t_serpico (u/t_serpico)

t_serpico commented on Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutsk... · Posted by u/piotrgrabowski

JimmyBuckets · a month ago

I respect Ilya hugely as a researcher in ML and quite admire his overall humility, but I have to say I cringed quite a bit at the start of this interview when he talks about emotions, their relative complexity, and origin. Emotion is so complex, even taking all the systems in the body that it interacts with. And many mammals have very intricate socio-emotional lives - take Orcas or Elephants. There is an arrogance I have seen that is typical of ML (having worked in the field) that makes its members too comfortable trodding into adjacent intellectual fields they should have more respect and reverence for. Anyone else notice this? It's something physicists are often accused of also.

t_serpico · a month ago

I actually thought the opposite - that he seems to be seriously thinking about AGI from a broader intellectual standpoint than most ML researchers. With that said, I was a little confused when he said evolution was more optimized for locomotion/vision than language. Like yes, language is super recent, but communication in general is not.

t_serpico commented on Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutsk... · Posted by u/piotrgrabowski

bugglebeetle · a month ago

His recent conversation with Sutton suggests otherwise. Friedman is a vapid charlatan par excellence. Dwarkesh suffers from a different problem, where, by rubbing shoulders with experts, he has come to the mistaken belief that he possesses expertise, absent the humility and actual work that would entail.

t_serpico · a month ago

Yup, Dwarkesh needs to broaden his intellectual scope, and the Sutton interview completely exposed the echo chamber he's been inhabiting. There is no certainty in science, and I don't think building 'AGI' will be any exception.

t_serpico commented on Kosmos: An AI Scientist for Autonomous Discovery arxiv.org/abs/2511.02824... · Posted by u/belter

t_serpico · 2 months ago

this is a joke... to even call this a scientist is an insult.

t_serpico commented on Meta Superintelligence Labs' first paper is about RAG paddedinputs.substack.com... · Posted by u/skadamat

hamasho · 2 months ago

My theory is that as more people compete, the top candidates become those who are best at gaming the system rather than actually being the best. Someone has probably studied this. My only evidence is job applications for GAFAM and Tinder tho.

t_serpico · 2 months ago

But there is no way to know who is truly the 'best'. The people who position and market themselves to be viewed as the best are the only ones who even have a chance to be viewed as such. So if you're a great researcher but don't project yourself that way, no one will ever know you're a great researcher (except for the other great researchers who aren't really invested in communicating how great you are). The system seems to incentivize people to not only optimize for their output but also their image. This isn't a bad thing per se, but is sort of antithetical to the whole shoulder of giants ethos of science.

t_serpico commented on The paradoxical efficient market hypothesis (2024) 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksd... · Posted by u/tkhattra

t_serpico · 3 months ago

My practical interpretation of the EMH is more that easily accessible, public information is already priced in. But non-obvious insights may not be simply because the volume of people trading on that information will be smaller.

t_serpico commented on Baseball durations after the pitch clock leancrew.com/all-this/202... · Posted by u/zdw

mkovach · 3 months ago

A summer afternoon, static on the radio, the low hum of an announcer calling balls and strikes like he’s reading scripture in a Midwest church. Baseball used to be stitched together with silence. You heard the game as much in the pauses as in the plays.

Then the voice came in. Once the game hit the airwaves, it slowed. Had to. The ball waited for the broadcast.

Out of the dead-ball fog came the home run. No more bunting, no more clever thefts of second. Now it was swing, admire, trot. Alongside the homers came the walks and the strikeouts. Fewer balls in play. More staring, less running. Time thickened, and the nature of the game was trending towards longer games.

World War II shaved minutes from the clock. With so many players overseas, the talent pool shrank. The games got shorter because they became simpler. When the talent came back, the games got longer, largely because, after 1947, the game was flooded with previously segregated talent and players who were returning from overseas.

In the 60s, pitchers took over. Dominance from the mound. ERAs dropped. Batting averages plummeted. In 1968 they called it the Year of the Pitcher, then called the rulebook to fix it. Scoring came back, and with it, longer games.

Television followed with commercial breaks and camera angles. The game had to pause for sponsors. The seventh-inning stretch now came with a soft drink.

In the 70s, the bullpen became a revolving door. Specialists. Situational matchups. Every pitching change added minutes. Coaches walked the mound like they were heading to confession.

And the game kept expanding. OPS rose. More runners meant more pitches. More strikeouts meant more throws. Every batter became a saga.

If you look at the graph, you can see a trend that matches well with changes in baseball. We could probably break down every high and low to describe the shift based on rules, personal changes, etc.

Then came the pitch clock. No more dawdling. No more meditative pacing between pitches. And now a reliever has to face at least three batters in an inning. No more one-pitch exits.

It’s not that baseball got lazy. It got layered, commercialized, optimized, and strategized, but it forgot about time management.

The graph shows an outline, with the trends representing a chapter in baseball history, which is very cool.

t_serpico · 3 months ago

brilliant

t_serpico commented on Cormac McCarthy's personal library smithsonianmag.com/arts-c... · Posted by u/bigflern

t_serpico · 3 months ago

The answer stems from McCarthy’s deeply disparaging view of modern society, which he considered lost, divorced from nature, history and tradition and heading toward social collapse and apocalypse. “Cormac considered contemporary fiction a waste of time,” said Dennis, “because contemporary writers no longer have a legitimate culture to feed their souls.”

t_serpico commented on AlphaGenome: AI for better understanding the genome deepmind.google/discover/... · Posted by u/i_love_limes

RivieraKid · 6 months ago

I wish there's some breakthrough in cell simulation that would allow us to create simulations that are similarly useful to molecular dynamics but feasible on modern supercomputers. Not being able to see what's happening inside cells seems like the main blocker to biological research.

t_serpico · 6 months ago

'Seeing' inside cells/tissues/organs/organisms is pretty much most modern biological research.

t_serpico commented on Happy 10k Day blog.comma.ai/happy10kday... · Posted by u/LorenDB

Freedom2 · 9 months ago

> Every sales rep that I mentioned the Comma to said "awesome, I'm going to tell everyone about that!"

What's the realistic chances that the salesperson said this as a method to gain trust with the buyer to try and get a sale in the end?

t_serpico · 9 months ago

Was going to comment exactly this - funny that it's a literal car salesman.