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tech_ken commented on Cassette tapes are making a comeback?   theconversation.com/casse... · Posted by u/devonnull
georgefrowny · 5 days ago
> Do you still use a kerosene lamp when you go into your barn at night?

To be fair, there really is nothing like the gentle hiss of a tilley lamp while there's a storm blowing outside.

tech_ken · 5 days ago
It's got that analog warmth
tech_ken commented on The universal weight subspace hypothesis   arxiv.org/abs/2512.05117... · Posted by u/lukeplato
modeless · 6 days ago
This seems confusingly phrased. When they say things like "500 Vision Transformers", what they mean is 500 finetunes of the same base model, downloaded from the huggingface accounts of anonymous randos. These spaces are only "universal" to a single pretrained base model AFAICT. Is it really that surprising that finetunes would be extremely similar to each other? Especially LoRAs?

I visited one of the models they reference and huggingface says it has malware in it: https://huggingface.co/lucascruz/CheXpert-ViT-U-MultiClass

tech_ken · 5 days ago
This is an important clarification; from the abstract and title I was super confused how they identified a "subspace" that could be consistently identified across model structures (I was assuming they meant that they saw stability in the dimension of the weight subspace or something), but if they're just referring to one model class that clears things up substantially. It's definitely also a much weaker result IMO, basically just confirming that the model's loss function has a well-posed minima, which...duh? I mean I guess I'm glad someone checked that, but called it "the universal weight subspace hypothesis" seems a bit dramatic.
tech_ken commented on The "confident idiot" problem: Why AI needs hard rules, not vibe checks   steerlabs.substack.com/p/... · Posted by u/steerlabs
tech_ken · 6 days ago
Basic rule of MLE is to have guardrails on your model output; you don't want some high-leverage training data point to trigger problems in prob. These guardrails should be deterministic and separate from the inference system, and basically a stack of user-defined policies. LLMs are ultimately just interpolated surfaces and the rules are the same as if it were LOESS.
tech_ken commented on Microsoft drops AI sales targets in half after salespeople miss their quotas   arstechnica.com/ai/2025/1... · Posted by u/OptionOfT
h2zizzle · 10 days ago
I thought we pretty explicitly bailed out most of the incumbents. A few were allowed to be sacrificed, but most of the risk wasn't realized, and instead rolled into new positions that diffused it across the economy. 2008's "correction" should have seen the end of most of our investment banks and auto manufacturers. Say what you want to about them (and I have no particular love for either), but Tesla and Bitcoin are ghosts of the timeline where those two sectors had to rebuild themselves from scratch. There should have been more, and Goldman Sachs and GM et al. should not currently exist.
tech_ken · 10 days ago
> A few were allowed to be sacrificed, but most of the risk wasn't realized, and instead rolled into new positions that diffused it across the economy.

Yeah that's a more accurate framing, basically just saying that in '08 we put out the fire and rehabbed the old growth rather than seeding the fresh ground.

> Tesla and Bitcoin are ghosts of the timeline where those two sectors had to rebuild themselves from scratch

I disagree, I think they're artifacts of the rehab environment (the ZIRP policy sphere). I think in a world where we fully ate the loss of '08 and started in a new direction you might get Tesla, but definitely not TSLA, and the version we got is really (Tesla+TSLA) IMO. Bitcoin to me is even less of a break with the pre-08 world; blockchain is cool tech but Bitcoin looks very much "Financial Derivatives, Online". I think an honest correction to '08 would have been far more of a focus on "hard tech and value finance", rather than inventing new financial instruments even further distanced from the value-generation chain.

> Goldman Sachs and GM et al. should not currently exist.

Hard agree here

tech_ken commented on Everyone in Seattle hates AI   jonready.com/blog/posts/e... · Posted by u/mips_avatar
checker659 · 11 days ago
> The fundamentals actually haven't changed that much in the last 3 years

Even said fundamentals don't have much in the way to foundations. It's just brute forcing your way using a O(n^3) algorithm using a lot of data and compute.

tech_ken · 10 days ago
O(n^(~2.8)) because fast matrix mult?
tech_ken commented on Microsoft drops AI sales targets in half after salespeople miss their quotas   arstechnica.com/ai/2025/1... · Posted by u/OptionOfT
h2zizzle · 10 days ago
It's part of a larger economic con centered on the financial industry and the financialization of American industry. If you want this stuff to stop, you have to be hoping (or even working toward) a correction that wipes out the incumbents who absolutely are working to maintain the masqerade.

It will hurt, and they'll scare us with the idea that it will hurt, but the secret is that we get to choose where it hurts - the same as how they've gotten to choose the winners and losers for the past two decades.

tech_ken · 10 days ago
> correction that wipes out the incumbents who absolutely are working to maintain the masqerade

You need to also have a robust alternative that grows quickly in the cleared space. In 2008 we got a correction that cleared the incumbents, but the ensuing decade of policy choices basically just allowed the thing to re-grow in a new form.

tech_ken commented on Peter Thiel's Apocalyptic Worldview Is a Dangerous Fantasy   jacobin.com/2025/11/peter... · Posted by u/robtherobber
relaxing · 12 days ago
I think the author assumes a basic familiarity with the subject. FYI Thiel is chairman and co-founder of Palantir.
tech_ken · 12 days ago
Okay :) I actually do have a pretty deep familiarity with all of this and that's why I'm criticizing the article. It felt like a rehash of known facts (Thiel is a christian fascist, his company Palantir does innovatively horrible stuff), rather than drawing new connections between those known facts. At a fine-grain I want to know how his ideology underpins the business decisions of his company, I don't need someone to gesture at the two together and mumble something about eschatology.
tech_ken commented on Peter Thiel's Apocalyptic Worldview Is a Dangerous Fantasy   jacobin.com/2025/11/peter... · Posted by u/robtherobber
tech_ken · 12 days ago
> This is what Thiel’s apocalyptic geopolitics looks like in practice: a twisted military-industrial eschatology where an AI-powered genocide is understood to be “restraining” rather than enacting the end of the world.

I could have used some more explication on the connection between Thiel's ideology and Palantir's project portfolio. I felt like this article was structured like "Part 1: Thiel is Crazy, Part 2: Palantir is Awful, Conclusion: They are Related", without really making clear what the relationship between them was. It seems pretty contradictory that someone concerned about "The New One World Order" would create a global police technology apparatus, so deep-diving into the cognitive dissonance there (and how it is soothed by the ideology) would have been interesting (to me).

tech_ken commented on Peter Thiel's Apocalyptic Worldview Is a Dangerous Fantasy   jacobin.com/2025/11/peter... · Posted by u/robtherobber
poszlem · 12 days ago
I mean, they have a point. But considering they run a whole journal on literal communism, it’s hard to take them seriously. The message falls flat when it comes from a different flavor of dangerous fantasy.
tech_ken · 12 days ago
Jacobin is to communism as Gary Johnson is to JD Vance. "Left politics" covers a lot of ideologies and they all hate each other.
tech_ken commented on What Comes After Science?   science.org/doi/10.1126/s... · Posted by u/porteclefs
graemep · a month ago
I have been meaning to read Feyerband for a while but never did. I think Against Method sounds like a good starting point.

Did Feyerband also not argue that Galileo's claim that Copernicus's theory was proved was false given it was not the best supported hypothesis by the evidence available at the time.

I very much agree with your last paragraph. Telescopes are comprehensible.

tech_ken · a month ago
> Did Feyerband also not argue that Galileo's claim that Copernicus's theory was proved was false

My reading of AM was that it's less about what's "true" or "false" and more about how the actual structure of the scientific argument compares to what's claimed about it. The (rough) point (as I understand it) is that Galileo's scientific "findings" were motivated by human desires for wealth and success (what we might call historically contingent or "poltical" factors) as much as they were by "following the hard evidence".

> Telescopes are comprehensible.

"Comprehensible" is a relative measure, I think. Incomprehensible things become comprehensible with time and familiarity.

u/tech_ken

KarmaCake day1531December 16, 2022
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I try to be direct and clear, sorry if I slip into confrontationalism. I like common goods, coffee, and electronic music.
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