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zosima commented on Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality   jamanetwork.com/journals/... · Posted by u/bpierre
gopher_space · 13 days ago
I wouldn't bother critiquing methodology without current, masters-level experience in the domain. I make incorrect assumptions when I'm even narrowly outside my own lane, and end up asking questions that clearly demonstrate e.g. my inability to parse fig. 4a.
zosima · 13 days ago
I wouldn't bother commenting if I were hallucinating figures. There is no figure 4a.

If you look at figure 4 in the supplemental material you also see, per your expertise, that covid vaccine protects against traumatic injury. However even adjusting for the protective effect against traumatic injury there is still quite a large protective effect against all-cause mortality. So the beneficial effect of the vaccine is not solely caused by its protective effect against traumatic injury.

Or it could be, bold proposition I know, that there is a difference between the groups that both protects against traumatic injury and protects against all-cause mortality, independently of the vaccine.

zosima commented on Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality   jamanetwork.com/journals/... · Posted by u/bpierre
zosima · 13 days ago
This is rather weird. Mortality in immediate connection with the vaccine (index time) would not have been captured here. I would hesitate to draw any conclusion from this paper.

> For all individuals, vaccinated or not, follow-up time zero began 6 months after the index date.

zosima commented on Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality   jamanetwork.com/journals/... · Posted by u/bpierre
lesuorac · 13 days ago
Covid hospitalizations where half in the vaccinated group (as % of pop) than unvaccinated. That's extremely desirable when you're in a situation where you have do dedicate whole wings (and then some) of hospitals to a singular disease.

Sure, it's not a silver bullet but it's at least stainless steel.

zosima · 13 days ago
I am speaking about what the paper shows.

There are other sources of evidence for efficacy. This paper is not a very strong source of evidence for efficacy due to some obvious uncontrolled difference between groups.

zosima commented on Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality   jamanetwork.com/journals/... · Posted by u/bpierre
eddieroger · 13 days ago
Frame it as the safety of the vaccine, not the efficacy of it. If it was about efficacy, it would lead with the 25% lower risk because of COVID safety. But, these days, there are people who think vaccines are dangerous just because, so saying that taking the vaccine or not has equal mortality puts that to rest (or at least does for those who find science real).
zosima · 13 days ago
The reduction in all-cause mortality was independent of covid deaths.

Which seems to suggest that there was big differences between the groups other than the vaccination.

This of course does not change that the vaccine seems mostly safe, but it definitely calls in to question whether the protection against covid death was vaccine-mediated or due to some other difference between the groups.

Therefore this paper is moderately strong evidence for the vaccine being safe, but quite weak evidence for the vaccine being efficacious.

zosima commented on EU Chat Control: Germany's position has been reverted to undecided   mastodon.social/@chatcont... · Posted by u/doener
Longhanks · 3 months ago
This chat control topic is undemocratic, allegedly illegal in many jurisdictions (such as Germany), yet, keeps coming up ever and ever again, and the politicians face no consequences whatsoever.

Endeavour like these make people vote for extremists, distrust the EU and democracies, or just give up on politics for good. These EU politicians endangering freedom, justice and democracy must be held accountable, with the most powerful punishments available.

zosima · 3 months ago
Maybe those you call extremists are now the only sane people.
zosima commented on Air pollution directly linked to increased dementia risk   nature.com/articles/d4158... · Posted by u/rntn
Avshalom · 3 months ago
Oh yeah, sure definitely it's just as likely that people predisposed to dementia move to places with high air pollution...
zosima · 3 months ago
People who are poorer and have worse health are predisposed to live in cheaper dwellings, many of which are closer to roads and thus more noisy and with more air pollution.

People who are poorer and have worse health, also have an increased incidence of dementia, seemingly independently of the number of particles in their dwellings.

zosima commented on In the Matter of Lisa Cook   paulkrugman.substack.com/... · Posted by u/chmaynard
justinsaccount · 4 months ago
Are we firing everyone that is incompetent now, or just the ones that are claimed to be "DEI hires" ?
zosima · 4 months ago
This is not "everyone".

I'd hope we'd fire anyone incompetent that's in a position to control the interest rate.

Dead Comment

zosima commented on A German ISP changed their DNS to block my website   lina.sh/blog/telefonica-s... · Posted by u/shaunpud
depressedpanda · 4 months ago
> Russia has attacked Ukraine. Not Europe.

Ukraine is most definitely a part of Europe.

zosima · 4 months ago
Yes, and so is big parts of Russia. Attacking one country is not the same as attacking a continent.
zosima commented on A German ISP changed their DNS to block my website   lina.sh/blog/telefonica-s... · Posted by u/shaunpud
05 · 4 months ago
Pretty sure the biggest propaganda channel is social media and it's wide open.
zosima · 4 months ago
No, it's not. Social media is massively censored in many EU countries (and UK).

u/zosima

KarmaCake day936December 2, 2007View Original