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vonmoltke commented on Everyone is cheating their way through college   nymag.com/intelligencer/a... · Posted by u/jsheard
HPsquared · 10 months ago
You don't take a worker and explicitly replace them with an LLM (unless it's a customer service agent or something)... It looks more like, the company just doesn't need as many people for a given job type but it's not a 1:1 replacement at an individual level.
vonmoltke · 10 months ago
The GGP said, "LLMs have ended the need for white collar junior work". That claim is that LLMs are a "1:1 replacement at an individual level", and this is what the GP was responding to.
vonmoltke commented on Why can't Ivies cope with losing a few hundred million?   economist.com/briefing/20... · Posted by u/sneakerblack
rahimnathwani · 10 months ago
Right, and the endowment already uses leverage, so many of the endowment's assets will already serve as security for loans.
vonmoltke · 10 months ago
Sure, but that's margin trading. These bonds have nothing to do with the endowment.
vonmoltke commented on Why can't Ivies cope with losing a few hundred million?   economist.com/briefing/20... · Posted by u/sneakerblack
rahimnathwani · 10 months ago
Universities can and they do:

https://public.com/bonds/screener?issuerSymbol=PDFHV

The yield on ~20 year Harvard bonds seems to be about one percentage point higher than the yield on 20 year treasuries.

vonmoltke · 10 months ago
Those are standard, unsecured bonds. They're not loans against anything in the endowment.
vonmoltke commented on You Can Be a Great Designer and Be Completely Unknown   chrbutler.com/you-can-be-... · Posted by u/delaugust
philipallstar · a year ago
> Cybertrucks have been designed to look this way because someone thinks it sells

No, I think it's to get the cost of an electric truck down. I've never heard anyone from Tesla say it looks that way because it'll sell better. It doesn't look like the other Teslas, which all look really nice, but are more expensive.

vonmoltke · a year ago
> It doesn't look like the other Teslas, which all look really nice, but are more expensive.

No, they're not. The price of a Cybertruck is in line with the price for a Model S or Model X, and significantly higher than a Model 3.

vonmoltke commented on US Government threatens Harvard with foreign student ban   bbc.com/news/articles/c1e... · Posted by u/intunderflow
apercu · a year ago
>US hasn't started an illegal war

The US hasn't declared a war since WWII since executive privilege allows the President to pursue war without Congress declaring war. Does that mean that every time we take military action (which the US is doing daily, right now) we're pursuing what the founders of the country would (rightfully?) classify as an illegal war?

(I didn't take any political science, and I'm not really informed on constitutional law so I could have this partially wrong)

vonmoltke · a year ago
> The US hasn't declared a war since WWII since executive privilege allows the President to pursue war without Congress declaring war.

That's not correct. Congress no longer passes declarations of war, it passes authorizations of the use of military force (AUMF). The change was made starting in Vietnam because a declaration of war can only target a recognized sovereign nation, while an AUMF can target any state or non-state actor. The President is still heavily restricted from employing the US military without an AUMF.

I think the confusion about this stems from Congress having passed several, a couple of which are pretty broad, and never repealing them. This has allowed various Presidents to use one of the active AUMFs to justify actions, but for those who don't know or pay attention to the details it seems like the President is going around Congress.

vonmoltke commented on Whistleblower details how DOGE may have taken sensitive NLRB data   npr.org/2025/04/15/nx-s1-... · Posted by u/rbanffy
alabastervlog · a year ago
Not “always”. It wasn’t the reason that became an amendment, national defense was. People later emphasized that rather off-label justification when state militias were nationalized and the main purpose of the amendment became wholly obsolete.
vonmoltke · a year ago
It, indirectly, was, because it was the reason the country initially relied on decentralized citizen militias for defense in the first place. Many of the founders were worried that a standing federal army would be a tool of oppression, and wanted to keep most of the firepower distributed amongst the populace.

The system more or less worked until the Spanish American War, when the government realized that the militias need some sort of standard in order to integrate properly with the regular army when called up. This led to the creation of the National Guard in 1903. It was tightly integrated into the Army structure in 1933.

What arguably made the Amendment obsolete was the advance of technology. By the early 20th century conventional warfighting took too much firepower, support, and coordination for a loose citizen militia to conduct. At best they could form the core of an insurgent force, but the goal is always to not get to that point.

In theory, that insurgent force could work against a tyrannical federal government. In practice, even if most of the people with the civilian firepower weren't supporting the tyranny I'm not sure it would work out. Conducting an insurgency against a foreign occupier is a lot different than conducting one against a domestic oppressor.

vonmoltke commented on Hunt for Red October 1990 (2016)   modelshipsinthecinema.com... · Posted by u/nixass
hinkley · a year ago
Adhesion and cohesion always fuck up scenes that combine scale models and water. Splashes always look very wrong, and in the case of a submersible bubbles could be a problem. Smoke chamber makes sense.

Although in the days since “O Brother Where Art Thou?”, when they added dust-yellow color to the entire movie in post, maybe there are other ways now, if you didn’t want to go entirely to CGI.

vonmoltke · a year ago
> Adhesion and cohesion always fuck up scenes that combine scale models and water. Splashes always look very wrong

Like the terrible model work in In Harm's Way.

vonmoltke commented on Busy Bar   busy.bar... · Posted by u/jbernardo95
dylan604 · a year ago
Mine was updated to "Go away, or I will replace you with a small shell script". I wish I could remember where I read that from for proper attribution.
vonmoltke · a year ago
I remember that on a Thinkgeek (RIP) t-shirt.
vonmoltke commented on Dow plunges 2,200 points, Nasdaq enters bear market   finance.yahoo.com/news/li... · Posted by u/geox
mimirs · a year ago
It’s 6th (yesterday) and 7th (today) by rate.
vonmoltke · a year ago
Only within the table of 20 largest point drops. Neither even makes the table of 20 largest percentage drops (which is above).
vonmoltke commented on US officials object to European push to buy weapons locally   reuters.com/world/us-offi... · Posted by u/lysace
lysace · a year ago
I don't claim to be an expert in geopolitics - but I suspect that recent statements from the US president "not ruling out" claiming Greenland by force may be a factor here.

Greenland has been a Danish territory for 300+ years. This is longer than the United States of America has existed.

I have also noticed that e.g. Lockheed Martin (maker of the F35) is not doing very well on the stock market.

vonmoltke · a year ago
> I have also noticed that e.g. Lockheed Martin (maker of the F35) is not doing very well on the stock market.

There's no "e.g." here. It's only Lockmart, and it's because they recently lost the Next Generation Air Defense contract to Boeing. The rest of the US defense sector is fine (for now).

These statements from the US are more about keeping Europe dependent on the US (and thus the US keeping some geopolitical leverage) than about bolstering the US defense sector.

u/vonmoltke

KarmaCake day10286December 28, 2011
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