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tsunamifury commented on Are OpenAI and Anthropic losing money on inference?   martinalderson.com/posts/... · Posted by u/martinald
otterley · 18 hours ago
OK, but you are a person, not a company. "You" are not taking the share away.
tsunamifury · 16 hours ago
"I'm digging a trench"

"No you're not, WE are digging a trench!"

Yes fine, but "I am as well".

Sheesh. Also I, personally, do and lead the work of taking the wallet share. So I will stick with "I" and would accept any of my team saying the same.

tsunamifury commented on Are OpenAI and Anthropic losing money on inference?   martinalderson.com/posts/... · Posted by u/martinald
otterley · 20 hours ago
> As someone who has been taking the largest part of Google and facebooks ad wallet share away

Can you elaborate? You’ve sparked my curiosity.

tsunamifury · 19 hours ago
There are two companies gaining significant wallet share: Amazon and TikTok. Of those only one is taking a significant early share of both Google and Facebook.
tsunamifury commented on Are OpenAI and Anthropic losing money on inference?   martinalderson.com/posts/... · Posted by u/martinald
Aurornis · 21 hours ago
Exactly. All of the claims that OpenAI is losing money on every request are wrong. OpenAI hasn’t even unlocked all of their possible revenue opportunities from the free tier such as ads (like Google search), affiliate links, and other services.

There’s also a lot of comments in this thread who want LLM companies to fail for different reasons, so they’re projecting that wish on to imagined unit economics.

I’m having flashbacks to all of the conversations about Uber and claims that it was going to collapse as soon as the investment money ran out. Then Uber gradually transitioned to profitability and the critics moved to using the same shtick on AI companies.

tsunamifury · 20 hours ago
As someone who has been taking the largest part of Google and facebooks ad wallet share away, Let me tell you something.

Advertising is now a very very locked in market and will take over a decade to shift even a significant minority it into OpenAIs hands. This is not likely the first or even second monetization strategy imo.

But I’m happy to be wrong.

tsunamifury commented on Temporary suspension of acceptance of mail to the United States   post.japanpost.jp/int/inf... · Posted by u/Kye
mlyle · 2 days ago
> You’re really wound up. Jsut consider that.

It's hard to read emotions via text. I'm reading that -you- seem to be, with periods between each word, short phrases, &c.

> “Shut up and don’t ask questions” is a very toxic behavior.

c.f.

> > If you want to talk about economic concepts in a forum like this, you should either ask questions or...

It just seems like you're not reading the things I say.

tsunamifury · 2 days ago
This is getting comical.
tsunamifury commented on Areal, Are.na's new typeface   are.na/editorial/introduc... · Posted by u/g0xA52A2A
rmonvfer · 2 days ago
I don’t get it, this is just a font, right? I mean, don’t get me wrong, I understand the need for these announcements but it feels… cringe? Like, it certainly cannot be THAT deep
tsunamifury · 2 days ago
Fonts are extremely hard to make
tsunamifury commented on Temporary suspension of acceptance of mail to the United States   post.japanpost.jp/int/inf... · Posted by u/Kye
mlyle · 2 days ago
I think "this is your missing analysis" is a strong assertion to make to another human-- that sounds like an invitation to argue the merits. Through text, we don't have the benefit of tone.

If your intention was to be curious about it, your comments don't convey that.

> Consider if you see everyone around you as the asshole who the asshole might be...

And now you're just effectively calling names.

If you want to talk about economic concepts in a forum like this, you should either ask questions or fill yourself in on the foundational knowledge.

tsunamifury · 2 days ago
You’re really wound up. Jsut consider that. Most people would not consider “this is missing” fighting words.

Take a moment a think about yourself here. Really. “Shut up and don’t ask questions” is a very toxic behavior.

Really. Think. About. This.

tsunamifury commented on F-35 pilot held 50-minute airborne conference call with engineers before crash   cnn.com/2025/08/27/us/ala... · Posted by u/Michelangelo11
Sharlin · 2 days ago
The goal of information warfare was never to make you blindly trust sources that should not be trusted. The goal is to fill your brain with conflicting information so you're not sure what or who to trust anymore.

In this post-truth era it's strangely apt that confabulation in particular happened to be a major failure mode of our shiny new AI tech. Almost too apt for it to be a mere coincidence…

tsunamifury · 2 days ago
Many argue after they reach sufficient levels of power in society that this is simply a more accurate representation of reality which was never singularly coherent.
tsunamifury commented on F-35 pilot held 50-minute airborne conference call with engineers before crash   cnn.com/2025/08/27/us/ala... · Posted by u/Michelangelo11
reactordev · 2 days ago
I take it you never flew VFR over Nebraska corn…

Yes, papi lights are operated by radio. However, not everyone has fancy radios and only has handhelds, their Nokia phone, or their right arm wave…

It’s not all class C+ out there.

I will point out that PAPI lights as part of a PCL system are operated using mic clicks on CTAF radio. These systems are expensive and sometimes you’re landing in a grass field and just need the runway lights so you don’t run into the trees. You can click your mic as many times as you want, you’ll still be in the dark. The only way is to call Phil…

tsunamifury · 2 days ago
It’s interesting now that a side effect of LLMs is that people can say anything outside their experience is just a hallucination. I didn’t realize how the fear of hallucination could enable this level of belligerence.
tsunamifury commented on Temporary suspension of acceptance of mail to the United States   post.japanpost.jp/int/inf... · Posted by u/Kye
mlyle · 3 days ago
You came here in your first comment blindly disagreeing with "This is your missing analysis."

Then you seemed determined to misunderstand, e.g.

> > But it's hard to escape your consumers paying most or all of the costs of those tariffs.

> I think we agree if I'm understanding you correctly, yes the Suppliers have more elasticity and must ultimately absorb this.

This is really simple fundamental microeconomics stuff. If you want to understand it, there's plenty of sources online. If you want to argue it, you should learn the basics first.

tsunamifury · 2 days ago
Literally not arguing with you, asked a few questions and made open statements and tried to listen. Consider if you see everyone around you as the asshole who the asshole might be...
tsunamifury commented on Temporary suspension of acceptance of mail to the United States   post.japanpost.jp/int/inf... · Posted by u/Kye
mlyle · 3 days ago
That's the opposite of how tax incidence works.

Elasticity means you can change your amount produced in response to changes in price.

Producers can’t easily change output, so they bear more of the tax burden themselves. But in the long run, producers can reallocate or exit until they’re producing at minimum(average total cost), which makes supply more elastic and shifts most of the burden onto consumers.

This is stuff that's covered in week 4 of a basic microeconomics class. It gets a little fancier with imperfect competition or heterogenous agents, etc, but predicting tax incidence is basically dominated by this even in advanced microeconomics.

tsunamifury · 3 days ago
Sure ok. You’re being weirdly belligerent.

u/tsunamifury

KarmaCake day6641June 2, 2008
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Guy who helped computers predict your next word
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