OpenAI simply can’t be trusted on any benchmarks: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42761648
Readit Newschairhairair commented on OpenAI claims gold-medal performance at IMO 2025 twitter.com/alexwei_/stat... · Posted by u/Davidzheng
chairhairair commented on Google's new AI app Doppl lets you try on outfits virtually engadget.com/ai/googles-n... · Posted by u/Bluestein
How many startups does this kill?
>The freedom to waste time. The freedom to waste resources. And the autonomy to decide how.
I think we massively underestimate just how much one simple fact, the absurd explosion of housing costs, have contributed to this. Take that away and just about everyone would have this kind of freedom. Look at just the gaming industry for example. Practically any great game from the past decade you can name was made in Europe or Japan; places that have kept these costs low relative to the rest of the West. When you don't have everyone terrified about how they're going to make rent next month, it frees up literally everything else. You can take these random walks and experiment when the cost of your existence doesn't necessitate bringing in huge amounts of income.
Japanese gaming industry employees have low economic stress and high feelings of freedom? I'd be surprised. Even if that is true, can that really be connected to housing availability? Again, I'd be surprised.
chairhairair commented on The Myth of Developer Obsolescence alonso.network/the-recurr... · Posted by u/cat-whisperer
>but continues to come down in price, as expected
Is it? AI very much seems to be in market capture mode. And IIRC, very few businesses actually report profits.
I can only predict AI models ramping up the cost like crazy once the victor captures the market. Same as every other tech trend in the last 20 years.
Hosting, bandwidth, storage, and compute all have come down by orders of magnitude in 20 years.
Regardless which model is currently the best, it looks like there will be an open weight model ~6 months behind it which can be vendored at costs that are closely tied to the hardware costs.
chairhairair commented on The Myth of Developer Obsolescence alonso.network/the-recurr... · Posted by u/cat-whisperer
People will start caring when their devices start bricking, loading websites takes 12sec and registering for medicaid is only possible between 9 and 11AM and then only if lucky.
We are in this weird twilight zone where everything is still relativity high quality and stuff sort of works but in a few decades shit will start degrading faster than you can say “OpenAI”.
Weird thing will start happening like tax systems for the government not being able to be upgraded while consuming billions, infrastructure failing for unknown reasons, simple non or low-power devices that are now ubiquitous will become rare. Everything will require subscriptions and internet access and nothing will work right. You will have to talk to LLMs all day.
If the current tech plateaus (but continues to come down in price, as expected) then this is a good prediction.
But, then there will be a demand for "all-in-one" reliable mega apps to replace everything else. These apps will usher in the megacorp reality William Gibson described.
chairhairair commented on Getting a paper accepted maxwellforbes.com/posts/h... · Posted by u/stefanpie
This is an article about ML research, and the emphasis on branding and marketing your paper wouldn't fly in any of the fields people think of as scientific. Could you imagine someone saying, "be sure that the graphic for the molecule in figure 1 is 3D and has bright colors?"
The most disturbing thing about it is the way advice to forget about science and optimize for the process is mixed with standard tips for good communication. It shows that the community is so far gone that they don't see the difference.
If anyone needs a point of reference, just look at an algorithms and data structures journal to see what life is like with a typical rather than extreme level of problems.
> Could you imagine someone saying, "be sure that the graphic for the molecule in figure 1 is 3D and has bright colors?"
Chemists are extremely brand-aware regarding their figures.
In synthetic chemistry many chemists could guess the author based just on the color scheme of the paper's figures.
For instance, look at the consistency here: https://macmillan.princeton.edu/publications/
And it comes with rewards! The above lab is synonymous with several popular techniques (one, organocatalysis, which garnered a Nobel prize) - the association would be much less strong if the lab hadn't kept a consistent brand over so many years.
chairhairair commented on OpenAI to buy AI startup from Jony Ive bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/minimaxir
OpenAI announcement: https://openai.com/sam-and-jony/
Altman: "Jony was running a design firm called LoveFrom that had established itself as really the densest collection of talent that I've ever heard of in one place AND HAS PROBABLY EVER EXISTED IN THE WORLD."
I felt physically sick from second-hand embarrassment watching this.
chairhairair commented on Launch HN: Miyagi (YC W25) turns YouTube videos into online, interactive courses · Posted by u/bestwillcui
Yes. Any content that we monetize we are revenue sharing with the creator. We already have more than 5 partnerships with creators.
3b1b is a monetized partner?
Association with that brand would be very valuable.
chairhairair commented on A conversation about AI for science with Jason Pruet lanl.gov/media/publicatio... · Posted by u/LAsteNERD
The problem I have with AI is that you cannot reason with them after they make mistakes. They always reply with "Good point!" and then they give me another iteration of bad fixes. You really have to know when you should give up and do things manually.
Gemini 2.5 is much more confident.
Anecdotally, I think this behavior is undesirable for most commercial LLM use cases. I have several friends that have complained about Gemini’s “back talking” and prefer ChatGPT’s relative sycophancy.
As an aside, I think it's funny that the AI Doomer crowd ignores image and video AI models when it comes to AI models that will enslave humanity. It's not inconceivable that a video model would have a better understanding of the world than an LLM. So perhaps it would grow new capabilities and sprout some kind of intent. It's super-intelligence! Surely these models if trained long enough will deduce hypnosis or some similar kind of mind control and cause mass extinction events.
I mean, the only other explanation why LLMs are so scary and likely to be the AI that kills us all is that they're trained on a lot of sci-fi novels so sometimes they'll say things mimicking sentient life and express some kind of will. But obviously that's not true ;-)