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anovikov commented on Population change is so widely misunderstood   skywriter.blue/pages/did:... · Posted by u/jahnu
anovikov · an hour ago
But why not overpower the trend directly? That government just starts having children for itself, without getting families involved. Heavy consumption based tax that pays women (not families) a market based rate to give birth and raise children. It won't be a lot of money because opportunities will be taken by poorest, single women who will have 5-10 kids each, so perhaps the going rate will be below minimum wage. Continue payments through kids finishing high school, withdraw them if they start skipping school. This will give an army of workers and consumers to fulfil the role of a proverbial mudsill.
anovikov commented on Ask HN: What Are You Working On? (December 2025)    · Posted by u/david927
anovikov · 4 hours ago
https://nimble.com.ua Guided munitions for Ukraine
anovikov commented on The Five Forces That Broke Capitalism – and One Possible Fix   bloomberg.com/news/featur... · Posted by u/helsinkiandrew
beardyw · a day ago
I think "landed gentry" was the term you were looking for.
anovikov · a day ago
Yes right, it's one option. I think those made the best corpus of voters imaginable, i can't see any extreme party gaining any visibility with those people being in charge - neither woke nor MAGA. Most importantly these should be economically independent people because without economic independence there's no independence of thought.
anovikov commented on The Five Forces That Broke Capitalism – and One Possible Fix   bloomberg.com/news/featur... · Posted by u/helsinkiandrew
anovikov · a day ago
The only real problem about capitalism (and the rise of the right, as well as far left in some countries), is that everyone and their dog can vote.

If voting was limited to property owners that have individual economic agency not being dependent on earned income, like it was in the old days, democracy won't be threatened at all with periodic, normal and unavoidable economic crises, and these crutches supporting capitalism won't be needed.

Just take inflation. It is utterly irrational that inflation causes political upheaval it does. Because it is economically neutral - it's simply a convenient tool for the crooks to manipulate the masses by brewing their anger. If only the economically independent property owners could vote, inflation won't be a concern at all and economy could develop a lot better.

anovikov commented on I grew up in Russia. Here's why we're afraid of freedom   youtube.com/watch?v=4hqz1... · Posted by u/sakopov
anovikov · a day ago
Thing is, young generation of Russians who never saw poverty - the country was doing just fine for the last 20 years at least - they are even more hard-right than the older gen.

People around 60 are perhaps the most reasonable - they remember enough of Communism to know it's shit, and they've been politically active when Russia had actual electoral politics during the Perestroika and the 1990s so they value freedoms they lost, and they had enough of experience with consuming competing manipulative narratives to understand how easy it is to bullshit people.

anovikov commented on Nicaea: The council that shaped the West   engelsbergideas.com/noteb... · Posted by u/teleforce
anovikov · 3 days ago
Actual impact of the Council was quite limited because Arianism stayed active, and at times dominant, in the Eastern Empire, and occasionally even in the Western one, all the way through 1st Constantinople Council in 381. That persistence of Arianism was the reason why all Germanic people, except Franks who simply arrived too late, accepted Arianism.
anovikov commented on NATO's Rutte warns against a war on the scale of that seen by past generations   reuters.com/business/aero... · Posted by u/vincent_s
leovingi · 4 days ago
>If Putin can't defeat Ukraine, idk how is he planning to go against Poland, or Finland.

He isn't.

anovikov · 3 days ago
He certainly plans to. It's just that he's up to a much bigger disappointment that he is already experiencing in Ukraine...
anovikov commented on How does a "you interview for US company, we do the work" scam work?    · Posted by u/marttilaine
anovikov · 3 days ago
You will get interviews from fake companies these same guys organised in the same manner, then you get paid, send them their half, and then it will turn out that those companies were fakes and pay came from accounts fed by stolen corporate CC numbers, and you will go to jail because everything was done from your name.
anovikov commented on 10GB Free Zero Knowledge Cloud Storage – Filen.io   filen.io... · Posted by u/jdthedisciple
anovikov · 4 days ago
If it works, a lot of people will be asking themselves - "why didn't i think of building the same thing"? Because the market need is obvious.
anovikov commented on A renewables-based energy system will save Europe €1.6T   windeurope.org/news/a-ren... · Posted by u/doener
ben_w · 4 days ago
> 280 GWh

> we can average over a week because we may assume 2 hours' storage (so for 100 GW nominal, 200 GWh) and that's about 4-5 worst days in a row […] because storage over even longer periods is unrealistic

I don't see any particular logic to either part of this.

Better question for "realistic" storage is how much do people actually want to spend, how do the costs change as quantities scale up from hours to days to weeks to seasons. (4kW * 24h * €50-€70/kWh) / 10 year battery life from daily cycles is an unsurprising part of a monthly energy bill (especially as this would basically substitute most of the grid's role in the hypothetical where Germany for whatever reason wasn't still buying nuclear power from France etc.); pumped hydro is estimated around €100/kWh installed, but different maintenance cost and lifetime.

> Now electricity consumption is about 10TWh a week. Which means, 35x

9.3, I think you're using old numbers.

I find no search results for 280 GWh claim; I will assume the number itself is correct, but given the rate of growth of PV it is of material relevance which year this happened in, e.g. if that 280 GWh was in was in 2020 it's more like 18x, if it was in 2015 it's 13x.

> with the average solar park density of 1 MW per 7.3 acres

You're double-counting here.

33.9 W/m^2 with 22% cells means the capacity factor is 15% of the name-plate capacity. This is a standard value in much of the world, varies from about 10%-20%, you can't do better than about 32% from anything fixed to the ground even on a completely clear sky on the equator. The map I linked to already accounts for all of that stuff, it's *internal to* how they reach the ~1000kWh/m^2/year for the worst bits of Germany: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/19/Germany_...

Anyway, point is 1 MW/7.3 acres *already* accounts for "winter is bad".

> This number can be slightly improved by installing panels over the angle that optimises performance in winter

Opposite error! Not when you're talking about covering an entire country it doesn't. Panels would shade each other.

> and also in the fact that solar park is not fully packed with panels because they need pathways to service them and they need to not shade one another

And again, now you're double-counting. Precisely because 1 MW/7.3 acres number is already accounting for gaps, you've mixed up the optimal output per m^2 of *panel* with the optimal output per m^2 of *land*, and it's land that matters on this scale, the optimal number per unit of land is what you get from laying the panels flat on the ground.

anovikov · 4 days ago
No, 1MW/7.3 acres is about INSTALLED CAPACITY, that is, peak power. https://solarindustrymag.com/nrel-report-highlights-land-use...

>For direct land use requirements, the capacity-weighted average is 7.3 acres per MW, with 40% of power plants within 6 and 8 acres per MW.

And no, 280 GWh was literally a week ago: https://energy-charts.info/charts/energy_pie/chart.htm?l=en&...

So we need to consume 10 TWH a week (consumption particularly for week 48, same one), and we produce 280 GWh with 100+ GW of installed capacity. Which means, we need 35x if only power is concerned, and 205x if all energy is concerned, not just electricity.

u/anovikov

KarmaCake day2226July 19, 2009
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