
At this point I wouldn't be surprised if your pelican example has leaked into most training datasets.

I suggest to start using a new SVG challenge, hopefully one that makes even Gemini 3 Deep Think fail ;D

ertgbnm · 24 days ago
I'm guessing it has the opposite problem of typical benchmarks since there is no ground truth pelican bike svg to over fit on. Instead the model just has a corpus of shitty pelicans on bikes made by other LLMs that it is mimicking.

So we might have an outer alignment failure.

ertgbnm commented on Heritability of intrinsic human life span is about 50%   science.org/doi/10.1126/s... · Posted by u/XzetaU8
c-fe · a month ago
How is heritabiltity of life span useful if by the time the lifespan becomes known (eg at 80yrs old) the inheritance is not possible anymore (eg menopause)?
ertgbnm · a month ago
Explanation I've heard in popscience books:

Healthy grandparents that are around to support their children and take care of grandchildren increase the fitness of the entire lineage by helping their children have more children and those grandchildren to be healthier/safer.

ertgbnm commented on Indifference is a power (2015)   aeon.co/essays/why-stoici... · Posted by u/suioir
ertgbnm · 2 months ago
Stoicism has always struck me as cognitive behavioural therapy (specifically the cognitive triangle) but for boys who think therapy is for women and is rife for misuse from people who don't understand it.

I understand stoicism is deeply entwined with modern CBT and the roots can be traced back basically, but why misuse the ancient form when we have decades of evolution and study on CBT?

ertgbnm commented on Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality   jamanetwork.com/journals/... · Posted by u/bpierre
theptip · 3 months ago
The increase in myocarditis from the vaccine is well-documented. (And very small.)

COVID causes myocarditis too (even for young people unlikely to die from COVID itself), at much higher rates. So you only need a 20% chance of contracting COVID for the vaccine to be net positive in the least obviously positive age group.

ertgbnm · 3 months ago
non-scientific but every young person I know has had covid at least twice.
ertgbnm commented on Analysis indicates that the universe’s expansion is not accelerating   ras.ac.uk/news-and-press/... · Posted by u/chrka
ertgbnm · 4 months ago
Seems like the problem should be pretty easy to figure out. Just need to wait ~5 gigayears and see which model is right. I'm personally hoping for deceleration so that we have more total visitable volume.

I'll set a reminder to check back at that time to see who was right.

ertgbnm commented on Apple M5 chip   apple.com/newsroom/2025/1... · Posted by u/mihau
achierius · 5 months ago
> Compare their hardware revenues with that of the app store and icloud subscriptions, you will see where they make most of their money.

Yes, it's $70B a year from iPhones alone and $23B from the totality of the Services org. (including all app store / subscription proceeds). Significantly more than 50% of the company's total profits come from hardware sales.

ertgbnm · 5 months ago
In addition, making money off the software that others develop and sell on the app store doesn't make Apple more of a software company, it makes them a middle man.
ertgbnm commented on The great software quality collapse or, how we normalized catastrophe   techtrenches.substack.com... · Posted by u/redbell
pdntspa · 5 months ago
It's hilarious just how much of a witchhunt on AI is kicked off from a bunch of vague heuristics.

Writing this as someone who likes using em dash and now I have to watch that habit because everyone is obsessed with sniffing out AI.

Cliched writing is definitely bad. I guess I should be happy that we are smashing them one way or another.

ertgbnm · 5 months ago
It's not a witchhunt for AI. It's a witchhunt for bad writing.

u/ertgbnm

KarmaCake day817October 10, 2023View Original