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somanyphotons commented on Exile Economics: If Globalisation Fails   lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v47/n... · Posted by u/mitchbob
churchill · 13 days ago
I read the book referenced - Robert Lightizer's No Trade Is Free: Changing Course, Taking on China, and Helping America's Workers - and it was eye-opening, if somewhat misguided.

In it, the author blames China's industrial ascent for America's deindustrialization, the hollowing out of cities like Detroit, the fentanyl crisis, the looming challenge to American power in the Pacific, the intimidation of America's allies, etc. Basically: China bad, turned into a political doctrine.

My rebuttal is simply a rehashing of what I said in an earlier comment [0] which is simply logical, no matter how you see it:

For most of human history, everyone lived at a subsistence level because we all had to farm our food, bake our bread, sew our clothes, build our own houses, etc.

Specialization is what makes the luxury and wealth of the modern world possible: you do one thing all day long and convert it to cash, then exchange value with people who do other stuff to get what you want. And since they're operating at scale, they can build more houses, make more stuff, etc. that you ever can if you did it yourself. So, you pay less for more stuff.

International trade simply takes it to the next level. For instance, the average American will not bend over to pick cocoa beans for chocolate for even $100k/yr. Many of you will argue, but all I'll say to you is that there's a reason agricultural work is referred to as back-breaking work. There's also a reason why farmers have the highest rate of suicides. Even if the American eventually agrees to do it, the cost will be so prohibitive that buying chocolate will be out-of-reach for everyone but the rich. Abundance ended; the end.

If you believe China is stealing American jobs by making things cheaper an at scale, then tractors stole farmers' jobs by making it easier to consolidate; cars drove much of the horse rearing business into bankruptcy; mobile phones have driven countless industries into extinction, but we're not trying to regulate them out of existence. Why does the logic fail when a nation of 1.5b wants to make stuff cheaply and send it to you for affordable prices? How does it hurt you?

I have this belief that one of the reasons why inflation has been under control despite the QE experiments undertaken by the Federal Reserve, ECB, etc. is because of the impact of 600M Chinese workers, leaving their farms to work in manufacturing, making products cheap enough for the average Westerner to afford, despite dumb government fiscal policy.

If you take that away, your political system becomes even less stable and you have to keep reaching for ever more outrageous stunts to stay relevant or get voted into power.

[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44866645

somanyphotons · 13 days ago
The difficulty is that while we can move the job to where the cheaper (or specialized) labor is, we can't (currently) easily move the people around to where the job is.

So lower skilled people living in areas surrounded by high skill/cost people can't easily find a better Cost-of-Living balance. They get trapped with no job to match their skill.

To put it more bluntly - the people of Detroit simply aren't allowed to move to the surrounding areas of the BYD factories in China.

somanyphotons commented on ThinkPad designer David Hill on unreleased models   theregister.com/2025/08/0... · Posted by u/LorenDB
elric · 23 days ago
I think optimising for thinness is a stupid goal. I get wanting to reduce weight, but volume and mass are two different metrics. Thicker laptops can have better cooling, bigger batteries, easier maintenance, a bloody ethernet port, and probably better keyboards.

For some reason Lenovo has made the ThinkPad keyboard worse with every new generation. They're still better than other laptop keyboards, but my goodness the margin is shrinking.

And while David Hill may claim that Lenovo TPs are as good as (or better than) IBM's, the number of repairs mine have had tell a different story. Since the x230, every single ThinkPad I've owned had to have its mainboard replaced. Sometimes even twice.

somanyphotons · 23 days ago
Thickness does change the ergonomics when typing
somanyphotons commented on Futurehome smart hub owners must pay new $117 subscription or lose access   arstechnica.com/gadgets/2... · Posted by u/duxup
duxup · a month ago
Agreed, although if it has any online management / phone home / software updates, that can be removed.

In the end it's about trust if there's any other party involved. And you hope you can trust the next person who maybe buys the company.

somanyphotons · a month ago
> that can be removed.

I'm surprised that there isn't more legal action from this behavior

somanyphotons commented on TCP-in-UDP Solution (eBPF)   blog.mptcp.dev/2025/07/14... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
somanyphotons · a month ago
I can see that using eBPF would help backport to older kernel, but would the long term goal be to add this as a kernel patch?

Deleted Comment

somanyphotons commented on I'm Peter Roberts, immigration attorney who does work for YC and startups. AMA    · Posted by u/proberts
mindwok · a month ago
I'm Australian and have always wondered about how easy it is to get an E-3 visa. What does it take from the sponsoring companies side to actually do it and get me over there?
somanyphotons · a month ago
Anecdotally, the E-3 is very easy compared to other options
somanyphotons commented on I'm Peter Roberts, immigration attorney who does work for YC and startups. AMA    · Posted by u/proberts
kjellsbells · a month ago
What would you recommend for foreign born US citizens worried about being approached by ICE? What are the basic ground rules for interacting?

For example, some of us here look very much like we didnt grow up in an Iowa cornfield and have genuine concern that one negative interaction is going to result in being roughed up by untrained ICE agents at best and tossed into jail or worse.

Do we just get used to the idea of carrying our passport at all times? Is an ICE agent authorized to demand it and take it from us "for checking", say?

Bar two pieces of fragile paper - a passport and a naturalization certificate - it's not obvious that a citizen is a citizen.

somanyphotons · a month ago
(I'm not Peter)

I'd suggest also applying for a Passport Card, you can keep it in your wallet.

somanyphotons commented on Young graduates are facing an employment crisis   wsj.com/economy/jobs/jobs... · Posted by u/bdev12345
chubs · a month ago
Anecdata: Recently spoke with a friend's son who graduated compsci a year-ish ago, he reckons none of his year got jobs, now working in a kitchen. (in australia for context). Very sad. For comparison, I graduated just after the dot-com crash, and our year mostly found jobs, just not very good ones, so maybe they're doing worse than we did. Good luck convincing anyone to study compsci any more.
somanyphotons · a month ago
Slightly off topic, did Australia ever fix the laws around stock options that meant you paid taxes on unrealized gains?

I always wonder about things like that stifling the start-up ecosystem and lower numbers of jobs

somanyphotons commented on Young graduates are facing an employment crisis   wsj.com/economy/jobs/jobs... · Posted by u/bdev12345
unyttigfjelltol · a month ago
Could be worse. They could assign demeaning titles "Junior Assistant", "Compliance Associate",etc. I think title inflation is a charming sign of an organization trying show respect to its workers.
somanyphotons · a month ago
I can't wait to see a Vice President of Helm Charts
somanyphotons commented on The IRS Is Building a System to Share Taxpayers' Data with ICE   propublica.org/article/tr... · Posted by u/srameshc
klipt · a month ago
Visa application forms are really long and complicated and it's easy to make a mistake somewhere. With some motivated investigation and sufficiently broad interpretation I expect you could accuse most foreign visitors of "misrepresentation and concealment of facts"
somanyphotons · a month ago
This is also exactly why the de-naturalization is such a scary threat, it's essentially impossible to be 100% truthful given how all the questions are worded on application forms.

u/somanyphotons

KarmaCake day201January 9, 2025View Original