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Guthur commented on No evidence ageing/declining populations compromise socio-economic performance   arxiv.org/abs/2508.16872... · Posted by u/bikenaga
0xcafefood · 16 hours ago
"Labour shortages do not arise because of a lack of suitable workers, they occur instead because of inadequate immigration policies that limit or deny the movement of capable, working-age people from elsewhere to fill local demand. Indeed, none of the existing credible population projections predicts a decline in the global population."

This seems to weaken the entire paper. The only regions poised for continuing population growth into the second half of this century are in sub-Saharan Africa and maybe Afghanistan [1].

Is the premise here that unlimited immigration into other regions from sub-Saharan Africa will sustain their economies (and other ways of life?) as the local populations decline? I'm extremely skeptical of that.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_population_projections

Guthur · 16 hours ago
It's also extremely exploitative, the premise is actually that we will offload the burden of raising next generations and then effectively steal those that we need to prop up what would naturally be hollowing societies.
Guthur commented on US retail giants raise prices due to tariffs   english.elpais.com/econom... · Posted by u/geox
senectus1 · a day ago
lol.. hampering the sales globally so that you can look good to the man-child emperor.

Remember future contenders... bribery is legal now.

Guthur · a day ago
It has been legal for quite some time, why do you think companies and high worth individuals provide so much money to the political elites, and quite often to both sides. It's just that Trump is quite vulgar and has thrown out any pretense, but they were all quite guilty.
Guthur commented on Is 4chan the perfect Pirate Bay poster child to justify wider UK site-blocking?   torrentfreak.com/uk-govt-... · Posted by u/gloxkiqcza
tacticus · 2 days ago
Anti olympic posters got police raids. Plasticine action on your tshirt got arrests.
Guthur · 2 days ago
What so especially ironic is the posters views comes from the narrative control the UK is so disparate to get control of.

Any notion that the UK is actually run by the people is nonsensical, the so called democracy is pure and utter theatre.

Guthur commented on Is 4chan the perfect Pirate Bay poster child to justify wider UK site-blocking?   torrentfreak.com/uk-govt-... · Posted by u/gloxkiqcza
djs070 · 2 days ago
What you must understand is that they do it because of a moral failing, whereas we do it because the situation requires it.
Guthur · 2 days ago
You're being sarcastic, right?

The UK is morally hollow by design.

Guthur commented on Vibe Coding Is the Worst Idea of 2025 [video]   youtube.com/watch?v=1A6uP... · Posted by u/tomwphillips
bitpush · 7 days ago
Here's how Innovators Dilemma plays out.

Step 1: Some upstarts create a new way of doing something. It’s clunky and unrefined.

Step 2: "Experts" and senior folks in the field dismiss it as a "toy." It doesn't follow their established rules or best practices and seems amateurish. They wouldn't recommend it to anyone serious.

Step 3: The "toy" gets adopted by a small group of outsiders or newcomers who aren't burdened by the "right way" of doing things. They play with it, improve it, and find new applications for it.

Step 4: The "toy" becomes so effective and widespread that it becomes the new standard. The original experts are left looking out of touch, their deep knowledge now irrelevant to the new way of doing things.

We're at step 2, bordering on 3.

* Executives at Nokia and BlackBerry saw the first iPhone, with its lack of a physical keyboard, as an impractical toy for media consumption, not a serious work device.

* Professional photographers viewed the first low-resolution digital cameras as flimsy gadgets, only for them to completely decimate the film industry.

Guthur · 7 days ago
What have you based this model on, we seem to constantly make such broad statements of ontological truth without backing it up with any sort of rigour. Just because you can create a model that seems to fit some particular empirical truth doesn't mean that it represents some broader truth.
Guthur commented on Cache of WW2 bombs found under a playground in Northumberland   bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c... · Posted by u/iamben
arrowsmith · 9 days ago
There's also this sunk ship just off the coast of Kent that might blow up one day:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SS_Richard_Montgomery

Guthur · 9 days ago
The constant delay would laughable if it wasn't for the fact that it might end up being tragic.

The UK government really does love to stick it's head in the sand when it comes to problems.

Guthur commented on Cache of WW2 bombs found under a playground in Northumberland   bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c... · Posted by u/iamben
Guthur · 9 days ago
The costs of UK munition dumping are quite high and varied.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beaufort%27s_Dyke

Guthur commented on AI is different   antirez.com/news/155... · Posted by u/grep_it
yard2010 · 11 days ago
I think so too - the latest AI changes mark the new "automate everything" era. When everything is automated, everything costs basically zero, as this will eliminate the most expensive part of every business - human labor. No one will make money from all the automated stuff, but no one would need the money anyway. This will create a society in which money is not the only value pursued. Instead of trying to chase papers, people would do what they are intended to - create art and celebrate life. And maybe fight each other for no reason.

I'm flying, ofc, this is just a weird theory I had in the back of my head for the past 20 years, and it seems like we're getting there.

Antirez you are the best

Guthur · 11 days ago
It will only be zero as long as we don't allow rent seeking behaviour. If the technology has gatekeepers, if energy is not provided at a practically infinite capacity and if people don't wake themselves from the master/slave relationships we seem to so often desire and create, then I'm skeptical.

The latter one is probably the most intellectually interesting and potentially intractable...

I completely disagree with idea that money is currently the only driver of human endeavour, frankly it's demonstrably not true, at least not in it's direct use value, it maybe used as a proxy for power but it's also not directly correlatable.

Looking at it intellectually from a Hegelian lens of master/slave dialectic might provide some interesting insights. I think both sides are in some way usurped. The slaves position of actualisation through productive creation is taken via automation, but if that automation is also widely and freely available the masters position of status via subjection is also made common and therefore without status.

What does it all mean in the long run? Damned if I know...

Guthur commented on Citybound: City building game, microscopic models to vividly simulate organism   aeplay.org/citybound... · Posted by u/modinfo
mjmsmith · 12 days ago
Does Farm Simulator simulate the darker side of rural life, corruption, crime, etc.
Guthur · 11 days ago
No, put it didn't necessarily pitch itself as a finely detailed simulation.

I'm really not sure what you were going with with this line of passive aggressive what aboutism.

u/Guthur

KarmaCake day1666December 29, 2012View Original