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roperj commented on U.S. stock market returns – a history from the 1870s to 2022   themeasureofaplan.com/us-... · Posted by u/getToTheChopin
scarface74 · 3 years ago
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4170913-unemployment-rate-a...

> An inverse relationship between level of unemployment and forward stock market returns. In the current quintile (2.5% to 4.4% unemployment), the average S&P 500 return over the following year is 5.6% versus and average of 12.7% in all periods. The best returns historically have come after periods of high unemployment

roperj · 3 years ago
Maybe you should use a source that is at least self consistent?

Inverse relationship between unemployment and returns - proceeds to show a table where the lowest quintiles of unemployment have the lowest returns. That doesn’t seem very inverse to me.

In any case even if you don’t use some trash site that can’t get a basic editor/proofreader and correct that error, it’s not counter to anything already told to you by me and others.

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roperj commented on U.S. stock market returns – a history from the 1870s to 2022   themeasureofaplan.com/us-... · Posted by u/getToTheChopin
scarface74 · 3 years ago
roperj · 3 years ago
Are you arguing that the stock market is not correlated with unemployment? That’s a weird and plain stupid hill to die on because anybody can disprove it with 3 seconds of googling.
roperj commented on Emulating an emulator inside itself. Meet Blink   hiro.codes/read/emulating... · Posted by u/0xhiro
camdv · 3 years ago
I think the point here is that trains go for hundreds of miles faster than a Tesla. If you're going 800 miles, a train might well get there first, though a Tesla's top speed is 4x the trains.
roperj · 3 years ago
OP: “A train can go hundreds of miles per hour faster” Anyway I think this proves the limitations of this analogy.
roperj commented on Emulating an emulator inside itself. Meet Blink   hiro.codes/read/emulating... · Posted by u/0xhiro
samwillis · 3 years ago
I think this comes down to a difference is perspective of trains. Coming from a European perspective when I first read the analogy I was imagining the incredible fast passenger trains over here (~320km/h).

I suspect if you are coming from the perspective of a US rail user then yes, they aren't exactly known for high speed train travel.

roperj · 3 years ago
320 km/h is not hundreds of miles per hour faster than the top speed of a Tesla, especially one like the Plaid marketed for speed. I don’t give a fuck if you’re from Europe or the US, high speed trains aren’t faster than high speed sports cars. This is from the perspective of someone who’s not an idiot.
roperj commented on Emulating an emulator inside itself. Meet Blink   hiro.codes/read/emulating... · Posted by u/0xhiro
jart · 3 years ago
Qemu generates pretty good code. I've skimmed through your codebase. Qemu knows all the ISA-specific operation constraints, that lets it work very similar to a compiler. All I'm saying is that Qemu generates that quality code slowly. That's what I mean by a locomotive. A train can go hundreds of miles per hour faster than a Tesla sports car. But which is quicker off the mark? Blink basically just glues together functions that were created by the compiler. So when it runs a program like GCC, which has an enormously long initialization ritual, the JIT path generator is able to plow through it at a speed comparable to memcpy.

While I have your attention, may I ask if you've considered saving your JIT's output to a file, that can be rapidly loaded if GCC is launched a second time? Ephemeral commands tend to be executed independently many times, which would seem to favor an AOT approach. But I don't see any reason why a JIT can't persist its output to gain the advantages of AOT. I'd call it EOT.

roperj · 3 years ago
> A train can go hundreds of miles per hour faster than a Tesla sports car. But which is quicker off the mark?

Top speed of most trains is below that of a Tesla let alone super cars. The trains that can go significantly faster (but not really hundreds of miles per hour faster - Maglevs - are capable of similar acceleration). This analogy is not the greatest for the point being conveyed.

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roperj commented on Tell HN: Crypto/web3 grifters are Now AI/ML grifters    · Posted by u/alsodumb
tee_0 · 3 years ago
Here’s the full picture. Since 2018 we have experienced a series of tremors in AI. We know that eventually the big quake will happen — it’s inevitable. Some people said the tremors were directly preceding the big one, most people denied the tremors were even happening. Now that the tremors are over, we have a new geography where things are different but thankfully chatgtp has turned out to be very advanced search. But that’s not all it is. And it’s clear that we are building the subconscious of what will eventually become AGI. People who are alarmed at these recent surges forward are justified. People who assume the worst are justified too. We can’t turn it back. And no matter when AGI comes, people will think that it has come too soon.
roperj · 3 years ago
> Since 2018 we have experienced a series of tremors in AI. We know that eventually the big quake will happen — it’s inevitable.

You can say/type anything, including this. But you offer no actual argument why this is true.

> And it’s clear that we are building the subconscious of what will eventually become AGI.

No it is not “clear”.

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roperj commented on I was laid off 2 months ago and I’ve never even seen a severance letter   twitter.com/sbstryker/sta... · Posted by u/luu
__sy__ · 3 years ago
legal, yes. judicious, no.
roperj · 3 years ago
Since you have the legal background can you explain how the CEO publicly stating in writing “Everyone exited was offered 3 months of severance, which is 50% more than legally required.” is not actionable at all? Also how is this definitely not a WARN act violation?

u/roperj

KarmaCake day74November 21, 2022View Original