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snowwrestler commented on The Synology End Game   lowendbox.com/blog/they-u... · Posted by u/amacbride
codeflo · 10 hours ago
The year is 2025. Delivering a good product is not considered profitable enough anymore. If a company or product is beloved by customers then that means it doesn't squeeze them to the max. This is clearly money left on the table that someone will sooner or later extract. High-end brands are not exempt from this.
snowwrestler · 7 hours ago
Is NAS a growth market at all anymore? My somewhat unexamined opinion is that most folks can and probably do just store everything in the cloud.

I would not be surprised to find out that Synology is seeing a smaller market year over year and becoming desperate to find new revenue per person who is shopping for a NAS today.

snowwrestler commented on Are OpenAI and Anthropic losing money on inference?   martinalderson.com/posts/... · Posted by u/martinald
snowwrestler · a day ago
Not wishing to do a shallow dismissal here, but I always assumed AI must be profitable on inference otherwise no one would pursue it as a business given how expensive the training is.

It seems sort of like wondering if a fiber ISP is profitable per GB bandwidth. Of course it is; the expensive part is getting the fiber to all the homes. So the operations must be profitable or there is simply no business model possible.

Deleted Comment

snowwrestler commented on The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful   iflscience.com/the-wow-si... · Posted by u/toss1
godelski · 3 days ago
Can we ban IFLScience links? They're notoriously bad science reporters. A few submissions by them seem to have hit the front page recently and I'm not sure why. This article is a perfect example. There's no reason to talk about aliens here except for dramatization.

I mean what even is this article? It has always been widely believed that the signal did not originate from Earth. Not impossible, but thought to come from Sagittarius. But "Extraterrestrial" != "alien", only "Not Earth".

From the first arxiv paper's abstract

  > We hypothesize that the Wow! Signal was caused by a sudden brightening of the hydrogen line in these clouds triggered by a strong transient radiation source, such as a magnetar flare or a soft gamma repeater (SGR). A maser flare or superradiance mechanisms can produce stimulated emission consistent with the Wow! Signal. Our hypothesis explains all observed properties of the Wow! Signal
From the second one

  > we confirm that small, cold HI clouds can produce narrowband signals similar to its detection, which might suggest a common origin. 
Nobody is talking about aliens. FFS, Avi Loeb isn't even an author on one of the papers.

The papers are good but nothing really exciting to the general public in them. Just your every day normal science. Science can be really exciting but we don't need fairy tales for that. All that does is degrade science, create confusion, and ultimately strengthen the anti-science crowd because people can't tell the difference between "scientists say" and "news reporter says scientists say". These are very different things...

Edit:

I wanted to add and explain why it people have suggested it is on a frequency that "would be a good candidate for extraterrestrial communication." The reason is absolutely mundane: it is a frequency that doesn't interact with tons of things so can travel pretty far. But mind you, calling it a good candidate for alien communication is also ignoring all the reasons that it would be a terrible way for communicating with others. Like the fact that it was super fast and if you don't have a telescope pointing in the right direction you're really not going to detect it (which is why it's been hard to find more).

Like most people with a degree in physics, I believe in aliens. Similarly, like most people with a degree in physics, I do not believe aliens have visited Earth nor do I believe we have any evidence of their existence. The reason we believe they're out there is because Earth is, as far as we can tell, Earth is not that unique. We're an ordinary planet orbiting an ordinary sun and since the time when Sagan said those same words we've only gained more evidence for this being true. So there's good reason to believe they are out there. And we should search for them because either they are out there or the process of searching for them leads to a better understanding of why Earth is unique. It is a no lose situation. Either way we'll learn something incredibly important.

But also, like most scientists, I think it is unlikely we'll find signals from them. Space is too big, star systems are too far apart, the speed of light is too slow, and there's a lot of radio sources out there that are very powerful. Even if there were aliens around Proxima Centauri the signals take over 4 years to get there and our sun is blasting noise that is several orders of magnitude louder. For them to find our general broadcasts would be like trying to find a (specific) needle in the Pacific Ocean.

snowwrestler · 3 days ago
This article mentions aliens because this particular signal has been the subject of such speculation for decades, including by real working scientists. Heck an entire episode of the X Files was written around it. To write about the Wow Signal, and not at least acknowledge this cultural history and context, would itself be bad journalism.

Also, extraterrestrial life is not “fairy tales.” Most serious scientists expect that it does exist given what we know about life and cosmos.

Finally, many people have proposed a terrestrial origin for the signal over the years because of its anomalous strength. Some folks found “close accident” more likely than “distant and impossibly strong.”

snowwrestler commented on The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful   iflscience.com/the-wow-si... · Posted by u/toss1
jameslk · 3 days ago
Was this signal suspected to be from earth? Otherwise why point out the signal was “extraterrestrial origin after all”?
snowwrestler · 3 days ago
Yes, various terrestrial sources have been proposed for this signal over the years, primarily because of its strength.

To have an extraterrestrial origin, and still be so anomalously strong at the point of reception, it must have been so strong at the source that it didn’t fit any known cosmic process. Given the inverse square law, the easiest explanation for the unusual strength was simply that it was unusually close. But this work seems to rule that out and also propose a process to create such a strong signal.

snowwrestler commented on Websites and web developers mostly don't care about client-side problems   utcc.utoronto.ca/~cks/spa... · Posted by u/zdw
terminalshort · 6 days ago
How real is this "crawler plague" that the author refers to? I haven't seen it. But that's just as likely to because I don't care, and therefore am not looking, as it is to be because it's not there. Loading static pages from CDN to scrape training data takes such minimal amounts of resources that it's never going to be a significant part of my costs. Are there cases where this isn't true?
snowwrestler · 6 days ago
Yes, it’s true. Most sites don’t have a forever cache TTL so a crawler that hits every page on a database-backed site is going to hit mostly uncached pages (and therefore the DB).

I also have a faceted search that some stupid crawler has spent the last month iterating through. Also mostly uncached URLs.

snowwrestler commented on AI crawlers, fetchers are blowing up websites; Meta, OpenAI are worst offenders   theregister.com/2025/08/2... · Posted by u/rntn
bgwalter · 8 days ago
Why would the Register point out Meta and OpenAI as the worst offenders? I'm sure they do not continuously build new corpuses every day. It is probably the search function, as mentioned in the top comments.
snowwrestler · 7 days ago
It says in the first sentence of the article that it is 80% bots (crawlers) and only 20% fetchers.

Of course they are crawling every day to improve their training data. The goal is LLMs that know everything, but “everything” changes on a daily basis.

Meta and OpenAI are simply the largest after Google, but Google has had ~20 more years to learn how to politely operate crawlers at full-Internet scale.

snowwrestler commented on Scientists No Longer Find X Professionally Useful, and Have Switched to Bluesky   academic.oup.com/icb/adva... · Posted by u/sebg
nreece · 8 days ago
I'm trying to like Bluesky. X has a large tech community and some deep thoughts/discussions on tech and philosophy matters, but I can't find similar people or groups on Bluesky yet.
snowwrestler · 7 days ago
On both Twitter and Bluesky, my best results at feed building have come from finding one person I find valuable, then looking at and following people they interact with and follow. A brief look at bios and recent posts helps. Then repeating this for additional interesting people.

I am fast to follow but also fast to unfollow if a person turns out to be a dud. An example of a dud is a person who is a cybersecurity expert but almost all their posts were about their travel: which hotels treated them well, complaints about flights, etc.

Bluesky also has a notion of lists, which folks seem to use. For example someone curates a list of people active in local politics and it’s a quick way for me to plug into what local activists and politicians are talking about. Again, I found it via one person I found interesting.

snowwrestler commented on Scientists No Longer Find X Professionally Useful, and Have Switched to Bluesky   academic.oup.com/icb/adva... · Posted by u/sebg
ringeryless · 7 days ago
i wonder why various governments and journalists keep using anti-social media as well, due to the innate conflict of interest: anti-social media is all about sinking governments and trad journalism.

don't go on the rival platform and legitimize it further, IMO

snowwrestler · 7 days ago
It is often not a rational decision. People spend time on social media because they find it interesting or entertaining. That doesn’t mean it is actually useful or good for them. That includes journalists.

High-profile brands are somewhat stuck because departing would cause a negative news cycle. Quite a few have shrunk their organic social media teams and put more resources into paid social media, which has a more directly measurable ROI.

snowwrestler commented on Scientists No Longer Find X Professionally Useful, and Have Switched to Bluesky   academic.oup.com/icb/adva... · Posted by u/sebg
ranguna · 7 days ago
Could it be your algorithm on X is now uncalibrated due to your prolonged absence ?
snowwrestler · 7 days ago
The algorithm on X is intentionally less calibrated for everyone. For example replies are now ordered by subscriber status rather than time stamp or relevance. Subscribers also have preference in “For You” feeds and suggested accounts. There is also an overt thumb on the scale for certain accounts like Elon Musk or the Cat Turd guy.

It’s still an entertaining place to find memes etc, but any use as real signal for public sentiment is long gone.

u/snowwrestler

KarmaCake day31516November 1, 2011
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All thoughts posted here are entirely my own personal opinions.
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