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spacephysics commented on U.S. unemployment rose in November despite job gains   wsj.com/economy/jobs/jobs... · Posted by u/JumpCrisscross
vondur · 5 days ago
I get the feeling most of the newer jobs that are going to be created are going to be in the blue collar fields and the US isn't geared for providing those. I'm also not sure that people who have been conditioned to work white collar jobs will be happy to work in blue collar jobs.
spacephysics · 5 days ago
I think it has a potential to raise a lot of the salaries of blue-collar positions in middle America, and then create demand for the trades over the next decade or so.

I find it unlikely that white collar positions will be switching drastically to blue collar unless they’re already on the fence about it or they’re not middle to high up in the white collar ladder (six figures+)

spacephysics commented on New gel restores dental enamel and could revolutionise tooth repair   nottingham.ac.uk/news/new... · Posted by u/CGMthrowaway
PaulKeeble · 2 months ago
Just 7% of studies that do a preliminary study on humans actually get through phase 3 and get approved for use. This is before even the preliminary point, its a tooth (or even a tooth analogue) in a petri dish. No idea if the material will be safe in a human mouth yet.

There is a lot of hyping of results in medicine papers in general but its not really their fault. The entire academic world is being forced to publish or die as governments look to measure results from the science they instead get what is measured and everyone has to embellish the importance of what they found and always find positive results.

spacephysics · 2 months ago
Despite how obtuse the current administration views are, this has been true for decades. The churn of new papers and hype around medicine/biotech is nothing new.

Says nothing about endemic reproducibility crisis of the social sciences.

Since student loans have been basically guaranteed (bankruptcies can’t erase student loan obligations, in an attempt to push rates lower) and tuition steeply rose, academic institutions’ ratio of administrators to students has skyrocketed to a bureaucratic mess, leading to a flywheel of higher education costs and incentivizing research for money’s sake over impact to the field.

Real impact would be reproducing notoriously iffy studies, but that doesn’t bring in the dollars.

spacephysics commented on AI assistants misrepresent news content 45% of the time   bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/202... · Posted by u/sohkamyung
spacephysics · 2 months ago
Its just another layer of potential misdirection that BBC themselves, and many other news orgs, perpetuate. Im not surprised.

From first hand experience -> secondary sources -> journalist regurgitation -> editorial changes

This is just another layer. Doesn't make it right, but we could do the same analysis with articles that mainstream news publishes (and it has been done, GroundNews looks to be a productized version of this)

Its very interesting when I see people I know personally, or YouTubers with small audiences get even local news/newspaper coverage. If its something potentially damning, nearly all cases have pieces of misrepresentation that either go unaccounted for, or a revision months later after the reputational damage is done.

Many veterans see the same for war reporting, spins/details omitted or changed. Its just now BBC sees an existential threat with AI doing their job for them. Hopefully in a few years more accurately.

spacephysics commented on Alibaba's new AI chip: Key specifications comparable to H20   news.futunn.com/en/post/6... · Posted by u/dworks
rich_sasha · 3 months ago
Can someone ELI5 this to me? Nvidia has the market cap of a medium-sized country precisely because apparently (?) no one else can make chips like them. Great tech, hard to manufacture, etc - Intel and AMD are nowhere to be seen. And I can imagine it's very tricky business!

China, admittedly full of smart and hard working people, then just wakes up one day an in a few years covers the entire gap, to within some small error?

How is this consistent? Either:

- The Chinese GPUs are not that good after all

- Nvidia doesn't have any magical secret sauce, and China could easily catch up

- Nvidia IP is real but Chinese people are so smart they can overcome decades of R&D advantage in just s few years

- It's all stolen IP

To be clear, my default guess isn't that it is stolen IP, rather I can't make sense of it. NVDA is valued near infinity, then China just turns around and produces their flagship product without too much sweat..?

spacephysics · 3 months ago
Defaulting to China stealing IP is a perfectly reasonable first step.

China is known for their countless theft of Europe and especially American IP, selling it for a quarter of the price, and destroying the original company nearly overnight.

Its so bad even NASA has begun to restrict hiring Chinese nationals (which is more national defense, however illegally killing American companies can be seen as a national defense threat as well)

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9wd5qpekkvo.amp

https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-chinese-communist-party-us...

spacephysics commented on Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change   papers.ssrn.com/sol3/pape... · Posted by u/zeuch
elevatortrim · 3 months ago
I do not see anything in this study that accounts for the decline in economic activity. Is it AI replacing the jobs, or is it that companies are not optimistically hiring, which disproportionally impacts entry level jobs?
spacephysics · 3 months ago
Agree, I think the high cost of full time hires for entry level software jobs (total comp + onboarding + mentoring) vs investing in AI and seeing if that gap can be filled is a far less risky choice at the current economic state.

6-12 months in, the AI bet doesnt pay off, then just stop spending money in it. cancel/dont renew contracts and move some teams around.

For full time entry hires, we typically dont see meaningful positive productivity (their cost is less than what they produce) for 6-8 months. Additionally, entry level takes time away from senior folks reducing their productivity. And if you need to cut payroll cost, its far more complicated, and worse for morale than just cutting AI spend.

So given the above, plus economy seemingly pre-recession (or have been according to some leading indicators) seems best to wait or hire very cautiously for next 6-8 months at least.

spacephysics commented on Hosting a website on a disposable vape   bogdanthegeek.github.io/b... · Posted by u/BogdanTheGeek
palata · 3 months ago
The fact that selling such a thing is profitable means that we lack regulations somewhere.
spacephysics · 3 months ago
The fact something is profitable (even vices) does not mean it requires regulations, unless the regulation in mind is direct or indirect cap on profit margins?
spacephysics commented on Sig Sauer citing national security to keep documents from public   practicalshootinginsights... · Posted by u/eoskx
spacephysics · 4 months ago
Ah yes, the secret design of pistols which go off at the slightest bump (its a lottery, only 1 in 1,000 chance!)

Revoke contracts, investigate the leadership who accepted the contract, and hold Sig criminally liable given they have internal documents from years ago acknowledging the fact.

spacephysics commented on AI adoption linked to 13% decline in jobs for young U.S. workers: study   cnbc.com/2025/08/28/gener... · Posted by u/pseudolus
bilsbie · 4 months ago
AI is the popular cover excuse for layoffs.

I can’t think of a single job that modern AI could easily replace.

spacephysics · 4 months ago
I agree its a popular excuse, however unlike the blockchain craze there’s legitimate use cases of productivity improvements with AI.

And if you can (in some cases) substantially increase productivity, then logically you can reduce team size and be as productive with less.

With the right prompting, you can cut a copywriting team in half easily.

My business has one copywriter/strategist, who I’ve automated the writing part by collecting transcripts and brand guidelines from client meetings. Now she can focus on much higher quality edits, work with other parts of the strategy pipeline, and ultimately more clients than before.

I can easily imagine a corp with 100 junior copywriters quickly reducing headcount

spacephysics commented on AI adoption linked to 13% decline in jobs for young U.S. workers: study   cnbc.com/2025/08/28/gener... · Posted by u/pseudolus
zoeey · 4 months ago
This past year, I’ve seen a lot of entry-level jobs quietly disappear. It’s not that people are getting laid off, it’s that no one’s hiring beginners anymore. What’s really missing isn’t just the jobs, it’s the chance to grow. If there’s nowhere to start, how are new people supposed to get in and learn?
spacephysics · 4 months ago
Unfortunately i think many of those jobs can also be attributed to general economic health post low interest rates.

Companies now need to leave pre-revenue and turn a profit, or if you’re an established company you need to cut costs/increase margins from other economic headwinds (tariffs, inflation, gov policies etc)

A Junior dev (and most devs onboarding) will typically require 6-8 months to start being able to meaningfully contribute, then there’s a general oversight/mentorship for a few years after.

Yes they produce, however I think junior’s market salary plus the opportunity cost lost of the higher salaried mid and senior level in mentoring is a hard pill to swallow.

The team i work on is stretched very thin, and even after layoffs (which management agreed they went too far with) it’s pulling teeth to get another dev to build things companies are begging for and even willing to separately pay cash upfront for us to build

If you’re getting into the current job market as a junior, you’ll likely need to go heavy in the buzzword tech, accept a position from a smaller company that pays substantially less, then in 1-2 years job hop into a higher paying mid level role (not to say 1-2 years makes anyone mid level imo)

spacephysics commented on AI Is Wrecking Young Americans' Job Prospects   wsj.com/economy/jobs/ai-e... · Posted by u/lucaspauker
mlinhares · 4 months ago
Maybe, just maybe, the reason is that the economy is moving towards the dumps and nobody is hiring or firing, because they know the future is gloomy.

But it makes it much nicer to say its AI that's stealing jobs to create even more hype.

spacephysics · 4 months ago
Especially given how the gov stats for unemployment rate and CPI have been changed over the years.

Example, if you dig into who we technically consider unemployed in that number, you’ll laugh.

Let’s say after 6 months of emails and ghost listings you take a break, you’re now considered “not in the labor force” which is the same category as retirees and full-time students. So that “improves” the unemployment rate

Not a hot take, but I think we’ve been in a recession/massive slowdown for much longer than the gov data shows

Willing to bet hedge funds have their own calculations of these metrics they keep secret as a market edge

u/spacephysics

KarmaCake day1368September 28, 2018View Original