Performance is comparable when I am close to the server (elixir is slightly faster), but when on another continent any content changes/navigation over websockets suddenly feel very laggy, while navigation over HTTP in the supposedly slower Ruby+Rails is actually consistently fast.

I’ve only recently discovered this as I went travelling to another continent, so will do more perf testing.

But the nature of the always-connected websockets hasn’t been a pleasurable one for me: for instance, a LiveView process crashes and you lose all the data in a big form, unless you write glue code for it to restore. And the experience of seeing the topbar getting stuck in the loading state the second your internet connection is spotty or if you are offline just gives me anxiety as a user.

Coup would've already happened if it could, there is very little chance for it now. Lukashenko has spent decades surrounding himself with loyalist.

With silence and little pressure from Europe and the US towards both Belarus and Russia (apart from symbolic "concerns"), things are unlikely to change.

As long as Putin is in power, Lukashenko will remain in power.

There are many political points for Putin to gain within Russia by annexing Belarus, so that's something that could very well happen in the next few months.

Putin and Lukashenko have had several meetings in regards to Belarus integration over the last few months, with Lukashenko getting $1.5B in donations to support his regime after these meetings. So this seems like the likely scenario. And the time frame is much shorter <12mo.