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robocat commented on Why is the sky blue?   explainers.blog/posts/why... · Posted by u/udit99
jstummbillig · 7 hours ago
I am positively excited about the upcoming first generation of humans who will have all their questions answered, correctly and in the way they can best understand, and as often and many of them as they want – and what that is going to enable.
robocat · an hour ago
I childishly looked for a historical quote on how we should all be doing science at home now. Google referred me to a gorgeous article written by Isaac Asimov:

   While computers and robots are doing the scut-work of society so that the world, in 2019, will seem more and more to be “running itself,” more and more human beings will find themselves living a life rich in leisure.

  This does not mean leisure to do nothing, but leisure to do something one wants to do; to be free to engage in scientific research, in literature and the arts, to pursue out-of-the-way interests and fascinating hobbies of all kinds.
Fortunately our good friends at the Public Gaming Research Institute have republished the article originally published in the Toronto Star where Asimov imagined the world 35+ years in his future.

Unfortunately the link seems to contain some advertisements so perhaps google yourself to find a better source. I looked for a filetype:pdf but that didn't help me (although Gemini AI did helpfully summarise the same article).

We are definitely fortunate to live in a world with free access to information.

Unfortunately my skills at search are getting rusty.

robocat commented on Nobody knows how the whole system works   surfingcomplexity.blog/20... · Posted by u/azhenley
its_magic · 5 hours ago
> Example: Our banks have endless painful papercuts yet most of us don't change banks just because of one pain.

One bank pissed me off due to an extremely dishonest thing they did. So I overdrafted the account to the max ($500) and left them the bill.

(Not the first time I've done something like that to someone who deserved it. I've done much, much more in some cases. Endless painful papercuts? Nope, I do not accept that.)

They weren't happy about this. I think they hit "my" "credit" with that for years. I never noticed, as I don't borrow money; the machinations of these "credit reporting" agencies are beneath my concern. They have no credit in my eyes. I don't consort with crooks, I just punish them.

> Second example: I use an iPhone because I judge it to be more secure yet I'm constantly fighting the same bugs and misfeatures that seem to never get fixed/improved.

I haven't had a phone in decades at this point. Don't want one. I refused to be tracked, monitored, or abused by anyone. And no, I sure don't give a single fuck about any of the many people (and there have been MANY) who have tried their best to shame, cajole, insult, ridicule, harass, intimidate, or bully me into getting a phone. Fuck em all.

> Your chain of reasoning is broken? Or is it your model of the world?

Maybe it's you who's broken. Why do you accept slavery? Just to fit in?

Since you're hardly the only one with a similar way of thinking, maybe we could say it's the entire society that's broken.

I simply do not tolerate the things that you tolerate.

robocat · 4 hours ago
> I overdrafted the account to the max ($500) and left them the bill

I think theft is a poor answer - although most society accepts your rationalisation when dealing with government or big business.

Even worse is that you can't know what it may cost you in the future. My friend couldn't open a business account the other day. After many phone calls he was lucky enough to find someone that told him it was because he left that bank with an account $67 overdrawn when he was younger. That's in New Zealand: I strongly suspect he never would have found out the reason he was denied in many countries[1]. His only recourse was to use a more expensive provider (maybe $600 per year).

Please don't assume I am tolerant of abuse. I vindictively avoid some brands (and even all products from some countries).

I just often judge that my changing to a different service has costs I would rather avoid so I stick with a known evil (I'm good at finding workarounds for many niggles).

I also accept annoying papercuts because I believe all services have imperfection and flaws. Too many people count costs without balance.

What is this perfect bank you have discovered without papercuts?

[1] https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/debanking-and-debunki...

robocat commented on Italy's Secretive Food Confraternities   bbc.com/travel/article/20... · Posted by u/Geekette
robocat · 4 hours ago
What food would you create a fraternity for, where you live?

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robocat commented on I analyzed 1600 startups. "No market need" isn't the #1 killer anymore   loot-drop.io/why-they-fai... · Posted by u/loot-dropdude
loot-dropdude · 8 hours ago
Hey everyone,

I have a weird hobby of collecting data on startup failures (autopsies). I just finished analyzing 1,600+ failures (burning $500B+ in capital) and put it all on a site I built just to share the findings.

The biggest surprise? We're often told startups die because of "No Market Need." But in this dataset, that was only the #9 cause (36%).

The real killers were Product Problems (85%) and Competition (82%)—which totally contradicts the old "startups commit suicide, they don't get murdered" saying.

I built this with no ads, no sign-ups, and no paywall. Just raw data for anyone who wants to avoid these potholes.

Hope it helps you build something that lasts.

robocat · 7 hours ago
Do you know any links about whether successful founders learn about failures or not?

From my limited experience, founders concentrate on their current risks.

I also think founders are good at filtering out the deluge of failure porn that is mostly irrelevant to their business: there's millions of ways to fail. Yes, it helps to learn the patterns. But I'm unsure learning even famous examples like "The Osbourne effect" helps a founder. (reëdited)

What was your emotional drive for creating this?

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robocat commented on Nobody knows how the whole system works   surfingcomplexity.blog/20... · Posted by u/azhenley
lazystar · 10 hours ago
> Granted one person can't know/do everything,

watch me try, at least.

> but large companies in particular seem allergic to granting you any visibility whatsoever. It's particularly annoying

If the blind spot is directly causing customer pain, find metrics that demonstrate the impact. If it ends up driving away your customers, then your company is securing itself to death.

robocat · 8 hours ago
> customer pain > driving away your customers > company death

You are implying efficient market theory, which is bunk.

Example: Our banks have endless painful papercuts yet most of us don't change banks just because of one pain.

We each respond to our own complex of costs and benefits (or risks versus rewards).

Second example: I use an iPhone because I judge it to be more secure yet I'm constantly fighting the same bugs and misfeatures that seem to never get fixed/improved.

Your chain of reasoning is broken? Or is it your model of the world?

robocat commented on Wall Street just lost $285B because of 13 Markdown files   martinalderson.com/posts/... · Posted by u/nomdep
AnimalMuppet · 3 days ago
This right here? This is why I read the comments first.
robocat · 3 days ago
I try to challenge myself by reading the article to form an opinion, and then I learn by testing my opinion for faults (using good HN comments). Sometimes I test myself by writing comments.

My recent binge has been trying to understand what's going on when smart people simplify complex topics down to single root causes (causes that often feel like memes to me).

I also enjoy a good rationalisation myself!

robocat commented on Amazon plunge continues $1T wipeout as AI bubble fears ignite sell-off   cnbc.com/2026/02/06/ai-se... · Posted by u/truegoric
bhouston · 3 days ago
I have read that numerous places and it seems plausible but it is beyond my investing experience.

I think the new nominated Fed Chair is also a hard money advocate and is spooking USD alternatives (gold, silver, BTC, etc.) But hard money can be quite hard on the economy, so that could limit growth.

robocat · 3 days ago
We should just blame "the willies".

Investment is all about belief. When the root cause is the willies, then we hallucinate reasons together.

Crypto and memes have demonstrated us a lot about the drives of individual investors.

Unfortunately it seems that professional investors are not that much more rational (from my limited personal experience with a small hedge fund, and from my years of looking at markets).

My favourite term has always been "taking profits" which is generated by the technical analysis (I loath that term) of looking at the prices: taking an effect and publishing a cause (trying to sound smart).

We are deeply irrational beings; often the more you go up a professional ladder the more rationalisation you see.

During unstable periods, we see lots of weird side-effects and there is a lot that doesn't seem to make sense.

Edit: a better meme could be "The use of AI by funds is destabilising markets"

Disclaimer: I am not a professional investor. I am a cynic.

robocat commented on Cubans rendered powerless as outages persist and tensions with US escalate   apnews.com/article/cuba-u... · Posted by u/petethomas
pessimizer · 4 days ago
The entire crisis is because the US has been abusing Cuba since Batista fell, don't get confused. The idea that Cuba is being coddled because it isn't paying market prices when the US has been excluding it from the market for your entire life and most of your parents' lives is sadistic and cynical.

You don't get to criticize the quality of someone's system until you take your foot off their neck.

robocat · 4 days ago
> because the US

Reducing the root cause to the US is ludicrous. Cuba had agency and their government made some horrific choices for their citizens.

I was there about 20 years ago and it was the most depressing place I've ever visited: the authoritarianism and corruption and tragedy was so visibly prevalent . . . even to a tourist. It was frightening because problems are usually better hidden from foreigners.

Summarising a complex situation as though it has one simple cause is a human sign of ignoring complexity or systems.

Yes, the impact of US political choices was deeply hideous. That doesn't excuse the Cuban government from their choices about how to deal with that.

u/robocat

KarmaCake day13338September 30, 2011
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