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toberoni commented on Microsoft cancels leases for AI data centers, analyst says   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/suraci
unsupp0rted · 6 months ago
Nadella is looking for the world to grow at 10% due to AI enhancement, like it did during the industrial revolution.

That seems like a low bar because it already is- it's just not equally distributed yet.

My own productivity has grown far more than 10% thanks to AI, and I don't just mean in terms of dev. It reads my bloodwork results, speeds up my ability to repair a leak in my toilet tank, writes a concise "no I won't lend you money; I barely know you" message... you name it.

Normally all of those things would take much longer and I'd get worse results on my own.

If that's what I can do at the personal level, then surely 10% is an easily-achievable improvement at the enterprise level.

toberoni · 6 months ago
Annual growth rates during the Industrial Revolution where way lower than 10%. In the 18th century it was well below 1%, during the 19th century it was on average at 1-1.5% (the highest estimates go up to 3% annual growth for certain decades close to 1900).[0][1][2]

Some regions or sectors might have experienced higher growth spurts, but the main point stands: the overall economic growth was quite low by modern standards - even though I don't think GDP numbers alone adequately describe the huge societal changes of such sustained growth compared to agrarian cultures before the Industrial Revolution.

[0] https://web.archive.org/web/20071127032512/http://minneapoli... [1] https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/explainers/how-has-growth-ch... [2] https://academic.oup.com/ereh/article/21/2/141/3044162

toberoni commented on Kamal Proxy – A minimal HTTP proxy for zero-downtime deployments   github.com/basecamp/kamal... · Posted by u/norbert1990
oDot · a year ago
DHH mentioned they built it to move from the cloud to bare metal. He glorifies the simplicity but I can't help thinking they are a special use case of predictable, non-huge load.

Uber, for example, moved to the cloud. I feel like in the span between them there are far more companies for which Kamal is not enough.

I hope I'm wrong, though. It'll be nice for many companies to be have the choice of exiting the cloud.

toberoni · a year ago
I feel Uber is the outlier here. For every unicorn company there are 1000s of companies that don't need to scale to millions of users.

And due to the insane markup of many cloud services it can make sense to just use beefier servers 24/7 to deal with the peaks. From my experience crazy traffic outliers that need sophisticated auto-scaling rarely happens outside of VC-fueled growth trajectories.

toberoni commented on Gnome Files: A detailed UI examination   datagubbe.se/gnomefiles/... · Posted by u/dominikh
manmal · a year ago
As someone totally out of the loop, what’s the status of font rendering in Gnome? The screenshots don’t look any better than 20 years ago, a jarring difference to what I‘m used to from macOS.
toberoni · a year ago
I use Gnome on multiple PCs and my first thought was they use a bitmap font or a 720p screen because everything looks off. The screenshots are not representative of how Gnome's font rendering looks like with a font like Inter & HiDPI.
toberoni commented on Shanghai's Automotive Metamorphosis   arun.is/blog/shanghai-car... · Posted by u/surprisetalk
jazzyjackson · a year ago
Hm, that's measuring everyone against the same dollar; Americans are productive by this measure because everything is expensive. I wonder if there are other benchmarks for productivity, adjusted for local market basket.
toberoni · a year ago
The numbers are in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) USD so they already measure how many goods in the local market basket can be bought per working hour (on average, as these GDP numbers don’t account for income or wealth distribution).
toberoni commented on Generation Z is unprecedentedly rich   economist.com/finance-and... · Posted by u/rustoo
toberoni · a year ago
How much buying power does this income provide for goods & services that the younger generation wants/needs to buy?

For example: Over the last decades housing prices, college tuition & stock prices have significantly outpaced the average inflation rate. Older generations could buy up these assets at a discount (at least compared to Millennials & Gen Z).

toberoni commented on Sea Kit   sea-kit.com... · Posted by u/belter
Dalewyn · a year ago
>neither EU or US are interested in Russian territory.

But the west is interested in depleting and weakening Russia, which we can accomplish by prolonging this war as long as we can by supplying just enough aid to keep Ukraine from losing but not so much that Ukraine would win.

>Furthermore, I’m having a hard time understanding your reasoning regarding US aid.

You know what is worse than war? An unnecessarily protracted war. The longer a war goes on, the exponentially worse the civilians caught in the crossfire suffer.

I want Ukraine to win for reasons already stated, but I also do not want to see this war go on any longer than it has to. The west is more than opulent enough to supply enough equipment to end this war sooner, and if we go as far as to send in our own boots we can end this war overnight.

But we don't. Instead we provide just enough aid to keep Ukraine afloat. It's now over 2 years since Russia began its invasion.

As an aside, the military industrial complex is making a killing (pun intended) selling new gear to replace the ones donated to Ukraine.

What the fuck.

So no, no more aid unless enough is provided to end this war in Ukraine's favor as soon as fucking possible. I do not agree to aid that is any less and would keep prolonging this war at great cost to civilians.

toberoni · a year ago
I'm not so sure that your theory is a fact. There are a lot of plausible explanations for the course of this war. I follow this conflict closely and personally I think the West never had a coherent strategy and there would have been better ways to decimate the Russians.

I still don't see how letting Russia conquer half of Ukraine minimizes civilian cost. Russia has a long history of deadly deportations and it has already established systematic torture in occupied Ukranian territory. A landlocked Ukraine will be very hard to stabilize. And will Russia stop or will it continue in Moldova, Georgia or Kazakhstan?

There's also the question if the link between Western aid and warmongering holds up. All aggression comes from Russia and it alone is responsible for this destruction. As long as the victims, the Ukraine people, ask for help to defend themselves the West should deliver. The current aid is not enough but it surely is better than fighting Russia alone.

toberoni commented on Sea Kit   sea-kit.com... · Posted by u/belter
Dalewyn · a year ago
>Under what theory is EU supposed to sit back and watch a bordering country get invaded and not pass that country intelligence?

Has EU, or more aptly the comprising countries thereof, declared war?

The only thing I hate more than warmongering are proxy wars.

I'm all for Ukraine winning, because if they lose then Putin and Russia are vindicated in warmongering as a proper form of diplomacy, but I'm sick and tired of proxy wars.

As an aside: Yes, as an American I stand with the Republicans in denying further aid to Ukraine if we're going to continue doing the same thing. If we're going to lend more aid, either we punt the money figures up a few orders of magnitudes or we send in American boots to settle it ourselves. No more halfassed "aid" that only prolongs the war indefinitely and enlarges the suffering of civilians.

toberoni · a year ago
This is not a proxy war, neither EU or US are interested in Russian territory. They made it clear that no Western weapons are to be used outside Ukraine. This is defensive support for a sovereign state, not a scheme to topple Putin (who is the sole aggressor in this conflict without any formal declaration of war).

Furthermore, I’m having a hard time understanding your reasoning regarding US aid.

Currently, Russia is paying an enormous price while the US risks no lifes and gets to send its old weapons to Ukraine. This might not be a winning strategy for Ukraine, but it sure sounds better than an open war between 2 major nuclear powers which puts billions of lifes at risk or draconian Russian occupation of large parts of Ukraine.

toberoni commented on Diskprices.com makes $5k/month with affiliate marketing   medium.com/@petervoica/ho... · Posted by u/nomilk
MechanicalTwerk · 2 years ago
This seems to be the creator: https://synack.me/projects/. Looks like a lot of hardware and software projects rather than SEO. He’s an infra/systems eng: https://www.linkedin.com/in/synack.
toberoni · 2 years ago
I found this info:

When it comes to Weird Niche Sites, the co-hosts really capture the weirdness of the web. Spencer reveals his ‘90s-looking website, Disk Prices[link to the site], which is essentially a list of hard drive prices and their different characteristics.

https://www.nichepursuits.com/apple-gets-36-of-google-ad-rev...

toberoni commented on Diskprices.com makes $5k/month with affiliate marketing   medium.com/@petervoica/ho... · Posted by u/nomilk
toberoni · 2 years ago
The website isn't the money maker.

It's the backlinks that allow it to rank. Getting them requires a lot of knowledge & work, like publishing articles on Medium or receiving links on HN.

Unsurprisingly, it looks like the creator is an SEO-expert with years of experience and dozens of projects.

toberoni commented on The roots of ancient Rome's gladiator fights   atlasobscura.com/articles... · Posted by u/diodorus
WalterBright · 2 years ago
You might want to read "Defeat In The East" by Juergen Thorwald

https://www.amazon.com/Defeat-East-Juergen-Thorwald/dp/05531...

People are still the same. We're called "murder apes" for a reason.

toberoni · 2 years ago
I can see why recommend this book as an example of human cruelty, but I think you should be aware of the author’s past when you recommend his work.

Jürgen Thorwald was a real former Nazi propagandist.

The German version of Defeat in the East was written only 10 years after another of his books has been published with a foreword of Hermann Göring in it. It is interesting as a contemporary document and Thorwald changed his public attitude after the defeat of the Reich - but it is by no means a reliable account of the war.

A modern work like Timothy Snyder‘s Bloodlands shows human cruelty in the same impactful way while being far more accurate. Again, my intention is not to put any agenda in your mouth but to give some (in my opinion very important) context regarding your recommendation.

u/toberoni

KarmaCake day304October 11, 2018View Original