These things also apply to humans. A year or so ago I thought I’d finally learn more about the Israeli/Palestinians conflict. Turns out literally every source that was recommended to me by some reputable source was considered completely non-credible by another reputable one.
That said I’ve found ChatGPT to be quite good at math and programming and I can go pretty deep at both. I can definitely trip it into mistakes (eg it seems to use calculations to “intuit” its way around sometimes and you can find dev cases where the calls will lead it the wrong directions), but I also know enough to know how to keep it on rails.
FWIW, the /r/AskHistorians booklist is pretty helpful.
https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/wiki/books/middleeast...
"To know who rules over you, simply notice who you are not allowed to criticize" - Unknown
The correct statement is saying P(saw these results | no real effect) < 5%
Consider two extremes, for the same 5% threshold:
1) All of their ideas for experiments are idiotic. Every single experiment is for something that simply would never work in real life. 5% of those experiments pass the threshold and 0% of them are valid ideas.
2) All of their ideas are brilliant. Every single experiment is for something that is a perfect way to capture user needs and get them to pay more money. 100% of those experiments pass the threshold and 100% of them are valid ideas.
(P scores don't actually tell you how many VALID experiments will fail, so let's just say they all pass).
This is so incredibly common in forensics that it's called the "prosecutor's fallacy."
It looks like there's a more recent series as well: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r4-cftqTcdI
There were a lot of people around who felt like high performance athletes of the mind, while he was just this sort of effortless butterfly going from flower to flower.
nit. This suggests that the model contains a direction with some notion of gender, not a dimension. Direction and dimension appear to be inextricably linked by definition, but with some handwavy maths, you find that the number of nearly orthogonal dimensions within n dimensional space is exponential with regards to n. This helps explain why spaces on the order of 1k dimensions can "fit" billions of concepts.