I haven’t read the study but I studied remote sensing in undergrad and one thing we worked on was how to detect the stress of an agricultural crop from multispectral satellite data. You can quite clearly detect how plants are handling temperature, pest damage, drought conditions, largely based on their near- and middle-infrared responses. On the surface this sounds a lot like that, which I think is neat.
But this administration is already using tariffs as a negotiating tool, a cudgel. "If country X does Y, maybe the administration will cut them a break."
That means, as an investor, there is simply no certainty that makes it safe enough to invest in domestic US infrastructure. What if I build a factory and then the tariff evaporates?
A tariff as a negotiating tactic wouldn’t be worth much if it was known to be temporary.
Assuming these professionals were great critical thinkers until the AI came along and changed that is a big stretch.
In my experience, the people who outsource their thinking to LLMs are the same people who outsourced their thinking to podcasts, news articles, Reddit posts, Twitter rants, TikTok videos, and other such sources. LLMs just came along and offered them opinions on demand that they could confidently repeat.
> The scary part is that many users still believed they were thinking critically, because GenAI made them feel smart
I don’t see much difference between this and someone who devours TikTok videos on a subject until they feel like an expert. Same pattern, different sources. The people who outsource their thinking and collect opinions they want to hear just have an easier way to skip straight to the conclusions they want now.
Significantly more informed and reasoned.
Experience and context matters. Especially this one.
Founders are in private group chats now
Man I miss it being real here instead of Reddit Jr
Grateful for those of you who still hang out
This is very different from OpenAI: if you show me a product that works just as well as ChatGPT but costs less--or which costs the same but works a bit better--I would use it immediately. Hell: people on this website routinely talk about using multiple such services and debate which one is better for various purposes. They kind of want to try to make a moat out of their tools feature, but that is off the path of how most users use the product, and so isn't a useful defense yet.
Defaults are powerful over time.
There’s a simple counter-factual for people with this level of ability:
“Making money” can be easily pursued at BlackRock or any number of PE firms.
Creating historic technology, of unknown difficulty and scale of impact, is not something pure capitalism can or is designed to deliver. What would investors or customers buy at the start of OpenAI?
While OpenAI may end up a corporation like any other, it would not have achieved what it had as one.
1. Imprison executives who made the decisions that led to the result. Preferably in a way that makes them spend their fortunes on legal costs so that when they get out in 20-30 years, they're dependent on social safety nets for the rest of their natural lives. People are dead because they thought that possibility of profit was worth the risk of hundreds of deaths. That's negligent homicide.
2. There is no 2.
CEOs, especially of large companies, are glorified management
To be clear: they deliver the HIV TAT protein which activates latent cells to transcribe HIV (ultimately possibly producing viable HIV virions).
Activating-to-kill has been pursued with other agents, but none have proven effective at depleting the reservoir. (The latent reservoir requires HIV anti-retroviral therapy to be lifelong, making one of the top three most expensive diseases in the US).
This may be more of a proof for the method, of encapsulating a fragile mRNA in a protective lipid layer, but one which will be incorporated into cells. I'd expect it to be used outside attempts to cure HIV (having consumed some HIV funding).